Introduction
I am crypto only futures and spot trader with 5 years of experience. Survived the big crush of the COVID period and post-COVID, predicted the fall and shorted it till 23.000$ then I stopped trading for a while, losted part of my profit and 5 months ago bitcoin got my attention once again. I specify on shorts only, I profit on long position only on spot. MY GOAL is to make useful researches, fundamental analyzes and share it with you, hoping that I will get some of your attention in return.
Now let's comeback to Data:
This is one of my most important research work covering macroeconomics, bicoin cycles, side to side comparison, learning bitcoin patterns and other crucial aspects

Data and Analysis
What we can expect in 2024 based on past patterns. Let's break it down with some compelling insights

Pay attention to the simillarities on the table! It's crucial to understand why the cycle is so simillar in bitcoin.

Bitcoin’s Cycles and Halving Effects
Bitcoin’s market operates on a four-year halving cycle, reducing mining rewards and driving prices up. Here's a closer look at these cycles and their future implications.

Macroeconomic Shifts: 2021 vs. 2024
The economic landscape has changed dramatically from 2021 to 2024, making the latter more challenging. Here’s why:

🧧 Global Financial Stability

2021🍂
Post-COVID Recovery: Economies were bouncing back. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, implemented QE and stimulus measures, injecting liquidity and keeping interest rates near zero. The US GDP grew by 5.7%​ (Bitcoin Magazine)​.Economic Growth: Surprisingly GDP growth was robust, driven by easing lockdowns and vaccination efforts.
2024🍃
Economic Slowdown: Global GDP growth has slowed to around 2.4% due to persistent inflation and tighter monetary policies​ (CoinGecko)​.Increased Interest Rates: Central banks have raised rates significantly to combat inflation, with the Fed’s rates at 5%, increasing borrowing costs​ (coinglass)​.

🧧 Geopolitical Tensions
2021🍂
Stable Climate: Geopolitical tensions were present but contained, allowing trade recovery.
2024🍃
Escalated Conflicts: Ongoing conflicts and economic wars have disrupted global supply chains and trade​​.Sanctions and Trade Wars: New sanctions and trade restrictions have strained international relations.

🧧 Inflation and Currency Devaluation
2021🍂
Moderate Inflation: Inflation was at 4.7%, driven by supply chain disruptions and increased demand​ (Bitcoin Magazine)​.
2024🍃
High Inflation: Inflation has surged to 8%, eroding purchasing power and increasing living costs​.Currency Weakness: Major currencies have depreciated against the US dollar, raising import costs.

🧧 Technological and Regulatory Environment
2021🍂
Regulatory Uncertainty: The crypto regulatory environment was evolving, with mixed signals from governments. Institutional interest was high​​.Tech Progress: Advancements like SegWit improved Bitcoin’s scalability​​.
2024🍃
Regulatory Clarity and Tightening: Stricter regulations have been implemented, including higher taxes and compliance measures, dampening investor enthusiasm.Technological Maturation: Innovations continue but at a slower pace, focusing more on compliance and security.
🧧 Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior
2021🍂
Bullish Enthusiasm: The market was bullish, driven by post-COVID recovery and rising crypto adoption​ (coinglass)​.Diversifying Investor Base: More institutional investors entered the market, adding stability and speculation​.
2024🍃
Bearish Caution: Sentiment is more cautious due to economic uncertainties and high inflation. Investors are wary, reducing exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies​​.Flight to Safety: Investors favor safer investments like gold and government bonds over volatile cryptocurrencies.

Final conclusion:
The macroeconomic conditions in 2024 are significantly more challenging compared to 2021. With higher inflation, intensified geopolitical tensions, stricter regulations, and a more cautious investor sentiment, the economic landscape is both volatile and uncertain. These factors make 2024 potentially tougher for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, yet also ripe with strategic opportunities for the informed investor.
Technical Analysis Summary: Watch for Bitcoin stabilizing around the 200-day moving average and RSI levels indicating oversold conditions. Key indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and volume trends will be crucial in predicting market movements.
Outlook: Based on historical trends, Bitcoin may stabilize and rise before the July FOMC meeting. This period could be a prime entry point for savvy investors. Monitoring market indicators and macroeconomic trends will be essential. Despite the broader global crisis, the crypto market might be less impacted, presenting unique investment opportunities.

