Predicting the prospects of Hamster Kombat

1. Overview of the token economy:

At the time of the token generation event TGE, 63% of the total supply, or 63 billion tokens, entered circulation, which means that there is a lot of liquidity in the market that may affect price fluctuations. Especially when considering that 12% of the tokens are locked through airdrops, this may lead to short-term selling pressure if market conditions deteriorate or demand decreases.

2. Market comparison:

Comparing Hamster Kombat with similar projects such as Not and Catizen, which have fully diluted valuations of $800 million and $900 million respectively, provides us with a reference. If HMSTR's FDV reaches $1 billion as you predict, it is possible for the price of each token to reach $0.015 in the case of a bullish market.

3. Pre-listing price dynamics:

The pre-listing token price soared from $0.001 to $0.14, showing the initial market enthusiasm. The price stabilized between $0.01 and $0.05, which more truly reflects the market sentiment and liquidity conditions. This also reflects the high volatility that is common when new tokens are listed, especially when driven by influencers and social media buzz.

4. Listing Day Price Prediction:

Your prediction of a listing day price of between $0.008 and $0.009 is in line with reasonable market expectations based on a market cap of $500 million to $600 million. If Hamster Kombat continues to gain momentum and its FDV approaches $1 billion, a price of $0.015 is possible, but this will depend largely on post-listing performance, early trading behavior, and investor sentiment.

5. Caution and Long-Term Outlook:

As you wisely point out, the hype generated through channels such as Binance Launchpool and influencers may lead to speculative trading. Especially considering that 3% of tokens will be distributed through airdrops and the high volatility that may occur in the early stages.

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