Current Price and Key Support Range
Shiba Inu's (SHIB) Price: Currently trading around $0.000021 after rebounding from a critical support level.Accumulation Zone: Investors can consider accumulating SHIB within the $0.000019 to $0.000021 range.Risk Factor: A daily candlestick close below $0.000019 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Technical Analysis: Signs of a Recovery Rally
Retesting Support and Fibonacci Levels
On Monday, SHIB's price declined to retest the daily support at $0.000019, a level aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This retracement is drawn from the August 5 low of $0.000010 to the December 8 high of $0.000033, marking it as a key reversal zone.
Current Position: SHIB is trading slightly above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.000021.Potential Upside: If support at $0.000019 holds and SHIB breaks above the $0.000022 weekly resistance, the price could climb to retest the next resistance at $0.000028.
Market Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI):Current reading: 44, below the neutral level of 50, indicating mild bearish momentum.Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):MACD is flat around its neutral level, signaling indecisiveness among traders.
On-Chain Metrics Support a Bullish Outlook
In/Out of the Money Analysis
Data from IntoTheBlock reveals approximately 17,160 addresses purchased 3.22 trillion SHIB tokens at an average price of $0.000021. This level serves as a significant reversal point, as investors may add to their positions if the price tests this range.
Open Interest and Funding Rates
Funding Rate: Coinglass data indicates a positive OI-weighted funding rate of 0.0103%, suggesting bullish sentiment in the market.Implication: A positive funding rate often points to upward price pressure, increasing the likelihood of a rally.
Risks to the Bullish Thesis
Key Support Breakdown: A daily close below $0.000019 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a lower low.Potential Decline: If the bullish scenario fails, SHIB’s price could drop by an additional 15%, retesting the November 3 low of $0.000016.
Conclusion
While Shiba Inu shows promise for a recovery rally supported by technical and on-chain data, caution is warranted. Traders should monitor the $0.000019 to $0.000021 support range and watch for a close above $0.000022 to confirm upward momentum.
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