⛱ Research report: How have various types of assets performed after the Federal Reserve started to cut interest rates?

Certain patterns have emerged in the seven rounds of interest rate cuts. Before the first rate cut, U.S. bonds and gold usually benefit;

After the first rate cut, the volatility risk of most asset prices has increased in stages. After 2-3 months, US bonds and US stocks may perform positively. Before and after the rate cut, the winning rate of US bonds is relatively high.

1. U.S. Treasuries: The interest rate trend is downward, but in a "soft landing" scenario, it may rebound temporarily within 1-2 months after the first rate cut.

2. US Dollar Index: There is no absolute correlation between its trend and interest rate cuts, or whether there is a "soft landing".

3. U.S. stocks: The rally may stall around the time of the first rate cut, but will usually resume 2-3 months after the cut.

4. Gold: There is a high probability of rising before the interest rate cut, but the trend after the interest rate cut is unclear.

5. Crude oil: There is a high probability that it will fall after the interest rate cut, but it is not absolute.

For assets like #Bitcoin, I have only one thing to say: the surge will be so huge that you can't even imagine it!