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#research #ShortTermTrade #newsdaily #BTC☀
$BTC $NOT $PEPE

This edition of Top of Mind with

a 10x Research

examines Bitcoin’s growing political influence and its performance in U.S. presidencies. We take a look at Bitcoin’s strong trends in the run-up to the election, its potential impact on the 2024 election, and how rising prices are turning skeptics into advocates.


Bitcoin Politics
DR
As Bitcoin’s price surges, former skeptics like Michael Saylor and Larry Fink have become vocal advocates. Bitcoin has thrived under three U.S. presidents, and the 2025 election has the potential to be pivotal, with candidates now embracing it. Historically, Bitcoin has performed well in pre-election years, and 2024 has continued that trend. The 2024 election, shaped by key events like the debate and the Trump assassination attempt, could have a significant impact on Bitcoin, but its history suggests it will continue to thrive regardless of the election outcome.

Crypto Market and volatility are just synonyms. While crypto can give you never imagined returns in short time also brings some big risk factors like flash dumps and big breakdowns. 

Recently Bitcoin plunged 56,000$ all of a sudden thanks to sell off from Germany and many others bearish factors. But there's always opportunities knocking your door. These are small tips how you can chery-pick the best coins even during this bad situations.
🔼 Relative Strength (RSI) :
The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. It's displayed as a line on a scale of 0 to 100. Traditionally, an RSI above 70 indicates an overbought condition, and below 30 indicates oversold.
Then we have Sector Relative Strength Against Bitcoin. It's a intersting metrics that indicate +1.0 sector is leading the market or if it's falls below it's lagging behind the market.

🔆 Daily Active Users (DAU): 
High DAU indicates a project with a vibrant user base actively engaging with the platform. This suggests the project is solving a problem or offering a valuable service that people use regularly. Increased user activity can lead to more demand for the project's token, potentially driving the price up.

💥 Transaction Volume:
Transaction volume refers to the total amount of cryptocurrency being transferred within the project's ecosystem. High transaction volume signifies a project with a healthy level of activity and utility. More transactions often translate to increased demand for the token to facilitate those transactions, potentially causing a price rise.
✴️ Trading Volume: 
This refers to the total amount of a cryptocurrency being bought and sold on exchanges. High trading volume indicates strong market interest in the token. Active trading can bring more attention to the project, potentially attracting new investors and driving the price up.

🤖 Fees (if collected): 
Some crypto projects collect fees for transactions or services on their platform. Consistent fee collection demonstrates a sustainable revenue model, which can be a positive sign for investors. Fees can also create a demand for the token if they're required for using the platform.

🌀 Staking Stats (if available): 
Staking allows investors to earn rewards for holding a cryptocurrency. High staking participation indicates investor confidence in the project's long-term potential. Staking can also reduce the circulating supply of tokens, potentially leading to price appreciation due to increased scarcity.
⚡ Active Holders: 
This refers to the number of wallets holding a particular cryptocurrency that have recently interacted with it. A high number of active holders suggests strong community engagement and distributed ownership, which can be viewed favorably by investors. It indicates the project isn't controlled by a small group and has a broader user base.
🐠 Important Note:
These factors should be considered together, not in isolation. A strong project will typically exhibit a combination of these positive metrics. And Collect the Data For last 30-60 Days. If Any coin doing somehow positive on those metrics but continuously outperformed by market. You Must best on that. Price Action definitely Follow the On-chain Growth. 
🔼 Data Credit
> Dyor
> Token Terminal
> IntoTheBlock

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#Binance #Bitcoin❗ #research

WHAT TO PREPARE TO PRACTICE RESEARCH SKILLS IN CRYPTO

Project research skills bring the best competitive advantage to each individual in the Crypto space. But I personally find that most of us are not really interested in developing research skills or rather do not know "what" to prepare to practice research. I also find that my own research skills are lacking. There are many limitations, which is very understandable because the Crypto market is so large, each different niche or project has a different way of operating.

⚠️🚨In the wild world of memecoins, the allure of quick profits can often lead to painful losses. Whether you're a seasoned crypto trader or just starting, you’ve likely encountered scam tokens designed to deceive and drain your wallet. From rug pulls to honeypots, scammers have perfected their craft. However, fear not – with the right tools and knowledge, you can spot these scams before it's too late.

In this guide, we’ll walk you through how to protect yourself and your investments on decentralized exchanges like Dexscreener.

How Scammers Operate: The Playbook

Scammers in the crypto space are crafty. They create the illusion of legitimacy by manipulating trading volume, inflating holder stats, and using bots to manipulate market data. The goal? To trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) and lure in unsuspecting traders into buying into a fraudulent token.

