PCEInflationWatch
The U.S. Core PCE Price Index for Q4 hit 2.5%, up from 2.2%, keeping inflation in focus. Will this stall Fed rate cuts or push Bitcoin and stocks higher? 🤔💡 What’s your take on the market impact? Drop your thoughts below!
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U.S. Fourth Quarter Core PCE Price Index Matches Expectations
According to BlockBeats, the preliminary annualized quarterly rate for the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index in the fourth quarter was reported at 2.5%. This figure aligns with market expectations and shows an increase from the previous value of 2.20%. The core PCE price index is a key indicator used to gauge inflation and economic trends in the United States.
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PCE Disinflation Points to Midyear Fed Rate Cut
PCE inflation is still on track to fall to 2.0%, which can allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in the coming months.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) measure of inflation edged up slightly to 0.2% month-on-month in December, keeping the annual rate flat at 2.8% y/y.
However, when the data from the past six months are annualised, we get a figure of 2.8%, but when annualised over three months, that falls to 2.2%, consistent with a decline to 2%.
This suggests a trend of decline has started to emerge again following a pickup in prices seen through the middle part of 2024.
The Federal Reserve's mandate is to target PCE inflation at 2% over the longer run. The central bank announced this week that it would pause cutting interest rates until data confirmed the disinflation process was back on track.
"Inflationary pressures are easing in the long run and the upcycles should be looked through. By June the Fed should be confident enough in restarting the cutting cycle," says Kyle Chapman, FX Markets Analyst at Ballinger Group.
Fed caution will also be piqued by news that the measure of wages (the Employment Cost Index) came in at 0.9% q/q in Q4 (or 3.7% annualised), in line with expectations, but a notch higher than prior quarter.
"Wage growth is hovering in a range also slightly above what the Fed would consider consistent with 2% target, so there is still more work to be done and the Fed will remain on hold until it sees more sustained progress," says Ali Jaffery, an economist at CIBC Capital Markets.
GBP/USD investment bank consensus forecast for 2025. See the median, mean, highest and lowest targets, giving a highly accurate forecasting resource. Request your copy now.
Paul Ashworth, Chief North America Economist at Capital Economics, says a lot now depends on whether we see any repeat of the surge in prices at the start of last year.
"If we are right in our belief that there is no residual seasonality at work, then the annual core PCE inflation rate should fall markedly over the first few months of this year."
He adds that the growing risk that Trump will impose tariffs presents an upside risk to inflation.
#PCEInflationWatch
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) measure of inflation edged up slightly to 0.2% month-on-month in December, keeping the annual rate flat at 2.8% y/y.
However, when the data from the past six months are annualised, we get a figure of 2.8%, but when annualised over three months, that falls to 2.2%, consistent with a decline to 2%.
This suggests a trend of decline has started to emerge again following a pickup in prices seen through the middle part of 2024.
The Federal Reserve's mandate is to target PCE inflation at 2% over the longer run. The central bank announced this week that it would pause cutting interest rates until data confirmed the disinflation process was back on track.
"Inflationary pressures are easing in the long run and the upcycles should be looked through. By June the Fed should be confident enough in restarting the cutting cycle," says Kyle Chapman, FX Markets Analyst at Ballinger Group.
Fed caution will also be piqued by news that the measure of wages (the Employment Cost Index) came in at 0.9% q/q in Q4 (or 3.7% annualised), in line with expectations, but a notch higher than prior quarter.
"Wage growth is hovering in a range also slightly above what the Fed would consider consistent with 2% target, so there is still more work to be done and the Fed will remain on hold until it sees more sustained progress," says Ali Jaffery, an economist at CIBC Capital Markets.
GBP/USD investment bank consensus forecast for 2025. See the median, mean, highest and lowest targets, giving a highly accurate forecasting resource. Request your copy now.
Paul Ashworth, Chief North America Economist at Capital Economics, says a lot now depends on whether we see any repeat of the surge in prices at the start of last year.
"If we are right in our belief that there is no residual seasonality at work, then the annual core PCE inflation rate should fall markedly over the first few months of this year."
He adds that the growing risk that Trump will impose tariffs presents an upside risk to inflation.
#PCEInflationWatch
After making a historic pivot by cutting interest rate by 50 basis points, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has hinted additional cooling ahead
Federal Reserve Chair casts doubts on future rate cuts
Jerome Powell said cuts will depend on economic and market condition
Other central banks are also cutting rates at the moment
After the United States Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the first of its kind in 4 years, all eyes are now fixed on Jerome Powell for his speech. Typically, this speech offers insights into what to expect from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) moving forward. With a cool-down in monetary policy, the market optimism appears inflamed.
Jerome Powell Hints More Rate Cuts Ahead
The US Federal Reserve is a very cautious financial regulator. While many anticipated the implementation of the 0.5% interest rate cut, people have yet to learn what the Fed Chairman will announce today. However, considering the rate of improvement in the US economy, marked by better than expected US CPI Inflation data, many anticipated more pivots ahead.
Jerome Powell neither confirmed nor denied this projections as he placed conditions on further rate cuts ahead. In the run-up to the latest interest rate cut, Fed officials have hinted at constant watch of key economic indices. In the Fed Chair’s speech, he highlighted how much crucial inflation data have cooled over the past year.
He recalled the slowdown in inflation data as measured by PCE, CPI and other indices. He said while the current figures rose 2.5% in the past year in August, these are closer to the target of 2%. According to him, these slowdown in inflation have continued to strengthen the economy overall.
He said the Federal Reserve will continue to make its decision meeting by meeting. This aligns with earlier stance from Fed officials who noted that economic data will determine how the Feds will approach interest rate cuts.
Following its Peers
Jerome Powell said the Fed is well positioned to address any form of risk that might arise in the market and economy. #PCEInflationWatch
Federal Reserve Chair casts doubts on future rate cuts
Jerome Powell said cuts will depend on economic and market condition
Other central banks are also cutting rates at the moment
After the United States Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the first of its kind in 4 years, all eyes are now fixed on Jerome Powell for his speech. Typically, this speech offers insights into what to expect from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) moving forward. With a cool-down in monetary policy, the market optimism appears inflamed.
Jerome Powell Hints More Rate Cuts Ahead
The US Federal Reserve is a very cautious financial regulator. While many anticipated the implementation of the 0.5% interest rate cut, people have yet to learn what the Fed Chairman will announce today. However, considering the rate of improvement in the US economy, marked by better than expected US CPI Inflation data, many anticipated more pivots ahead.
Jerome Powell neither confirmed nor denied this projections as he placed conditions on further rate cuts ahead. In the run-up to the latest interest rate cut, Fed officials have hinted at constant watch of key economic indices. In the Fed Chair’s speech, he highlighted how much crucial inflation data have cooled over the past year.
He recalled the slowdown in inflation data as measured by PCE, CPI and other indices. He said while the current figures rose 2.5% in the past year in August, these are closer to the target of 2%. According to him, these slowdown in inflation have continued to strengthen the economy overall.
He said the Federal Reserve will continue to make its decision meeting by meeting. This aligns with earlier stance from Fed officials who noted that economic data will determine how the Feds will approach interest rate cuts.
Following its Peers
Jerome Powell said the Fed is well positioned to address any form of risk that might arise in the market and economy. #PCEInflationWatch
The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a period of volatility, with Bitcoin fluctuating around the $100,000 mark. While some analysts point to Bitcoin's resilience as a sign of its strengthening position as a store of value, others highlight the significant losses suffered by altcoins, indicating the inherent risks in the crypto market.
Key factors influencing the market include:
Bitcoin's Dominance:** Bitcoin continues to hold a significant share of the market, and its performance often sets the tone for other cryptocurrencies.
*Altcoin Volatility: Altcoins like Solana and XRP have seen more pronounced price swings, highlighting the higher risk associated with these assets.
* **Market Sentiment:** Despite recent fluctuations, the overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with investors showing confidence in the long-term potential of cryptocurrencies.
External Economic Factors:** Inflation, as measured by the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) index, is a key economic indicator that can influence investor behavior in the crypto market.
PCE Inflation Watch:
The PCE index is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. It tracks the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers in the United States. Investors closely monitor the PCE inflation data as it can provide insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
Impact on Crypto:Higher-than-expected PCE inflation figures could lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance, potentially raising interest rates. This could make riskier assets like cryptocurrencies less attractive to investors.
*Market Reaction:** The crypto market may react negatively to unexpectedly high PCE inflation data, as it could signal a less favorable macroeconomic environment for digital assets.
*Overall, the cryptocurrency market is dynamic and influenced by a variety of factors, including Bitcoin's performance, altcoin volatility, market sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators like PCE inflation.
