Will the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points? Will the US economy have a soft landing or will it decline? Wall Street is now completely hyped.
The new bond king of Wall Street said that the Fed should cut interest rates by 50 basis points. The reason is that the Fed should have cut interest rates in July, but it was delayed until September. The US economy is getting worse and worse. If it makes a mistake now, it is likely to drag the US economy directly to the bottom. Then other people's views are completely different.
For example, Ray Dalio, the famous founder of Bridgewater Fund, said that the Fed should maintain strategic focus. The 25 basis points mentioned before should be steadily reduced by 25 basis points according to the established strategy to give everyone clearer guidance.
Then Lao K brings you exclusive analysis and judgment. There are three important points to watch at the Fed's meeting tonight. The first one is of course 25 points or 50 points. I think a 25-point reduction is more in line with the Fed's consistent style and Powell's cautious attitude.
If the Fed abandons 25 basis points and moves to 50 basis points, the Fed's credit will go down the drain. For an independent central bank like the Fed, credit is greater than gold, and confidence is greater than everything. So I think 25 basis points are more important.
And if the Fed chooses 25 basis points, it can also tell everyone very frankly and confidently at the press conference after the meeting that everything is done according to our script, the US economy is completely healthy and resilient, and everyone can trust the Fed and continue to move forward according to the Fed's guidance.
But if 50 basis points are chosen, the highlight tonight will be how Fed Chairman Powell will convey the reasons behind the 50 basis points to reporters and Wall Street, which is what everyone is most worried about. If you don't see the cliff and risks ahead, why do you suddenly want to drop from 25 to 50? Will it panic the market?
The third point is the Fed's dot plot tonight and the economic forecast released after the meeting. This will give the global economy a macro-panorama of the coming year.
Today, Lao K will stay up late with you all and continue to output his practical strategies and news. If you are interested, please like and follow.#美联储利率决议公布在即 #美联储何时降息? #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH