According to BlockBeats, on October 4, according to the prediction market Polymarket page, two prediction markets have been launched: "Who will the HBO documentary identify as Satoshi Nakamoto" and "When will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be confirmed."
Among them, in the prediction market of "Who will be identified as Satoshi Nakamoto in the HBO documentary", Len Sassaman has a probability of 58%. It is reported that Len Sassaman is a famous computer scientist and cryptographer, known for his contributions in the fields of privacy protection, anonymous communication and network security. Hal Finney has a probability of 18%. It is reported that Hal Finney is a famous computer scientist and programmer, known for his important role in the early development of Bitcoin. Finney is one of the early readers of the Bitcoin white paper and made the first transaction within a few days of the launch of the Bitcoin network. He was the first person to accept a Bitcoin transaction and sent 10 Bitcoins to Satoshi Nakamoto. At present, there are $132,000 in funds participating in this prediction market.
BlockBeats reported this morning that documentary producer Cullen Hoback and HBO recently announced the upcoming documentary film (MoneyElectric: The Mystery of Bitcoin), which attempts to decipher the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto. (MoneyElectric: The Mystery of Bitcoin) will be broadcast on HBO on October 8. The film interviews people who claim to have been in close contact with the founder after the release of Bitcoin. It indicates that Satoshi Nakamoto may not be one person, but a group of people. However, the trailer does not provide enough information to reveal the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto. Rumors that Satoshi Nakamoto's identity has been exposed may just be hype for the movie.