#PCEInflationWatch $BTC
Key factors influencing the market include:
Bitcoin's Dominance:** Bitcoin continues to hold a significant share of the market, and its performance often sets the tone for other cryptocurrencies.
*Altcoin Volatility: Altcoins like Solana and XRP have seen more pronounced price swings, highlighting the higher risk associated with these assets.
* **Market Sentiment:** Despite recent fluctuations, the overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with investors showing confidence in the long-term potential of cryptocurrencies.
External Economic Factors:** Inflation, as measured by the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) index, is a key economic indicator that can influence investor behavior in the crypto market.
PCE Inflation Watch:
The PCE index is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. It tracks the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers in the United States. Investors closely monitor the PCE inflation data as it can provide insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
Impact on Crypto:Higher-than-expected PCE inflation figures could lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance, potentially raising interest rates. This could make riskier assets like cryptocurrencies less attractive to investors.
*Market Reaction:** The crypto market may react negatively to unexpectedly high PCE inflation data, as it could signal a less favorable macroeconomic environment for digital assets.
*Overall, the cryptocurrency market is dynamic and influenced by a variety of factors, including Bitcoin's performance, altcoin volatility, market sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators like PCE inflation.
#PCEInflationWatch $BTC
U.S. Core PCE Inflation Rises to 2.5%: What It Means for the Economy
The latest U.S. economic data is in, and it’s painting an interesting picture of inflation trends. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s go-to inflation measure, rose to an annualized rate of 2.5% in Q4 2024—up from 2.2% in the previous quarter. While this aligns with market expectations, it signals that inflation isn’t cooling down as quickly as some had hoped.
A Closer Look at the Numbers
• Quarterly Growth: 2.5% (up from 2.2%)
• Monthly Increase (December 2024): 0.2%
• Year-over-Year Growth: 2.8% (same as November)
These figures show that while inflation is slowing compared to the highs of 2022-2023, it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Why Does This Matter?
The core PCE index strips out food and energy prices, making it a more stable measure of inflation compared to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). It reflects real consumer spending trends, helping the Fed determine whether inflation is a short-term blip or a long-term concern.
How is the Fed Responding?
Despite inflation remaining slightly elevated, the Federal Reserve has decided to hold interest rates steady—at least for now. This suggests that policymakers are waiting for clearer signs before making a move, balancing inflation control with economic growth.
What’s Next?
For businesses and consumers, this means interest rates are unlikely to drop soon, keeping borrowing costs higher. Investors should keep an eye on the Fed’s next moves, as any sign of easing inflation could signal rate cuts later in 2025.
Bottom Line
While inflation isn’t out of control, it’s also not falling fast enough for the Fed to start cutting rates. The 2.5% core PCE increase serves as a reminder that the battle against inflation isn’t over just yet.
#PCEInflationWatch
The latest U.S. economic data is in, and it’s painting an interesting picture of inflation trends. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s go-to inflation measure, rose to an annualized rate of 2.5% in Q4 2024—up from 2.2% in the previous quarter. While this aligns with market expectations, it signals that inflation isn’t cooling down as quickly as some had hoped.
A Closer Look at the Numbers
• Quarterly Growth: 2.5% (up from 2.2%)
• Monthly Increase (December 2024): 0.2%
• Year-over-Year Growth: 2.8% (same as November)
These figures show that while inflation is slowing compared to the highs of 2022-2023, it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Why Does This Matter?
The core PCE index strips out food and energy prices, making it a more stable measure of inflation compared to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). It reflects real consumer spending trends, helping the Fed determine whether inflation is a short-term blip or a long-term concern.
How is the Fed Responding?
Despite inflation remaining slightly elevated, the Federal Reserve has decided to hold interest rates steady—at least for now. This suggests that policymakers are waiting for clearer signs before making a move, balancing inflation control with economic growth.
What’s Next?
For businesses and consumers, this means interest rates are unlikely to drop soon, keeping borrowing costs higher. Investors should keep an eye on the Fed’s next moves, as any sign of easing inflation could signal rate cuts later in 2025.
Bottom Line
While inflation isn’t out of control, it’s also not falling fast enough for the Fed to start cutting rates. The 2.5% core PCE increase serves as a reminder that the battle against inflation isn’t over just yet.
