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Deutsche Bank: The Fed's rate cut this week will indicate the overall rate cut in 2024

On September 16, Jim Reid, a market strategist at Deutsche Bank, said in a report that the size of the Fed's first rate cut will affect the overall rate cut this year. If the Fed cuts by 25 basis points on Wednesday, Deutsche Bank expects the Fed's forecast to show a total rate cut of 75 basis points this year. If the Fed chooses to cut by 50 basis points, they expect a 100 basis point cut by the end of the year. According to Refinitiv data, there is still uncertainty about how much the Fed will cut interest rates this week, with money markets expecting a 59% chance of a 50 basis point cut and a 41% chance of a 25 basis point cut.