My friends always ask me, "When should I buy?"

Instead of trying to guess the bottom, look for signs of a trend change on higher time frames—don’t just chase one good day in the market.

What should you be looking at? 

- Is the MACD curling up? 

- Have we broken a downtrend line? 

- Are we above key moving averages? 

- When is earnings?

Looking at price action, these are the questions you need to ask yourself.

Let’s take $SMCI as an example. The earnings reaction was lower, compounded by a weak overall market.

Do I own $SMCI? Yes, I added around $300 and have reduced my position 4x, so I’m comfortable holding a runner position now. But what if you didn't add last year?

If you missed the earlier move, this might look like a good buy opportunity for the long term.

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