#PCEInflationWatch
#PCEInflationWatch
The countdown is on! The release of the PCE inflation data is just around the corner, and this is definitely a moment that crypto investors shouldn't overlook. Why is this data so important? Well, the PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, meaning it carries a lot of weight in determining future monetary policy decisions. If we see PCE figures running hot, expect to see increased concerns about interest rate hikes, which often leads to risk-off sentiment and potential selling pressure across crypto markets. On the flip side, a slowdown in PCE could signal a potential easing of the Fed's stance, and that could be a tailwind for digital assets. It's crucial to remember that the markets often react to both the actual numbers and the narrative they create. We may see increased volatility in the hours and days following the release so have a trading plan in place and consider risk management tools. This data is more than just numbers; it's a critical piece in the puzzle of where the economy, and therefore the crypto market, might be heading. Are you adjusting your positions ahead of this release? Let’s discuss your thoughts!
The countdown is on! The release of the PCE inflation data is just around the corner, and this is definitely a moment that crypto investors shouldn't overlook. Why is this data so important? Well, the PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, meaning it carries a lot of weight in determining future monetary policy decisions. If we see PCE figures running hot, expect to see increased concerns about interest rate hikes, which often leads to risk-off sentiment and potential selling pressure across crypto markets. On the flip side, a slowdown in PCE could signal a potential easing of the Fed's stance, and that could be a tailwind for digital assets. It's crucial to remember that the markets often react to both the actual numbers and the narrative they create. We may see increased volatility in the hours and days following the release so have a trading plan in place and consider risk management tools. This data is more than just numbers; it's a critical piece in the puzzle of where the economy, and therefore the crypto market, might be heading. Are you adjusting your positions ahead of this release? Let’s discuss your thoughts!
#PCEInflationWatch Economists generally expect core PCE inflation to continue falling in the months ahead, though sticky services prices still exert upward pressure on the index.
Senior US economist Preston Caldwell is looking for the core PCE inflation rate to drop as low as 2.2% by March, provided we don’t see another spike in inflation, as we did in the first quarter of 2024.
When Will the Fed Cut Rates?
The Fed held rates steady at its first meeting of the year on Wednesday afternoon, in a move that was no surprise to markets. In a statement, the central bank’s policy-setting committee noted that “inflation remains somewhat elevated.”
With the economy still growing and the labor market showing no signs of cracking, central bankers have room to wait for more evidence of cooling price pressures before making another move to cut rates.
“It’s a very rational and reasonable view to remain on pause,” Price says, citing strong consumers, healthy labor market data, and robust economic growth. He expects to see the next quarter-point rate cut at the June meeting.
Some strategists have even suggested that after cutting rates by a full percentage point last fall, the Fed will not cut rates again at all this cycle. “The labor market is stabilizing around full employment and inflation is stuck modestly above target,” economists from Bank of America wrote in a note to clients earlier this month.
Key Takeaways-
1. Friday’s PCE report is expected to show a relatively hot headline number, alongside improvement on the core measure of inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices.
2. Economists expect PCE inflation to keep falling toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target over the next few months.
3. The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady until midyear.
What are your thoughts and expectations regarding the upcoming PCE Inflation.?
Senior US economist Preston Caldwell is looking for the core PCE inflation rate to drop as low as 2.2% by March, provided we don’t see another spike in inflation, as we did in the first quarter of 2024.
When Will the Fed Cut Rates?
The Fed held rates steady at its first meeting of the year on Wednesday afternoon, in a move that was no surprise to markets. In a statement, the central bank’s policy-setting committee noted that “inflation remains somewhat elevated.”
With the economy still growing and the labor market showing no signs of cracking, central bankers have room to wait for more evidence of cooling price pressures before making another move to cut rates.
“It’s a very rational and reasonable view to remain on pause,” Price says, citing strong consumers, healthy labor market data, and robust economic growth. He expects to see the next quarter-point rate cut at the June meeting.
Some strategists have even suggested that after cutting rates by a full percentage point last fall, the Fed will not cut rates again at all this cycle. “The labor market is stabilizing around full employment and inflation is stuck modestly above target,” economists from Bank of America wrote in a note to clients earlier this month.
Key Takeaways-
1. Friday’s PCE report is expected to show a relatively hot headline number, alongside improvement on the core measure of inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices.
2. Economists expect PCE inflation to keep falling toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target over the next few months.
3. The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady until midyear.
What are your thoughts and expectations regarding the upcoming PCE Inflation.?
