Biden's withdrawal from the election has actually been foreshadowed for several days, but the news in the early morning still caused a round of Trump's market to rise sharply. After Trump's election situation soared after being shot, the Democratic Party immediately changed its campaign strategy, first suspending all election activities, and then announcing that Biden had contracted the new crown. A rough summary shows the following possibilities and considerations:
Short-term
Trump is currently in high spirits, and Biden temporarily withdrew from the election to show weakness to the enemy. Refer to Yuan Shikai's return home due to foot disease, 1. Temporarily avoid pressure from the Democratic Party, which means that I have withdrawn, so you can choose someone else. If you can't be elected or whoever you choose can't beat Trump and still use my words, then come and beg me, and I will consider whether to do it. 2. People's memory is very short. Now Trump has been shot and public opinion is high, but Trump himself has many shortcomings in governance. Let him perform alone. It is very easy for him to show off for a while and then get carried away and speak nonsense, thus losing the trust of middle-class voters.
Mid-term
No matter who the Democratic Party replaces, it is basically impossible to defeat Trump. In the end, there is really no way out within the party. They can't really push Obama and Hillary out again, right? In the end, there is no choice but for the party leaders to visit Biden and ask him to come out for the overall situation. Biden declined three times and came out to preside over the overall situation and PK Trump.
Long-term
No matter who comes to power, the economy is bad and economic recession is a high probability event. Then, by laying mines and shifting the blame in advance, no matter who comes to power, they can push it to the other party, saying that the economic crisis was caused by the other party's interference. In this way, the support rate and legitimacy of their own governance will be stabilized.
Market
Previously, it was given that there would be a market from mid-August to mid-November. Now, because of a shot, it has gone backwards to the 68,400 line according to the points given before. If Trump's market ferments further this week, it will even try 72,000 again in the near future.