But here’s the truth: the surface data provided by tools like Dexscreener is only the beginning. To truly identify a scam, you need to dig deeper and look for the hidden red flags.

Essential Tools for Scam Detection: Stay Ahead of the Game

1. Wallet Tracking and Smart Data with GMGN
GMGN offers valuable insights into wallet activities, tracking patterns that could signal suspicious behavior. A major red flag is the presence of sniper bots—these bots manipulate price movements and trade timing to create a false sense of demand and trick traders into buying at inflated prices.

2. Holder Analysis with InsightX Network
Using InsightX’s bubble maps, you can track wallet interactions and spot suspicious activities, like token hoarding or rapid transfers between wallets. A simple check of the contract address through InsightX can expose hidden scams.

3. Security Ratings from RugCheck and Solana Sniffer
Security platforms like RugCheck and Solana Sniffer provide detailed analysis of a token’s safety profile. Look for vulnerabilities such as unlocked liquidity, active minting permissions, and honeypot mechanisms. A poor security score means high risk – proceed with caution.

The Hidden Danger: Fake Metrics

Scammers know that fake trading volume and inflated holder stats are effective tools for attracting attention. While these metrics might seem like indicators of credibility, they are often a dangerous illusion. To avoid falling victim, always validate data with trusted tools like InsightX or RugCheck.

Advanced Tips for Spotting Scams:

1. Don’t Trust Surface-Level Data
Trading volume or the number of holders can easily be manipulated. Look beyond the surface and verify the actual project behind the token.

2. Investigate the Project’s Fundamentals
A legitimate project will have transparency. Research the development team, check the token’s smart contract, and review the project roadmap. If any of these areas are unclear or suspicious, proceed with caution.

3. Prioritize Locked Liquidity
Tokens with locked liquidity are far less likely to experience a rug pull. Always look for clear, verifiable liquidity-lock mechanisms.

Sniping Bots: A Game-Changer for Solana Trading

In the fast-paced world of crypto trading, timing is everything. Sniping bots are designed to execute trades at lightning speed, giving traders an edge in volatile markets like Solana. These bots can help you secure profits quickly, but they can also be a tool for scammers if misused. Be cautious of bots that consistently push prices up or down, as they may indicate foul play.

Final Thoughts: Stay Safe, Stay Informed

The world of memecoins is full of excitement and potential, but it's also a breeding ground for scams. Protecting yourself requires vigilance, thorough research, and the right tools. By digging deeper, questioning surface-level metrics, and using trusted platforms to analyze tokens, you can avoid falling into the traps set by scammers.

Remember: Knowledge is your best defense. Stay informed, trade wisely, and never stop learning.

Trade Safely on Binance – Where security and opportunity meet. 🌟

#CryptoTrading #SafetyFirst #ScamPrevention #DeFi #Research

On July 2nd 2024, a group of developers unveiled EIP-7732  to bring enshrined proposer/builder separation (ePBS) to Ethereum. ePBS proposes changing how Ethereum blocks are verified by separating the task of confirming what happens in a block from agreeing on the block.

In this system, the block builder, typically responsible for adding and ordering transactions in a block, does not immediately add all the transaction details. Instead, they only include a signed commitment to the transactions and a value to pay the block proposer, who submits the block for approval. 

TL;DR 
 EIP-7732 divides block creation into two distinct roles: Block Proposers select transactions, while Block Builders organize these transactions into blocks. It introduces a formal interface between Proposers and Builders, ensuring correct block construction without Proposers directly influencing transaction selection.This separation is embedded into the Ethereum protocol itself, ensuring consistent and secure block validation across the network.EIP-7732 enhances efficiency, speed, security, scalability, and reliability by optimizing block creation processes and minimizing trust dependencies between participants.

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Imagine a restaurant kitchen where one person used to do everything—select ingredients and cook meals. This was slow and inefficient. With EIP-7732, the roles are split: one person (the block proposer) picks the best ingredients, and another (the block builder) cooks the meals. This separation makes the kitchen run faster and more efficiently because each person focuses on their specific task, ensuring better and quicker meals.
The Problem: Currently, validators on Ethereum are responsible for both proposing new blocks and validating their content (transactions and other data). This can be a time-consuming process, especially during periods of high network activity.
 How EIP-7732 Works
EIP-7732, or the Enshrined Proposer-Builder Separation (EPBS), is a significant upgrade designed to enhance the Ethereum blockchain's efficiency, speed, and security by redefining the roles involved in the block validation process.

