Today's homework cannot be considered completely hindsight. I specifically talked about the impact of the current escalation of war on the risk market in Space last Friday. I just didn't expect it to come true. I just finished talking about it on Friday, and it happened on Tuesday. Now looking at the decline of the risk market, more and more signs show that it is directly related to the war. It's true that war hurts your wallet.
In general, the impact of war is still worried that oil prices will lead to rising inflation, and war will also make the economy more unstable, but in general, as long as the United States is not directly dragged down, there should be no big problem. Although oil prices have risen, they are still within a relatively low range. During the election, both parties should not want the war to involve the United States.
So it is likely that, as we said on Friday, three days without involvement in the U.S. should calm the risk market. The risk market should also have a chance to recover. Of course, the most important thing is the non-agricultural data on Friday night. If the data is not good, it may make the market more anxious.
Judging from the data of #BTC, although the price has retreated, the buying sentiment is still good, and there has been no panic selling. On the contrary, as the price fell, there was a lot of buying between USD 62,000 and USD 63,000. More than 65% of the sales were BTC with short-term losses, and 30% were BTC with short-term profits. In addition, the overall turnover was not large, so the sentiment was still good.
From the support perspective, the concentrated area of chips has not been broken. The departures from $64,000 to $69,000 are mainly from new investors. The focus should still be on Friday. After all, what the Federal Reserve is paying most attention to now is the labor market.
The data has been updated, address: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1E9awSVwrVOxKOiaMdYT5YZvfveeFd9ENU-iO6dVcGj0/edit?usp=sharing
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