According to Odaily Planet Daily, AI pioneer Hinton believes that the possibility of AI causing human extinction in the next 30 years is between 10% and 20%. He warns that the pace of technological change is exceeding expectations.
Hinton won the Nobel Prize in Physics for his contributions to AI and has stated that there is a 10% chance of catastrophic consequences from AI. When asked if his assessment of the AI apocalypse and the 10% probability analysis has changed, he said: "Nothing has changed, it’s 10% to 20%."