#PCEInflationWatch
On February 1, 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, revealing a 0.3% increase in December 2024. This brings the annual PCE inflation rate to 2.6%, up from 2.3% in November. The core PCE index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.2% in December, maintaining a 2.8% annual rate. These figures suggest that inflationary pressures persist, albeit at a moderate pace. Analysts are closely monitoring these trends, especially in light of potential economic impacts from new tariffs.
On February 1, 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, revealing a 0.3% increase in December 2024. This brings the annual PCE inflation rate to 2.6%, up from 2.3% in November. The core PCE index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.2% in December, maintaining a 2.8% annual rate. These figures suggest that inflationary pressures persist, albeit at a moderate pace. Analysts are closely monitoring these trends, especially in light of potential economic impacts from new tariffs.
$BTC
🚨 $BTC : The Key Player in the PCE Inflation Watch 🚨
As the PCE inflation data approaches, Bitcoin ($BTC ) is once again in the spotlight. This critical economic indicator could shape the Federal Reserve’s next moves, and $BTC is likely to feel the impact.
Bitcoin has long been seen as a hedge against inflation, but its short-term price action often reacts to macroeconomic trends. If the PCE data shows higher-than-expected inflation, fears of prolonged rate hikes could weigh on $BTC . On the flip side, lower inflation figures might fuel optimism for rate cuts, potentially boosting Bitcoin’s price.
For traders, key levels to watch include the $60,000–$62,000 support zone and the $65,000–$67,000 resistance range. A break in either direction could set the tone for the next major move.
With $BTC ’s dominance in the crypto market, its reaction to the PCE data will likely influence the broader space. Stay alert, manage your risk, and use Binance’s advanced tools to navigate potential volatility.
What’s your outlook for $BTC after the PCE release? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#BTC #PCEInflationWatch #BinanceSquare #Crypto
🚨 $BTC : The Key Player in the PCE Inflation Watch 🚨
As the PCE inflation data approaches, Bitcoin ($BTC ) is once again in the spotlight. This critical economic indicator could shape the Federal Reserve’s next moves, and $BTC is likely to feel the impact.
Bitcoin has long been seen as a hedge against inflation, but its short-term price action often reacts to macroeconomic trends. If the PCE data shows higher-than-expected inflation, fears of prolonged rate hikes could weigh on $BTC . On the flip side, lower inflation figures might fuel optimism for rate cuts, potentially boosting Bitcoin’s price.
For traders, key levels to watch include the $60,000–$62,000 support zone and the $65,000–$67,000 resistance range. A break in either direction could set the tone for the next major move.
With $BTC ’s dominance in the crypto market, its reaction to the PCE data will likely influence the broader space. Stay alert, manage your risk, and use Binance’s advanced tools to navigate potential volatility.
What’s your outlook for $BTC after the PCE release? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#BTC #PCEInflationWatch #BinanceSquare #Crypto
🚨 #PCEInflationWatch: What’s Next for Markets? 📊
With the latest PCE inflation data dropping soon, all eyes are on how it could impact crypto, stocks, and the Fed’s next move. Will inflation come in hotter than expected, forcing rate hikes to stay longer? Or are we finally seeing signs of easing? 🤔
For Bitcoin & crypto, lower inflation = bullish, while a surprise spike could mean more market turbulence. 📈📉
What’s your prediction—cooling off or heating up? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#Crypto #Bitcoin #MarketWatch
#PCEInflationWatch
With the latest PCE inflation data dropping soon, all eyes are on how it could impact crypto, stocks, and the Fed’s next move. Will inflation come in hotter than expected, forcing rate hikes to stay longer? Or are we finally seeing signs of easing? 🤔
For Bitcoin & crypto, lower inflation = bullish, while a surprise spike could mean more market turbulence. 📈📉
What’s your prediction—cooling off or heating up? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#Crypto #Bitcoin #MarketWatch
#PCEInflationWatch
#PCEInflationWatch **📢 You Need to Know! 📊🔥**
The **Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index** just dropped, and all eyes are on inflation! 🚨 This key metric, closely watched by the **Federal Reserve**, impacts interest rates, market trends, and your **purchasing power**. A higher-than-expected PCE could mean more **rate hikes**, while a lower reading might fuel hopes for a **pivot**. 💰📉
What does this mean for **crypto and stocks**? Volatility ahead! **Smart investors** are watching closely, positioning for opportunities. 📈 Will inflation cool down, or are we in for more surprises? 🤔 Stay tuned! 🚀
The **Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index** just dropped, and all eyes are on inflation! 🚨 This key metric, closely watched by the **Federal Reserve**, impacts interest rates, market trends, and your **purchasing power**. A higher-than-expected PCE could mean more **rate hikes**, while a lower reading might fuel hopes for a **pivot**. 💰📉
What does this mean for **crypto and stocks**? Volatility ahead! **Smart investors** are watching closely, positioning for opportunities. 📈 Will inflation cool down, or are we in for more surprises? 🤔 Stay tuned! 🚀
#PCEInflationWatch
🚀 Crypto Market Shaken by Hot PCE Inflation! 🔥
📊 PCE Inflation Spikes!
