A lot of people are paying attention to the Fed's interest rate cut, right? Bitcoin's trend tonight may be the most concerned issue for everyone.
The market is currently predicting a 25 basis point or 50 basis point interest rate cut, but few people are discussing whether there will be no interest rate cut, which means that the interest rate cut is almost certain. The time of the interest rate cut can be simply understood as the US dollar being thrown into the world, and more money will naturally flow to gold, the stock market, and the currency circle. But it is not a good thing for the United States, which means that the US dollar will depreciate.
Trump is likely to be president, and he has started to cut interest rates before he takes office. It is not a good thing, but it has reached a critical point and it is not possible not to cut interest rates.
I personally think that there is a possibility of not cutting interest rates. The possibility of 25 basis points is the greatest. 50 basis points is too radical. From any angle, there is no need to do it all at once and make the market turbulent.
The Fed's interest rate cut has overdrawn the currency circle, so even if the interest rate is cut by 52 basis points, it will not rise too much. If there is no interest rate cut, it is likely to fall sharply! There will be a good increase in the case of 50 basis points, but I hope it will not be too big!
Based on the comprehensive factor analysis, how to participate in transactions in such a market? I will adopt contract grid trading (neutral) and set the interval reasonably enough. No matter whether it is a big rise or a big fall, as long as the rebound will get a good result, the greater the volatility, the rebound is inevitable!
Personally, I think it will be a small rise and small wave, and then start a deep correction, because for those who are good at the market, they will chase the rise, and the deep correction will directly liquidate all long orders. This probability is still very high.
The most critical day in September is at 2 am tonight. Think about which strategy is the safest and can make you profitable, and make a good layout in advance. $BTC
