Tonight's CPI data will be released soon, and the trend is crucial. The following is a forecast for the future market: #CPI数据
First: The market is in the second bottoming stage and the main rising wave is on
The market is currently in the second bottoming stage, which is our last chance to get on board. It is expected that the market will start the main rising wave from August to October. The interest rate cut may be carried out from September to October, when there will be a high point, estimated to be in the range of 86,000 to 96,000. Whether it can reach 100,000 is not the key, the important thing is to know how to escape in time. The high point may appear at the end of this year or early next year. Every time the interest rate is cut, the US stock market will pull back by more than 20%, which is by no means alarmist.
Second: Emotional fanaticism and missed opportunities
After the high point from the end of October to the beginning of November, many people may be trapped in this position, and the emotions are extremely fanatical. They are wrong and completely replicate the misjudgment of the last round of bull market, thinking that it will continue to rise until April to May next year.
Third: Bull market, but not all coins rising at the same time
This is a bull market, but don't expect all coins to rise at the same time like the last round. People who hold this idea often enter the market in the last bull market. The interest rate cut means that the biggest narrative has settled, and there will be no new narrative to tell. The US stock market has been soaring this year, but it will collapse after the interest rate cut.
Fourth: Layout long-term trends
Next week, you can start to layout long-term trends. Every sharp drop in the market is an opportunity. This time, you can hold your position until the end of the year.
Please stay calm, analyze the market rationally, and don't blindly follow the trend.