🔹 Inflation jumps to 2.6% (vs. 2.4% in Nov) – still above the Fed’s 2% target!
🔹 Core PCE holds at 2.8%, keeping pressure on rate cuts!
💥 Bitcoin Reacts!
📉 BTC drops 2.6%, now trading at $101,941!
📈 High: $105,939 | 📉 Low: $101,437
⚠️ What’s Next?
💰 Will the Fed hold rates longer?
🔥 Will Bitcoin bounce back or dip further?
📊 All eyes on the next Fed move – Crypto traders, buckle up! 🚀
🚀 Crypto Market Shaken by Hot PCE Inflation! 🔥
📊 PCE Inflation Spikes!
🔹 Inflation jumps to 2.6% (vs. 2.4% in Nov) – still above the Fed’s 2% target!
🔹 Core PCE holds at 2.8%, keeping pressure on rate cuts!
💥 Bitcoin Reacts!
📉 BTC drops 2.6%, now trading at $101,941!
📈 High: $105,939 | 📉 Low: $101,437
⚠️ What’s Next?
💰 Will the Fed hold rates longer?
🔥 Will Bitcoin bounce back or dip further?
📊 All eyes on the next Fed move – Crypto traders, buckle up! 🚀
#PCEInflationWatch According to BlockBeats, the preliminary annualized quarterly rate for the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index in the fourth quarter was reported at 2.5%. This figure aligns with market expectations and shows an increase from the previous value of 2.20%. The core PCE price index is a key indicator used to gauge inflation and economic trends in the United States.
#PCEInflationWatch Mexican Peso treads water as Trump tariffs coming on February 1
Mexican Peso erased gains of 0.61% and turns negatively as Trump's threat of 25% tariffs would be enacted.
The White House denied Reuters’ report about US delaying tariffs implementation to March 1.
Mixed US economic indicators and Fed commentary maintain cautious market sentiment.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) erases some of its earlier gains and losses ground against the US Dollar (USD), down a minimal 0.07% on Friday, extending its drop after losing more than 1% on Thursday.
The tariff trade continues to boost the Greenback, after The White House confirmed that President Donald Trump will enact 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, beginning on February 1. The USD/MXN trades at 20.72 after hitting a daily low of 20.45.
Recently, US Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt emphasized that tariffs of 25% would be enacted on Canada and Mexico on February 1, sad that previous reports were wrong. She also added that Washington would apply 10% duties on goods imported from China.
Following the report, the Greenback advanced and the Mexican Peso tumbled, as the USD/MXN soared above 20.70 and retested the daily high at 20.74. below 20.50.
A Reuters report, citing unnamed sources, indicated that the US plans to impose tariffs until March 1. The article noted that former President Donald Trump is expected to announce the tariffs, which will include a process for countries to request exemptions on specific imports.
Aside from this, the latest US inflation report and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, increased in December as expected, exceeding November’s reading. In the twelve months to December, Core PCE remained unchanged compared to the latest figures.
The data comes after the US GDP report for the last quarter was weaker than expected and following the Fed’s last monetary policy meeting.
Of note, the Fed parade has begun, as Governor Michelle Bowman and Chicago’s Fed President Austan Goolsbee
Mexican Peso erased gains of 0.61% and turns negatively as Trump's threat of 25% tariffs would be enacted.
The White House denied Reuters’ report about US delaying tariffs implementation to March 1.
Mixed US economic indicators and Fed commentary maintain cautious market sentiment.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) erases some of its earlier gains and losses ground against the US Dollar (USD), down a minimal 0.07% on Friday, extending its drop after losing more than 1% on Thursday.