1. Separation of Roles:
🔹   Block Proposers: These entities are responsible for proposing new blocks. They select the transactions to be included in a block based on various criteria, such as gas fees and transaction validity.
   🔸 Block Builders: These entities construct the actual blocks by organizing transactions into a block format. They are tasked with optimizing the block's construction for efficiency and speed.

2. Proposer-Builder Interface:
 The proposal introduces a formal interface between proposers and builders. This interface ensures that proposers can trust builders to construct blocks correctly without direct involvement in the transaction selection process.
 By formalizing this interaction, the system reduces the need for proposers to rely on builders' integrity, enhancing overall security.
3.  Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS):
   EIP-7732 embeds PBS directly into the Ethereum protocol. This means the separation is not an optional or external feature but a core part of the blockchain's operation.
   This integration ensures that all network participants follow the same standardized process for block validation, reducing discrepancies and improving consistency.
⚡ Benefits of EIP-7732

1. Efficiency and Speed:
The clear division of labor allows block builders to specialize in constructing optimal blocks, while proposers focus on transaction selection. This specialization leads to more efficient block creation and faster transaction processing.
2.  Security:  
By reducing the trust requirements between proposers and builders, EIP-7732 minimizes the risk of malicious behavior. Proposers no longer need to trust builders blindly, as the protocol ensures that blocks are constructed correctly.
3. Scalability:
 The separation allows for better handling of high transaction volumes. Builders can optimize block construction for varying network conditions, improving scalability and maintaining performance during peak activity.
4. Reliability:
Embedding PBS into the Ethereum protocol standardizes the block validation process. This standardization increases the reliability of the network, as all participants adhere to the same rules and procedures.
🔼 Data Credit - 
> Ethereum Blog 
> Cointelegraph 
> eips.Ethereum 
> Bitkan 
> Twitter 
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eBPS Will be another giant leap in Ethereum After Protodank Sharding. Though it won't be easy to implement in the system. It makes MEV extraction less cumbersome and safer for both builders and validators by removing the need for trusted middleware, aka relays. So, win win situation For all. Let's see. 
🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹 
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #research #ethupdates

An AI stack, short for artificial intelligence stack, is a collection of technologies, tools, and frameworks used to develop, deploy, and maintain AI applications. It can be understood as a layered structure, with each layer playing a crucial role in the AI development process.
TL;DR
• Generative AI stack is a type of AI stack that includes tools for building applications that can generate creative text formats, like poems, code, scripts, musical pieces, email, letters, etc.
• Neura is a blockchain-based platform that offers AI startups access to decentralized resources like GPU processing power, data storage, and funding through Initial Model Offerings (IMOs).
• Neura utilizes a decentralized GPU marketplace to eliminate the bottleneck of expensive and scarce GPUs typically needed for AI training.
• ANKR token is the heart of Neura's ecosystem, serving as the universal currency for accessing resources and participating in the platform.
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🔆 Types Of AI Stack 
• Generative AI stack ( Application Based )
• Machine Learning AI Stack 
We are here talking about Generative AI stack 
⚡ Generative AI stack 

Generative AI stack is combination of many sub category elements such 
• Programming Language 
• Model Providers 
• LLM Frameworks 
• DataBase
• Monitoring Tools
• Deploying Solutions 
Each one is very important for the final output. We saw many Decentralised solutions for these. Neura is one of those. 
📀 What is Neura?
Neura is a blockchain for AI startups it offers access to decentralized GPU resources, crypto-based crowdfunding and on-chain AI operations. Neura is designed to enable companies to deploy, train and operate AI models on-chain.
🔼 Why Neura AI stack is so important 

Neura’s decentralized GPU marketplace is a game-changer. It offers AI developers affordable, on-demand compute resources, eliminating the traditional bottlenecks of GPU scarcity and high costs.
With Neura, AI startups can scale their operations without the constraints of resource availability. The platform’s on-demand GPUs, decentralized data storage, and node infrastructure ensure that AI models can be trained, deployed, and operated with unprecedented efficiency.
🏵️ How Neura Works ? 

