bitcoin

Cryptotrader outlines worst-case scenario - The Daily Hodl A crypto strategist who predicted the start of bitcoin's current bull market has described what he believes is the worst-case situation for BTC, reports

pseudonymous analyst DonAlt, told 657,500 subscribers on social media platform X that #BTC could very well repeat its collapse during the 2021 bull cycle, when it lost more than 50 percent of its value in just three months. Although #bitcoin eventually recovered all of its losses by November 2021 Although bitcoin recovered all of its losses by November 2021, BTC failed to rise above $69,000 before the bull market abruptly ended.
If bitcoin follows in the footsteps of the 2021 bull cycle, BTC will recover from a 50 percent drawdown to reach an all-time high of over $110000. After reaching new highs, we can assume that it will give up most of its gains and move into a bear market.
the worst-case scenario for me is that we will enter this cycle. However, DonAlt believes that the best scenario for bitcoin is that it will exit the four-year cycle on a halving basis. A bitcoin halving is an event that halves the reward for BTC miners, causing a supply/demand imbalance that previously coincided with growth.
Without a four-year cycle, DonAlt believes that BTC will not be timed to the top of the market, showing a steady uptrend and seemingly suggesting that a brutal bear winter will be avoided.
This cycle is so cold.
If the market goes up? Great, you're making money. If the market goes down? That's it. Maybe it will go up again. In previous cycles, we always struggled with the need to sell tops and bottoms. If you look at the current state of bitcoin, after a brief dip below $80000, BTC has continued to recover, and by the end of this week, analysts say it could regain support at $BTC How can it get above $ 90000 by the end of the week?
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$BTC
Position: Long
Hope you can This chart shows Bitcoin’s price action on the 1-hour timeframe. A inverse head and shoulders pattern are drawn, indicating a potential bullish breakout. The price is currently around $85,069. A projected breakout above resistance (around $92,500) suggests an upward move. The red zones mark key resistance levels, while the blue trendline highlights the breakout path.

Treads setup:
Entry: Market price
Targets price: 86.418 , 87.510, 88.230, 90.102 ,91,500
Leverage 10x
#Write2Earn! #bitcoin

These realities have officials talking about the trajectory of bitcoin and its reaction to U.S. market volatility.

So, based on this analogy, if the U. S. market continues to suffer losses, #bitcoin could also fall.
the S&P 500 Index With the decline, the major indexes have lost their post-election gains. They are now at pre-election levels (November 2024). For example, the S&P 500 Index has fallen 45.22 points in the last five days alone.
This trend continues in the overall market. The Nasdaq 100 Index has written off its gains through July 2024, while the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are trading at 4Q 2024 levels. Similarly, the S&P 400 Stock Average has also written off its gains from March 2024 and recently hit a one-year low.
This trend is a result of recently released Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the FOMC meeting, and political events.
the U. S. overall market is falling. This trend has also had a significant impact on the #cryptocurrency market as the overall US market is falling. This is evident in both bitcoin and altcoins, which have generally suffered heavy losses.
Bitcoin tends to react strongly to the volatility of the US market.
For example, when the S&P 500 index fell 45 points, #BTC also fell, hitting a four-month low. It hit a four-month low. Over the next 24 hours, the S&P 500 recovered 1.59%, and so did bitcoin. However, it's worth noting that on the chart, BTC recovered 6.74% and regained $BTC This correlation arises because of US investors (both institutional and retail). This is evidenced by the fact that the #Coinbase Premium Index is negative and has remained so for the past week.
the decline in the S&P 500 stock index coincides with the weekly decline in the Coinbase index, indicating that American investors, especially institutional investors, are becoming increasingly bearish. Thus, both the stock and cryptocurrency markets are dominated by sellers.
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What to know:
Spot cumulative volume delta shows buyers stepping in, indicating spot demand of over $200 million in the past hour.Futures open interest has declined during the day, putting more emphasis on spot demand, as bitcoin breaks $91,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) has surged 7% in the past hour, crossing $92,000 after Donald Trump announced a crypto strategic reserve. The price is now up 15% from recent lows of $78,000.
Data indicates this rally is driven by spot demand rather than speculation, signaling a healthy, organic move. Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) shows buyers as the aggressors, with over $200 million in spot inflows in the past hour. Meanwhile, futures open interest has declined, reinforcing that this surge is fueled by real buying rather than leveraged speculation.
$BTC Bullish Moment Begins#bitcoin #TrumpCrypto #btcnews #BİNANCE

One of the main targets that analysts are focusing on is the "gap" in the CME Group bitcoin futures market. This gap was formed during bitcoin's rise to the $100,000 mark and is now a key level to monitor.