The tariff trade continues to boost the Greenback, after The White House confirmed that President Donald Trump will enact 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, beginning on February 1. The USD/MXN trades at 20.72 after hitting a daily low of 20.45.
Recently, US Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt emphasized that tariffs of 25% would be enacted on Canada and Mexico on February 1, sad that previous reports were wrong. She also added that Washington would apply 10% duties on goods imported from China.
Following the report, the Greenback advanced and the Mexican Peso tumbled, as the USD/MXN soared above 20.70 and retested the daily high at 20.74. below 20.50.
A Reuters report, citing unnamed sources, indicated that the US plans to impose tariffs until March 1. The article noted that former President Donald Trump is expected to announce the tariffs, which will include a process for countries to request exemptions on specific imports.
Aside from this, the latest US inflation report and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, increased in December as expected, exceeding November’s reading. In the twelve months to December, Core PCE remained unchanged compared to the latest figures.
The data comes after the US GDP report for the last quarter was weaker than expected and following the Fed’s last monetary policy meeting.
Of note, the Fed parade has begun, as Governor Michelle Bowman and Chicago’s Fed President Austan Goolsbee
#PCEInflationWatch : Key Levels for Bitcoin
Bitcoin has reached $102K, testing a major resistance level. If it fails to hold above $100K and breaks below, bearish momentum could drive it down to $90K. Historical data supports this possibility, as previous breakdowns from psychological levels have led to significant corrections. Traders should watch market sentiment and volume closely. A strong rebound from $100K could indicate renewed bullish strength, while a decisive breakdown may trigger increased selling pressure. As macroeconomic factors, including inflation data, influence risk assets, keeping an eye on upcoming PCE inflation reports is crucial for market direction. Risk management remains key in volatile conditions.
Bitcoin has reached $102K, testing a major resistance level. If it fails to hold above $100K and breaks below, bearish momentum could drive it down to $90K. Historical data supports this possibility, as previous breakdowns from psychological levels have led to significant corrections. Traders should watch market sentiment and volume closely. A strong rebound from $100K could indicate renewed bullish strength, while a decisive breakdown may trigger increased selling pressure. As macroeconomic factors, including inflation data, influence risk assets, keeping an eye on upcoming PCE inflation reports is crucial for market direction. Risk management remains key in volatile conditions.
PCE Inflation Watch: December Numbers Released
The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index numbers are out, and here are the key takeaways:
- The PCE price index increased 2.6% on a year-over-year basis in December, in line with expectations.
- Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, registered a 2.8% reading, also meeting expectations.
- Personal income climbed 0.4% as forecast, while spending rose 0.7%.
These numbers indicate that inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but is showing signs of stabilization. The Fed will likely keep a close eye on these numbers as it considers its next monetary policy moves.
Stay ahead of the curve with the latest inflation insights and market analysis.
#PCEInflationWatch
The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index numbers are out, and here are the key takeaways:
- The PCE price index increased 2.6% on a year-over-year basis in December, in line with expectations.
- Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, registered a 2.8% reading, also meeting expectations.
- Personal income climbed 0.4% as forecast, while spending rose 0.7%.
These numbers indicate that inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but is showing signs of stabilization. The Fed will likely keep a close eye on these numbers as it considers its next monetary policy moves.
Stay ahead of the curve with the latest inflation insights and market analysis.
#PCEInflationWatch
#PCEInflationWatch
Here's what I can tell you:
* PCE Inflation Watch: This likely refers to monitoring the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key measure of inflation in the United States. The PCE is closely watched by the Federal Reserve and is considered a primary indicator of inflation.
* Cryptocurrency Connection: The hashtags you mentioned suggest that some people believe there might be a connection between the PCE inflation data and the price movements of cryptocurrencies like CFX (Conflux) and ETH (Ethereum).
Important Note: It's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and influenced by many factors. While macroeconomic indicators like inflation can play a role, it's not the only driver of cryptocurrency prices.
Disclaimer: I cannot provide financial advice. The information I've shared is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as an endorsement to buy or sell any specific cryptocurrency.
If you're interested in learning more about the PCE Inflation Watch and its potential impact on financial markets, I recommend researching reliable sources like the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) website and financial news outlets.
Here's what I can tell you:
* PCE Inflation Watch: This likely refers to monitoring the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key measure of inflation in the United States. The PCE is closely watched by the Federal Reserve and is considered a primary indicator of inflation.
