Solana TVL hits near 1-year high — Will SOL price follow?

The total value locked on Solana surged but is this enough to send SOL price to a new all-time high?

Solana’s native token, SOL 

SOL

$153

, has been unable to break above the $150 resistance level since Aug. 12. However, some network metrics have shown strength, including the total deposits in its decentralized applications, which have surged to their highest level since October 2022. Traders are now questioning whether these improvements in network fundamentals are sufficient to drive SOL’s price back to $190 and what factors may be hindering its performance.

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Diminished prospects of Solana spot ETF in the US

One reason for the lack of enthusiasm among investors stems from Cboe Global Markets' recent decision to remove the 19b-4 forms for Solana spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) from its website on Aug. 16. Some market participants, including finance lawyer Scott Johnsson, suggest that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission has informally rejected the Solana ETF, consistent with Chair Gary Gensler’s earlier stance.

Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, shares a similar view, noting that while the S-1 filings from the ETF issuers remain active, the chances of approval are slim, with the only hope being a change in the current SEC administration should Donald Trump win the US presidential election. As a result, investor optimism regarding the potential launch of a spot Solana ETF has diminished, reducing the immediate impact of Solana’s network.

$SOL

Crypto trader and investor CoinMamba, for example, believes Solana’s appeal has waned as Ethereum’s average fees have dropped to around $1 for the first time since July 2020, while other blockchains are gaining traction with memecoin launches, a significant driver of demand for SOL

CoinMamba also suggests that Solana needs to “find a new narrative,” indicating that the outlook for SOL’s price appreciation depends on exploring new niches and discovering decentralized.