Compiled by: GaryMa Wu Talks Blockchain

summary
Wu said this week's macro indicators and analysis: Last week's Federal Reserve meeting minutes exposed differences in the sharp interest rate cut in September, and the CPI was lower than the previous value but higher than expected; this week's focus will be on the latest interest rate decision of the ECB and speeches by Federal Reserve officials.

Last week review

  • The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate fell to 2.4% in September from 2.5% in the previous month, marking the sixth consecutive month of decline and the lowest since February 2021, but higher than the market expectation of 2.3%.

  • The annual rate of PPI in the United States in September was 1.8%, in line with expectations of 1.6%. The previous value was revised from 1.70% to 1.9%.

  • Fed minutes reveal divisions over big September rate cut: “Some” policymakers preferred just a 25 basis point cut.

  • The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending October 5 was 258,000, compared with expectations of 230,000 and the previous value of 225,000.

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia released the minutes of its September monetary policy meeting and reiterated that monetary policy will remain restrictive.

  • The New Zealand Reserve Bank's interest rate decision on October 9 was 4.75%, in line with expectations and the previous value of 5.25%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%, in line with most economists' expectations.


This week's key events & indicators

October 15

  • Federal Reserve Board Governor Waller speaks on the economic outlook (03:00)


October 16

  • Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler delivered a speech (01:00)


October 17

  • ECB announces interest rate decision (20:15)

  • Number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending October 12 (10,000 people) (20:30)


October 18

  • Japan's September core CPI annual rate (07:30)

  • Kashkari, 2026 FOMC voting member and President of the Minneapolis Fed, speaks (22:00)