Thoughts on the evening of October 10:

At the hourly level, we are currently in the third hourly level decline, and this decline is about to end. In the short term, it will fall at most one more wave. At present, we need to pay close attention to the strength of the short-term decline. If the big cake falls back to around 60,000 and does not fall below 59,800, there is a certain probability that it will rebound at the hourly level and reach around 63,000, thus building an hourly level center, and then fall below 59,800 to complete the overall four-hour level callback, as shown by the blue arrow in the figure above.

Or, if the hourly level decline here continues to break through 59,800, as shown by the black arrow in the figure above, then this will end the four-hour level callback at any time, and then start a new four-hour level rebound to break through 66,500.

In either case, in short-term operations, it is not recommended to go short for the time being, and the retracement should be mainly long. Then consider whether the four-hour level decline is to build a center extension or to end directly and start a new rebound according to the actual situation.

Big Cake 59800-60000 long, up to 61150-61300

Second Cake 2320-2340 long, up to 2390-2400

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