Bitcoin (BTC) has recently been actively traded between two key market groups – long-term holders (LTH) and short-term holders (STH). This dynamic movement suggests a growing potential for further price growth.
Activity Between Long-Term and Short-Term Holders
Long-term Bitcoin holders are starting to accumulate again, while short-term holders are gradually selling off their positions. Miners are also benefiting from increased profitability despite rising mining difficulty.
Bitcoin has surpassed the $100,000 mark for the second time this year, reaching a new all-time high of over $109,000. This level now appears to serve as potential psychological support, with optimistic market sentiment fueling further price increases.
Analyses indicate that the ongoing exchange of BTC between short-term and long-term holders strengthens the optimistic outlook for this cryptocurrency.
Is History Repeating Itself?
According to data from CryptoQuant, short-term holders have started selling their Bitcoins at a loss, as indicated by the Short-Term Holder (STH) SOPR metric. This metric compares profits and losses for STH over 30-day and 365-day periods.

A value below 1 indicates losses, which is the current situation. Historically, this trend often motivates long-term holders to accumulate more BTC. LTH, who hold Bitcoin for at least 155 days, are considered a stable and bullish force in the market.
When LTH start accumulating BTC, the circulating supply decreases, creating upward pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Miner Profitability as a Growth Driver
While BTC holders are trading positions, miners are enjoying increased profitability despite more challenging mining conditions. The growing mining difficulty ensures the stability of the Bitcoin network but also raises computational requirements.

According to Glassnode's Difficulty Regression Model, miners are currently achieving triple profitability. The cost of mining 1 BTC is now $33,900, while BTC's market value is $104,900.
Thanks to this high profitability, miners may prefer to hold onto their BTC reserves, further reducing the circulating supply in the market. Combined with accumulation by long-term holders, this creates favorable conditions for price growth.
Will BTC Rise by 500%?
BTC's current price performance aligns with historical trends, particularly the bull market observed between 2015 and 2018. According to Glassnode data, Bitcoin could rise by as much as 562%, which would translate to approximately $589,000 per BTC.

If this projection materializes, BTC could reach a new all-time high. The current market sentiment remains bullish, supporting the possibility of continued growth for this cryptocurrency.

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$BTC Price Prediction: Could Bitcoin Hit $100,000 by 2025?
Bitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency landscape, sparking substantial interest from investors and crypto enthusiasts. With its price demonstrating significant ups and downs over the years, many are curious about where Bitcoin is headed next. In this piece, we’ll delve into Bitcoin's price predictions and the key factors that might shape its future value.
Current Market Overview
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $40,000, boasting a market cap exceeding $700 billion. The cryptocurrency is in a consolidation phase, oscillating between $30,000 and $50,000 over the last few months.
Short-Term Forecast
In the near term, analysts forecast a price surge of around 10-20%, driven by the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional players and heightened interest in cryptocurrencies. This positivity could see Bitcoin's price rise to approximately $45,000 to $50,000 over the coming weeks.
Mid-Term Outlook
For the next 6-12 months, expectations lean toward a stabilization of the price between $40,000 and $60,000. As more mainstream companies embrace Bitcoin and usage in daily transactions rises, we may witness further demand that could uplift prices.
Long-Term Projections
Looking to 2025 and beyond, experts anticipate a price hike of 50-100% or even greater, propelled by Bitcoin’s growing reputation as a store of value and an effective hedge against inflation. Predictions suggest that by 2025, Bitcoin's price might reach astonishing heights, potentially hitting $100,000 or more.
Factors Shaping BTC's Value
Several elements are set to influence Bitcoin’s price trajectory, including:
1. Institutional Adoption: An increasing number of institutional investors may push demand and consequently prices higher.
2. Regulatory Changes: Evolving regulations could have significant impacts on Bitcoin's market behavior and acceptance.
3. Competition from Other Cryptocurrencies: The emergence of competing cryptocurrencies may affect Bitcoin’s market share and pricing.
4. Global Economic Influences: Wider economic factors, such as inflation and interest rates, will likely play a role in Bitcoin's adoption and pricing.
Final Thoughts
Forecasting Bitcoin’s price involves navigating a complex array of variables. While short-term predictions come with inherent uncertainty, the mid-term and long-term perspectives look increasingly optimistic. As with any investment, conducting thorough research and assessing your risk tolerance is crucial before diving into Bitcoin or any other digital currency.
References:
- CoinMarketCap
- Bloomberg
- CNBC
- Forbes
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