Medium- and long-term trading strategy:
Given the signs of reappearance of historical patterns, we predict that the active period of altcoins (i.e., "altcoin season") is coming, which is often accompanied by a relative decline in Bitcoin's market share. Based on this expectation, our medium- and long-term position allocation strategy is to adopt a hedging layout: moderately short Bitcoin (BTC) and actively long mainstream altcoins to build a neutral risk preference investment portfolio. This strategy aims to capture market opportunities in the process of Bitcoin's market share gradually declining from the current level of about 56% to 50%, and to balance and possibly exceed the possible downward impact of Bitcoin through the relative strength of altcoins.
Short-term trading ideas:
Focusing on the important events that are about to happen, the return of CZ (on the 29th of this month will undoubtedly bring positive sentiment to the market, especially for BNB (Binance Coin), which is expected to trigger a round of rising market. Therefore, in short-term operations, we plan to adopt a strategy of going long on BNB and shorting BTC at the same time to build a neutral position portfolio aimed at maximizing the relative return of BNB. This strategy aims to quickly respond to changes in market sentiment, take advantage of BNB's possible short-term strong performance to obtain excess returns, and plan to flexibly adjust positions according to the actual market situation to ensure efficient execution and risk control of short-term operations.
