Scroll (SCR) and zkSync (ZK) are both Ethereum-based second-layer scaling solutions that use the same zk-rollup technology to improve Ethereum's scalability and reduce transaction costs. Their goal is to reduce congestion on the Ethereum mainnet by packaging a large number of transactions on the second-layer network.

  1. Technical background:

    • Both Scroll and zkSync use zk-rollups (zero-knowledge proof technology) to improve the scalability of the Ethereum network, reduce transaction fees, and increase transaction speed. The technical foundation of the two is the same, both of which reduce the load of the Ethereum mainnet by aggregating a large number of transactions on the second-layer chain.

    • In terms of technology, zkSync is currently more widely used and has a more mature ecosystem. Scroll, as a rising star, is still in the development stage, but its potential cannot be ignored.

  2. Token economic model:

    • The total number of SCR tokens is 1 billion, with a pre-market price of $1.4, a total market value of approximately $266 million, and a fully diluted market value of $1.4 billion.

    • With a total supply of 21 billion zkSync tokens, its market cap is $533 million, or about $3 billion on a fully diluted basis.

  3. Market value comparison:

    • Based on current data, SCR's total market capitalization is approximately $266 million, significantly lower than zkSync's $533 million. From a market capitalization perspective, SCR's market value is approximately half of zkSync's, with a fully diluted market capitalization gap of $1.4 billion versus $3 billion. SCR's low initial price and small market capitalization indicate that there is potential for growth in its market, especially after the technology is gradually implemented and the ecosystem expands.

  4. Price Prediction and Potential:

    • According to the current market pricing, the pre-market price of SCR is $1.4. Considering its market value, technical potential and market demand, it is expected that the reasonable price range after listing will be between $1.8 and $2.5, especially after the spot trading starts (16:00 Hong Kong time on October 22). Compared with the fully diluted valuation of zkSync, the market pricing of SCR still has a large room for growth.

  5. Market expectations:

    • As Ethereum's second-layer solutions continue to gain popularity, the market demand for Scroll and zkSync will gradually expand. Compared with zkSync, Scroll's technology and ecosystem development is relatively late, but its market value and price are low, which provides potential for its future growth.

In summary, compared with zkSync, SCR is currently in a relatively low valuation range. With the improvement of market acceptance, its price has room to rise, especially after the technology is realized and the ecological development is promoted. It is reasonable to expect the price to rise to 1.8-2.5 US dollars.