the key range is $78,000, and as of February 28, BTC/USD has nearly filled the gap.
"Bitcoin is close to filling the CME gap formed in November 2024, with the CME gap being between $78,000 and ~$80,700, confirmed trader and analyst Rekt Capital in a post on X website.
this downward gap Rekt Capital also noted an upward CME gap around $92,000, which could be a target if #bitcoin rebounds.
the CME gap often acts as a short-term magnet for bitcoin, and historical data shows that the gap is often revisited. show that the gap is often revisited shortly after it forms or after macroeconomic trends change.
Bitcoin has risen to record highs near $110000, but some experienced market participants remain cautious about the near-term trajectory.
one such person is BitQuant (pseudonym), a crypto-analyst known for his accurate predictions of key #BTC price movements. Throughout bitcoin's rise, BitQuant has constantly warned of the possibility of a major correction.
In December, he rejected the idea that $90000 would serve as a reliable support level, saying: "Sorry, $90K is not a failure. "LINE_ BREAK Currently, BitQuant is sticking to its prediction that bitcoin will fall to the mid-$70000s and then resume "only an uptrend.
"Panic buying again? Panic buying or panic selling? '" X subscribers ask, emphasizing the emotional volatility associated with bitcoin price movements.
When determining the "bottom" of the market, traders often look at the stock exchange's order book to determine buyer interest. However, this approach comes with risks. This is due to the fact that large companies can manipulate liquidity by adding and removing buy orders at strategic levels.
At present, significant liquidity is observed in the range of $70000-$80000, which indicates the willingness of buyers to intervene at these levels.
"There are ~$ 1.

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Financial markets, and cryptocurrencies in particular, are often driven more by rumors than actual news and subsequent execution, and a look at the recent history of BTC reminds us that the asset approached the $50,000 mark in early January 2024, before the launch of the Bitcoin ETF spot in the US.

These instruments were expected to be a major event, and they did become one, but after the launch, #BTC collapsed below $40000. It took weeks to recover and months to break BTC's all-time high of $BTC Let's go back to another peak, recorded in April 2021, which also confirms the above theory. Bitcoin's surge above $60000 was triggered by the Coinbase IPO. Once it became a reality, BTC plummeted below $30,000 in the following weeks, and it took several months until November to break the then-record.
According to some, the release of the 2024 #ETF marked the beginning of a new bull cycle, but #bitcoin was on its way to the U. S. election However, after dozens of pro-cryptocurrency promises by Trump and his stunning election victory, the hype returned, and BTC, along with many altcoins, surged. Indeed, the months leading up to Trump's inauguration were the best months in history for the cryptocurrency market, with BTC breaking the $100,000 mark and peaking at $109,000 on Jan. 20.
Over the next month and a half, the price of BTC lost nearly 30% of its value, and collapsed to $78,000 on Friday. Indeed, Trump not only imposed controversial tariffs against a number of countries, but also received much of the blame for his actions in the war between Ukraine and Russia.
So was this inauguration day the beginning of the end? Let's assume that the bull market is not over. Collapses like the one described above are nothing new for bitcoin or #cryptocurrencies . But if the bull cycle resumes soon, what will drive it?
Well, the safe bet would be a return to Donald J. Trump, who has been the source of most of the movement since November. His many promises include making the U. S. the center of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, stopping the sale of confiscated BTC and including it in the country's national reserve.

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Michael Saylor forecasts that #bitcoin will surge to 180k and crash to 140k and people will freak
out again.” Despite this volatility, he remains optimistic about BTC’s long-term value.
MicroStrategy’s Massive $BTC Purchase
● Owns 499 096 BTC
● Purchased for $62 473.01 per coin
● Continues aggressive Bitcoin accumulation
Market Insights
● BTC up -9.3% YTD

● S&P 500 up 1.24% YTD
● Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong
Saylor emphasizes Bitcoin’s cyclical nature, urging investors to focus on long-term gains rather
than short-term swings.
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Bitcoin plunges, panic spreads—former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) says only those who master risk and resilience will thrive in the relentless crypto market.

Bitcoin’s Freefall: CZ’s Tough-Love Advice for Investors Who Can’t Handle the Heat
Market volatility has once again sparked discussions among crypto investors, with Changpeng Zhao (CZ), the former CEO of crypto exchange Binance, offering his perspective. On Feb. 28, he addressed concerns about market dips on social media platform X, emphasizing that fluctuations are a natural aspect of free markets. He advised investors who feel anxious about price swings to reconsider their investment size, stating:
Dips are a part of free markets … If you are stressed about it, you probably should reduce your investment size. (That is, if you view crypto as an investment.)
While clarifying that his remarks were not financial advice, Zhao reflected on his own shift in perspective, adding: “For me, it’s a worldview shift. I exited the old world 11 years ago.”
With bitcoin, Binance’s BNB, and other cryptocurrencies experiencing sharp price swings, Zhao emphasizes the importance of a balanced approach and personal responsibility for long-term success. The market recently saw a significant downturn, with BTC dropping below $80,000 amid renewed tariff threats from former President Donald Trump, who proposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Investor concerns over these policies triggered a broader sell-off in risk assets. Confidence was further shaken by a $1.5 billion hack of the crypto exchange Bybit, which particularly impacted Ethereum.
On March 1, CZ addressed investor concerns further, reinforcing his perspective on risk management. He wrote on X:
If you got shaken out during the dip, reduce your size to a level you can handle. Mental stability beats all market volatility.
Zhao emphasized the need for emotional resilience in navigating crypto market volatility. His message resonates with both new and experienced investors, highlighting the importance of strategic adjustments and personal risk assessment. He underscores that market turbulence demands not only financial planning but also emotional preparedness.

#binance #wendy #bitcoin $BTC