* Cryptocurrency Connection: The hashtags you mentioned suggest that some people believe there might be a connection between the PCE inflation data and the price movements of cryptocurrencies like CFX (Conflux) and ETH (Ethereum).
Important Note: It's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and influenced by many factors. While macroeconomic indicators like inflation can play a role, it's not the only driver of cryptocurrency prices.
Disclaimer: I cannot provide financial advice. The information I've shared is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as an endorsement to buy or sell any specific cryptocurrency.
If you're interested in learning more about the PCE Inflation Watch and its potential impact on financial markets, I recommend researching reliable sources like the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) website and financial news outlets.
#PCEInflationWatch The latest data on Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation indicates that the overall PCE price index for December 2024 was at 2.6%, aligning with expectations. This represents the highest level of PCE inflation since May 2024, suggesting that inflation pressures might be reaccelerating or at least stabilizing at a higher level than previously anticipated. The core PCE inflation rate, which excludes food and energy, was reported at 2.8% for the same period, also in line with expectations. This core rate is closely watched by the Federal Reserve as it conducts monetary policy, as it provides a clearer picture of underlying inflation trends by omitting the more volatile food and energy prices.
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the PCE Price Index, has shown a slight uptick, which could influence future monetary policy decisions. There's an indication from market analyses that the Fed might pause its rate cuts in December due to these inflation figures, reflecting concerns about inflation reacceleration.
These recent figures highlight a complex economic environment where the Fed must balance fostering economic growth with managing inflation. The PCE data's alignment with expectations suggests a period of economic stability but with caution regarding potential inflation pressures.
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The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the PCE Price Index, has shown a slight uptick, which could influence future monetary policy decisions. There's an indication from market analyses that the Fed might pause its rate cuts in December due to these inflation figures, reflecting concerns about inflation reacceleration.
These recent figures highlight a complex economic environment where the Fed must balance fostering economic growth with managing inflation. The PCE data's alignment with expectations suggests a period of economic stability but with caution regarding potential inflation pressures.
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#PCEInflationWatch The US Core PCE Price Index rose to 2.5% in Q4, exceeding expectations and reigniting inflation concerns. This unexpected increase raises questions about the Federal Reserve's next move. Will they proceed with planned rate cuts, or will this data force a pause or even further tightening? The market's reaction is uncertain. Some believe this could hinder rate cuts, potentially dampening enthusiasm for risk assets like Bitcoin and stocks. Others argue that a resilient economy, suggested by the PCE data, could ultimately boost corporate earnings and drive markets higher. What's your take on the market impact? Share your thoughts!
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#PCEInflationWatch
🚨 PCE Inflation Watch: What It Means for the Markets 🚨
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index—the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation—has just been released. This data is crucial because it reflects changes in the prices of goods and services consumed by households, giving insights into consumer spending trends and inflationary pressures.
Key Highlights:
📊 Core PCE (excluding food & energy): Shows whether inflation is cooling or heating up.
💸 Impact on Crypto & Markets: Higher-than-expected PCE could trigger market volatility as it influences the Fed’s interest rate decisions.
📈 What Traders Should Watch:
Fed’s next move on interest rates
U.S. Dollar strength
Bitcoin & crypto price reactions
Why It Matters:
The PCE Index helps predict the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. A hot PCE number could mean rate hikes stay longer, potentially impacting risk assets like crypto. A cooler PCE might boost market optimism.
Stay sharp, traders. Volatility could be your friend—or foe.
🚨 PCE Inflation Watch: What It Means for the Markets 🚨
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index—the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation—has just been released. This data is crucial because it reflects changes in the prices of goods and services consumed by households, giving insights into consumer spending trends and inflationary pressures.
Key Highlights:
📊 Core PCE (excluding food & energy): Shows whether inflation is cooling or heating up.
💸 Impact on Crypto & Markets: Higher-than-expected PCE could trigger market volatility as it influences the Fed’s interest rate decisions.
📈 What Traders Should Watch:
Fed’s next move on interest rates
U.S. Dollar strength
Bitcoin & crypto price reactions
Why It Matters:
The PCE Index helps predict the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. A hot PCE number could mean rate hikes stay longer, potentially impacting risk assets like crypto. A cooler PCE might boost market optimism.
Stay sharp, traders. Volatility could be your friend—or foe.
#PCEInflationWatch The personal consumption expenditures price index increased 2.6% on a year-over-year basis in December, 0.2 percentage point higher than the November reading and in line with the Dow Jones estimate.