The probability of a rate cut is currently 99.9%, and there is still one meeting to go. A 50-point rate cut should not exist, as that would be a change of admitting that the US economy is in recession;
The daily line of the big pie has returned to the upward trend. There is less than one day left today, and it feels difficult to go down. At most, it will be a pin. You can pay attention to the positions of 59100 and 59500;
Now the second exploration of the daily line has been completed, and it is very strong, not as deep as imagined. The daily line went out of the rising three methods yesterday and returned to the trend. The support below is 59500-59800;
In addition, look at the liquidation strength In the chart, 58000 is the extreme pin position. It is difficult to have a long position of 1.8 billion dollars. Then there is 59100, where there are also half of the long positions. The short position of 61300 should be broken by shock before the interest rate cut, and then break through 64000 by taking advantage of the interest rate cut to clear all short positions;
The probability of shock during the day is high, 59500-61300, and the lowest is 59100 first; 15 minutes break through the downward trend and start to rebound, first look at the previous high around 61300;
If there is no interest rate cut, let alone, all the declines will be fine.
