The U.S. stock market has hit a new high, Nvidia has reached an all-time high, and the U.S. economy is booming with no sign of a soft landing, and it seems that the high economic growth will continue.
Last night, the S&P 500 closed up 0.77%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.47%, the Nasdaq closed up 0.87%, the Russell Index closed up 0.64%, and the VIX panic index closed down 3.76%.
The enthusiasm for the cryptocurrency market is even greater than that of the U.S. stock market. The Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of 471 million and the Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of 1.7 million. Bitcoin led the overall rise.
What is the good news? In fact, there is no substantial good news. Only one Fed official, Kashkari, said that it might be appropriate for the Fed to further moderately cut interest rates in the coming quarters. This is a trigger for the market climax.
However, another Federal Reserve official, Waller, said that the US economy may still be running at a faster-than-expected rate and future interest rate cuts need to be more cautious.
Excluding positive catalysts, the rise is actually still attributed to the market's bets on the US election.
Trump's victory is ahead in the odds, which is good for the cryptocurrency market. However, the black swan probability of Harris's victory cannot be ruled out.
You can buy two long Bitcoin options in early November and bet on the upward trend and huge gamma. After all, the market has been flat for too long and needs a sharp rise or fall.
I would like to remind you to put on insurance when placing bets, do not bet on one side, and do not sell too shallow. Once the market starts, it will be like a wild horse running wild, and you have to be on guard.
Before the results of the November election come out, I personally still do not expect the market to surge or plummet in advance. Now is still a time for differences of opinion and wait-and-see trend.
The price range of the recent double sell position of SOL is 110put to 175call. The floating loss of the subscription leg is large. When Bitcoin soars and breaks through the recent high, the position of SOL can be hedged.
The seller's profit always changes from floating loss to floating profit. As long as the price range is not broken and the risk after the rising wave is withstood, there will be a blue sky and blue sea. Risk management should be cautious, not blindly confident, and strictly enforce your own trading discipline. As long as the specific price is reached, it must be hedged in time, and don't gamble on luck.
The U.S. stock market is the barometer of the U.S. economy and its lifeline. The trend of the cryptocurrency circle following the U.S. stock market is becoming more and more obvious. Cryptocurrency speculation is already a branch of U.S. stock speculation. Let's study U.S. stocks together to increase our chances of winning.
