News:

Powell Monetary Policy Press Conference:

1. Interest rate outlook: Decisions will be made at meetings; if the economy remains robust and inflation remains stubborn, policy adjustments may be made more slowly. Rate cuts can be fast or slow or even suspended. Do not regard a 50BP rate cut as the norm. #token2049

2. Inflation outlook: The upside risk of inflation has weakened, and the fight against inflation has not been declared a victory. Housing inflation is part of the drag on the economy. #新币挖矿HMSTR

3. Economic outlook: The overall economy is strong and is committed to maintaining strong economic development. The unemployment rate has risen, but it is still low. There is no sign that the possibility of a recession has increased. #币安上线NEIRO #

4. Market reaction: From the announcement of the resolution to Powell's speech, gold rose first and then fell, once standing above the historical mark of $2,600; the three major U.S. stock indexes turned to fall, completely erasing the gains since the interest rate resolution. The dollar weakened and then rebounded strongly. The 2Y yield of US Treasury bonds fell 11BP at one point and then rebounded. #

5. Latest expectations: The latest data from CME shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 63.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 35.3%. #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹

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