[4E: US September CPI exceeded expectations, but the labor market slowed down, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in November increased] On October 11, Thursday's CPI report showed that the US September CPI exceeded expectations across the board, and the process of inflation decline was hindered. Another data showed that the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week rose to the highest level in more than a year. The market attaches more importance to the impact of the slowdown in the labor market. Traders bet that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in November has risen to 83.3%, and the probability of a pause in the rate cut is 16.7%. According to 4E monitoring, after the data was released, US stocks opened lower, tried to turn higher in the afternoon, and then closed down again. The Dow fell 0.14%, the S&P 500 fell 0.21%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.05%. Most of the crypto markets fell, and Bitcoin once again lost the $60,000 mark, with a price of $60,533 as of press time. Non-US currencies rose and fell, expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut increased, and the US dollar index fell slightly; oil prices, affected by tensions in the Middle East and Hurricane Milton, bid farewell to two days of consecutive declines and rose by more than 3.5%; the expectation of rate cuts supported gold prices, with spot gold rising by more than 0.9% during the session and bidding farewell to six consecutive days of decline, and spot silver rose by more than 2.2% and bid farewell to three consecutive days of decline. The increase in CPI in September exceeded expectations, exacerbating the market discussion on whether the Fed will suspend interest rate cuts. However, the successive statements of Fed officials show that employment is the dominant factor in current policies, and the employment data in October will be the key to determining the pace and degree of the Fed's easing. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, bulk gold, and foreign exchange. It recently launched a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and allocate assets reasonably.