$BTC is currently priced around 60400. From the current analysis of the entire market, the overall trend of the market is bearish, but at the current 60400 point, the market has been in a small range of fluctuations. It is possible that after the fluctuation, it will overflow by several hundred points and crash the market. We all know that 60500-61300 is a strong pressure point before 919, and the top of the J line in the daily KDJ has been flat for many days. Regardless of whether the market will fall sharply, there is only one thing, the market will definitely have a small correction and release the KDJ position. Combining the 4-hour and hourly indicators, although the indicators have not been perfect in the past few days, it can still be seen that the market will fall or continue to fluctuate and wait for a fall. As for how much it will fall, 59700 and 58200 are supported. There are only 3 days left for 919, and it is not clear at present that it must fall to that point before rebounding.

Another point to say is that if the daily KDJ is still at the top in the next 2-3 days, then don't think about it, 919 will be a 100% crash. After all, although macd is a golden cross, it is below 0, and ema and ma60 have been under pressure for several days. But capital should not do this, this is just shooting itself in the foot, the indicator is too obvious.

Comprehensive analysis: the market will fall in the next two days,

Spot wait and see

The contract band is mainly high and empty, and the "short exploration method" is prepared for any eventuality.

Looking back at my bearish outlook on September 6 after the release of non-agricultural data, the market fell to 53,000, and fluctuated and rose in the range of 5300-(60500-61300). In fact, I had accurately analyzed the market before that.

If you have paid attention to the "crypto sweeper monk", you should have eaten meat.

At that time, it was analyzed and predicted that 919 would reach 60500-61300, and the market would be smashed after the release of the Fed's interest rate decision data.

But now it has touched 60500, the speed is too fast, but the overall prediction is still similar, so the small range fluctuations on the weekend smoothed the previous wave of 58400-60500. Now it depends on how the capital will operate next. Pay close attention to the trend of the dif line in the daily macd and the changes in the vol trading volume.

From the data and information perspective, a 25 basis point interest rate cut is stable, which is really the market's reaction. Let's assume that it is indeed stable. The Americans must have diluted the negative impact on the economy in advance. Therefore, the Fed's interest rate announcement will not have much impact on the market. If the interest rate is cut, the market will definitely rise first, but there will inevitably be a reversal and a sell-off.Don’t expect interest rate cuts to benefit retail investors.