According to Jinshi data reports, CME's 'FedWatch' shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate until December is 45.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 54.8%.
By January next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 29.8%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 51.5%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 18.7%.