US Federal Reserve Rate Cut Dates (Last 5 Years):

1. July 31, 2019: 📉 First interest rate cut since 2008, to 2.00% - 2.25%.
2. September 18, 2019: 📉 New cut to 1.75% - 2.00%.
3. October 30, 2019: 📉 Reduced to 1.50% - 1.75%.
4. March 3, 2020: 📉 Emergency cut to 1.00% - 1.25% due to the Corona pandemic.
5. March 15, 2020: 📉 Another cut to 0.00% - 0.25%.


US Federal Reserve Rate Hike Dates (Last 4 Years):

1. March 16, 2022: 📈 First interest rate hike since 2018, up 0.25% (0.25% - 0.50%).
2. May 4, 2022: 📈 Raise by 0.50% (0.75% - 1.00%).
3. June 15, 2022: 📈 Huge 0.75% hike (1.50% - 1.75%).
4. July 27, 2022: 📈 Raise by 0.75% (2.25% - 2.50%).
5. September 21, 2022: 📈 Raise by 0.75% (3.00% - 3.25%).
6. November 2, 2022: 📈 Raise by 0.75% (3.75% - 4.00%).
7. December 14, 2022: 📈 Raise by 0.50% (4.25% - 4.50%).
8. February 1, 2023: 📈 Raise by 0.25% (4.50% - 4.75%).
9. March 22, 2023: 📈 Raise by 0.25% (4.75% - 5.00%).
10. May 3, 2023: 📈 Raise by 0.25% (5.00% - 5.25%).
11. July 26, 2023: 📈 Raise by 0.25% (5.25% - 5.50%).

How does Bitcoin react to economic and political news?

1. Economic news:
- Interest rates:
- When interest rates are lowered, investors look for alternative assets, which pushes them towards Bitcoin as a haven against inflation. This usually leads to a rise in the price of Bitcoin. 📈
- On the other hand, when interest rates rise, investors tend to move towards traditional assets such as bonds, which leads to a decline in demand for Bitcoin and a fall in its price. 📉

- Inflation or economic recession:
     - News indicating an economic recession or high inflation often pushes Bitcoin higher. During the Corona crisis and the inflation crisis that followed in 2021-2022, Bitcoin saw significant increases. 📊

2. Regulatory news:
- Government regulations:
- Positive news about crypto adoption or supportive regulation, such as the approval of Bitcoin ETFs or banks being allowed to accept cryptocurrencies, drives prices higher. 🚀
- Negative news, such as a trading ban or tightening of regulations, may cause prices to fall suddenly. ⚠️

3. Buy the rumor, sell the news:
- Pre-pricing: Often, events are priced into the markets before they happen. For example, if investors anticipate a rate hike, the price of Bitcoin may drop before the official announcement. 📉
- Backlash: After the news is released, what is known as “buy the rumor, sell the news” may occur, where investors sell their assets to make a profit even though the news itself is positive. 💡

4. Impact of technical factors:
- Support and Resistance: Market reactions to news may be contradictory due to technical support and resistance levels. If there are technical signals to sell despite positive news, we may see a temporary pullback in price. 📉

5. Psychological factors and investment behaviors:
- FOMO and Fear: When there is positive news, there may be a sudden spike due to the fear of missing out (FOMO). On the other hand, negative news may lead to a drop due to panic and quick selling. 😨


Bitcoin is directly affected by economic and political news, but the reaction is not always immediate or predictable, due to prior market analysis, technical factors, and investor psychological behavior. 🌐

🔵 Today's Fed Decision: The Most Uncertain in Over a Decade 🔍

🔹 Markets expect:

- 53% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut 📉

- 45% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut 📉

- Only 2% chance of no interest rate cut 🚫

🔹 When was the last time the market split like this?

It was in 2008!

⚠️ Regardless of the Fed's decision today, half the market will not be satisfied... and everyone is waiting for this important decision.

📆 Today is a great day!

⏳ The news after an hour and a half!

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