Will the "black swan" come before the interest rate cut?
If not, at what time point should we avoid the "black swan"?
If we look back at history, we will find that:
On the eve of 2017, the "94" storm swept, Bitcoin was cut in half, and altcoins were almost zero.
In March 2020, the market was shaken, Bitcoin plunged by 60%, and altcoins were almost wiped out.
In September of the same year, Bitcoin fell slightly, but DeFi was stuck in the quagmire and the callback was tragic.
In May 2021, Bitcoin was cut in half again, and altcoins repeated the same mistakes.
Entering 2024, although Bitcoin has a callback, altcoins are still tragic.
The market has been hit hard, and it should be brewing a rebound, but it has ushered in a cold wave again, and people are panicking.
The voices of liquidation and losses are endless every day, and millions of assets have become empty in an instant, and leveraged contract holders have their dreams shattered overnight. In the face of losses, emotions are inevitably excited, but tolerance of dissent shows the posture of growth.
Bitcoin is now at a critical node, fluctuating between 53,000 and 57,000, with the bottom looming. Although there is no major negative news, the decline is controlled by the main force.
The Fed is about to cut interest rates, which may become a turning point. The election trend is even more favorable, so the bull is really still there;
If the interest rate cut meets expectations, 65,000 is just around the corner; if it does not meet expectations, it may break the 50,000 defense line. The general direction of the market cannot be predicted, so the strategy needs to be flexible.
Gouzhuang is also a real dog, and he will give you a needle from time to time, just because of the rapid in and out of funds. When the market is stable, needles are rare; in the bull market, it is even rarer because the main force holds the currency to wait for the rise. Yesterday's needle was a signal for the main force to retreat.
Under the new normal of the global economy, funds are concentrated in a few people, and retail investors need to be more cautious and operate in batches to protect their principal. Don't be greedy for temporary gains and ensure that profits are not lost.
In the current market, I have dozens of response plans
Leave a message if you can keep up, let me see!
