CoinVoice recently learned that the Guosheng Macroeconomics team said that the Fed cut interest rates by 50bp, which was slightly higher than market expectations. However, Powell's speech was hawkish, saying that the rate cut was not normal. The dot plot shows that the rate will be cut by another 50bp this year, and the market expects another 75bp cut this year. Combining historical rules and asset performance after this meeting, this substantial rate cut should have strengthened the market's concerns about the US economic recession; it is inclined to believe that considering that it takes time to disprove the recession expectations and the US election will be held on November 5, the prices of major asset classes may fluctuate greatly in the short term. In the future, we need to keep a close eye on whether the US data can confirm or disprove the recession expectations, and also keep a close eye on the progress of the election. (Jinshi) [Original link]
