@3Friends The daily report focuses on market trend analysis, macroeconomic events, cryptocurrency dynamics, technical analysis and contract position interpretation. Daily push covers BTC/ETH spot ETF trends, important global financial events, cryptocurrency market value changes and sentiment index, and provides accurate operation suggestions through multi-period technical analysis to help investors seize opportunities in the market.
1. US BTC/ETH spot ETF net inflow and outflow
On September 20, 2024, the Bitcoin spot ETF had a net inflow of $92.00M; the Ethereum spot ETF had a net inflow of $2.87M.
(BTC spot ETF | Data source: sosovalue.xyz)
(ETH spot ETF | Data source: sosovalue.xyz)
2. Cryptocurrency Market Overview
2.1 Cryptocurrency Market Cap and Spot Trading Volume
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization is $2.23 trillion, with a 24-hour change of 1.55%.
The 24-hour spot trading volume is $71.171 billion, and the 24-hour trading volume change is 57.00%.
Bitcoin’s market share is 56.41%
Ethereum’s market share is 14.35%
2.2 Crypto Market Stability
The total market capitalization of fiat-backed stablecoins is $165.862 billion.
Stablecoin market analysis results:
2.3 USDT and its market share
USDT.D:5.04%
Small cycle (1H/4H): short medium term, bearish, strongly bearish
Large cycle (12H/1D): 12H, shorts strengthen, 1D, longs end
3. Market analysis and spot inflow and outflow
3.1 Market Heat
(Market heat | Data source: aicoin.com)
(Market heat | Data source: followin.io)
3.2 Rise and Fall Distribution
(Rise and fall analysis | Data source: aicoin.com)
3.3 BTC spot fund inflow and outflow
The net inflow of BTC spot in the past 24 hours was 15.9919 million US dollars;
BTC spot saw a net inflow of US$21.77 million this week.
The net inflow of BTC contracts in the past 24 hours was -126 million USD;
BTC contracts had a net inflow of -$139 million this week.
(Spot inflow and outflow | Data source: coinglass.com)
3.4 Capital inflow and outflow in each sector (ecosystem)
(Capital inflow and outflow of the sector ecology | Data source: coinglass.com)
3.5 Cryptocurrency Spot Funds Net Inflow and Outflow 24H
(Spot capital inflow and outflow | Data source: coinglass.com)
4. Market sentiment
Currently, the Greed Fear Index (FGI) is 50 and the market sentiment is Neutral. The change of the Greed Fear Index in the past 24 hours is -2 points and the 7-day change is +11 points.
The quarterly index of the alt is 33%, which should be stable above 25. You can pay attention to the alt, pay attention to the alt index and BTC.D. Currently, BTC.D is falling; the annual index of the alt is 41%.
Quarterly Index of Alternatives
Copycat Annual Index
(Altcoin index | Data source: www.blockchaincenter.net)
5. Contract market data
5.1 Contract Open Interest
Total cryptocurrency contract open interest: $61.699 billion;
The total open interest of BTC contracts is 34.581 billion US dollars;
The total open interest of CME BTC contracts is USD 10.204 billion;
Total ETH contract positions: 11.705 billion USD
(Total contract turnover and total positions | Data source: coinglass.com)
5.2 Contract liquidation data
The total amount of liquidation was 169 million US dollars, the long position liquidation amount was 91.6 million US dollars, and the short position liquidation amount was 77.79 million US dollars
1(Digital currency contract liquidation chart | Data source: coinglass.com))
5.3 Ratio of long and short positions in the exchange
(Ratio of long and short positions in exchanges | Data source: aicoin.com)
6. Technical analysis of BTC market and strength and weakness of mainstream currencies
6.1 Analyzing BTC market trends in multiple time periods
Large cycle: 1W/1D/12H
1W, bulls weakened, and now it is the 14th week that bulls weakened, and bulls gradually weakened; the strength of weekly bull weakening decreased, and the recent selling point of this cycle was destroyed.
1D, the bears are weakening, the bears are at the end, the bears have lasted for 152 days, and the bears have weakened for 132 days. The current long-short dividing line (in space) is 61026. The long-short dividing line moves up. The current price has stabilized on the long-short dividing line, and the price is bullish.
12H, bulls strengthen, bullish direction in the early stage. The upper pressure is 65034, and a big rise is expected after breaking through.
Small cycle: 4H/1H (intraday)
In 4H, the bullish momentum weakened and the trend strengthened.
1H, bearish weakening, 62900, 61130
Overall, the current market trend is bullish in the short term, and the long stop profit position of 64745 is very close to the expected 64750. This wave of bullish trend started from 58200 and has tested the expected 64750. After a short-term adjustment, it continues to be bullish. The long-term bearish trend continues to weaken.
6.2 Possible intraday trends
Intraday direction: Long
Intraday pressure level: 64745, 64500, 64750
Intraday support: 63438, 62646
6.3 The strength and weakness of the main currencies today (BTC/ETH/SOL/BNB/PEPE)
7. Macro events and calendar this week
September 26, 2024 (Thursday)
Number of initial unemployment claims in the United States: The initial unemployment claims data released weekly can reflect the short-term trends in the labor market and have an important impact on short-term market fluctuations.
#美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹 #BTC走势预测
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