According to Jinshi Data, according to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by November is 86.2%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 13.8%. The probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points by December is 24.4%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 73.6%.
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CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 86.2%
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