If Trump fails to bring substantial benefits in the BTC conference in the second half of the night and only stays at verbal rendering, then the current 69400 area may have indicated a short-term high. From a technical perspective, although the overall upward trend line has not been clearly broken, BTC's short-term rise and then fall is only a technical adjustment at the 30-minute level.

Given that it is almost the end of the month, the market focus quickly turns to the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on the 31st. Historical experience shows that on the eve of major policy meetings, the market often reacts in advance, dominated by risk aversion, causing prices to fall first. Therefore, the next two days (that is, tomorrow and the day after tomorrow) will be a key window for the bulls to launch the final sprint, aiming to lay out in advance for the upcoming market fluctuations on July 31. If the bulls can successfully attack during this period, it will be regarded as a positive signal; on the contrary, if there is a lack of momentum, the market may fall into sideways consolidation and then turn to a downward trend.

In terms of operation, if the price falls back to the range of 68300 to 68000, it can be regarded as a good opportunity for low-long layout. The target can be set near 68880, and it is recommended to reduce most of the positions near this position to lock in profits. If the subsequent price further falls back to below 67700, it is necessary to be vigilant about the exhaustion of rebound momentum, and the market may officially enter the stage of oscillating downward. At that time, lower entry points such as 67300 or the psychological integer mark of 66666 will become more robust low-long strategy considerations.

In short, the current market is in a sensitive period. Investors should pay close attention to policy dynamics and changes in market sentiment, and flexibly adjust trading strategies to cope with possible fluctuations. #比特币行情 #比特币大会 #美国PCE通胀放缓 #美联储何时降息？ #美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易 $BTC $ETH