According to Jinshi Data on September 18, global financial services company Ebury said that the Bank of England is likely to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday, but the split in the vote among policymakers on the decision will be crucial to the pound.

Ebury market strategist Matthew Ryan said in a report that the Monetary Policy Committee is expected to keep its base rate unchanged this week, with the vote likely to be 8-1 or 7-2, and the statement will reiterate the approach of gradual rate reductions, in line with Ebury's call for quarterly rate cuts.

Ryan said a closer vote, with a balance between policymakers who favour keeping rates unchanged and those who favour cutting them, would "undoubtedly" have a negative impact on the pound.