Neura utilizes off-chain decentralized storage solutions such as EigenLayer, Celestia, Arweave, and IPFS. This approach ensures both efficient and secure data storage, while the blockchain maintains data integrity.
Decentralized GPU Marketplace
Provides access to on-demand computing resources, eliminating the bottleneck of expensive and scarce GPUs typically needed for AI training.
Initial Model Offerings (IMOs)
Initial Model Offerings empower projects to crowdsource capital raising with tokens, representing shared ownership.
Fractionalized Ownership.
Democratize ownership by allowing users to support AI projects with ERC-404 tokens.
Revenue Sharing.
Automatically share profits from AI usage with contributors and investors using ERC-7641 tokens.
💡 Ankr's Role in Neura

$ANKR @Ankr token is the heart of Neura’s ecosystem, serving as the universal currency for accessing GPU resources, participating in IMOs, & acquiring AI services. Moreover, it incentivizes GPU providers & rewards AI developers, nurturing an ecosystem of innovation & expansion. 
🚨 Important Links & Resources 
> Private Testnet  - https://form.typeform.com/to/y6Mlb6N2?typeform-source=www.neuraprotocol.io
> Faucet - https://testnet.neuraprotocol.io/faucet/
> Whitepaper - https://www.neuraprotocol.io/whitepaper.pdf
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Crypto AI space is getting crowded and solutions like these are going to be gamechanger. Neura will play a significant role in nourishing new Decentralised AI projects. 
🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹 
#Binance #research #AI

Intent-based protocols are systems that use a decentralized approach to fulfill user requests. They often start with an "intent-discovery" system where users can publicly express their desired intent. Then, a network of solvers compete to fill the request at the best price. This system is meant to ensure that no central third party is responsible for satisfying all user needs. 
TLDR; 
▪️Intent-based protocols are a new way to interact with blockchains. Instead of telling the blockchain exactly what to do, you simply tell it what you want to achieve. 
▪️The protocol then figures out the best way to do that. This is much simpler for users, and it can also be more efficient. 
▪️For example, an intent-based protocol could be used to swap tokens between different blockchains or to buy NFTs in a game.
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📀 What Are intent Based Protocol?
Regular Transactions: You tell the blockchain exactly what to do, step-by-step (like sending 1 ETH to address X).
Intent-Based Transactions: You tell the blockchain what you want to achieve (like "I want 1 ETH sent to address X at the best price").

🔼  How These Protocol Works? 

1.  Imagine a user participating in a DeFi protocol. They express their intent by stating their desired outcome, such as "swap tokens" or "provide liquidity."
   - Unlike traditional step-by-step instructions, the user simply declares their goal without specifying implementation details.
2. The DeFi protocol abstracts this intent into a high-level representation. It understands the user's goal without requiring explicit instructions.
  - For instance, if the user intends to swap tokens, the protocol identifies the relevant smart contracts and liquidity pools involved.

3. Based on the intent, the DeFi protocol automatically executes the necessary steps. It interacts with smart contracts, validators, and other components.
   - When the user initiates a token swap, the protocol handles the transaction, ensuring proper execution.
4.  Intent-based systems continuously validate correctness. If any discrepancies occur (e.g., insufficient funds or failed execution), they self-correct or notify the user.

Feedback loops play a crucial role in blockchain systems. They involve an input, an output, and feedback that influences the next input. These loops can be positive (reinforcing the initial input) or negative (counteracting it).

💡 Benefits of Intent Based Protocol 
Simpler for Users: No need to know complex blockchain stuff, just state your goal.
More Flexible: The system can find the best way to achieve your intent within set parameters.
Potential for Efficiency: Allows for features like finding the best exchange rate for a trade.

⚡ Example Of Intent Based Action 
Cross-chain Swaps: Want to swap tokens between different blockchains? An intent-based protocol can find the best route without needing complex bridges.
In-game purchases:  Simply express your desire to buy an NFT in a game, and the system handles the behind-the-scenes steps.

For example, consider a user interacting with a gaming DApp on the Polygon network. Intent-based architectures simplify this process by allowing users to declare their gaming objectives directly on the platform. The blockchain autonomously manages the intricate steps needed for execution, whether it’s purchasing in-game assets or staking rare NFTs. 

🏵️ Projects Recommendation 
▪️Across
▪️▪️DLN
▪️▪️▪️Nitro By Route Protocol 
▪️▪️▪️▪️Synapse 

💡 intent.markets  is an analytics and research website for intent based protocols. 
🔼 Data Credit - intent.market, Blockworks, Gemini, Shoal Research, Coindesk 

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©𝑻𝒉𝒊𝒔 𝒂𝒓𝒕𝒊𝒄𝒍𝒆 𝒊𝒔 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝒊𝒏𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒎𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝒐𝒏𝒍𝒚 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒏𝒐𝒕 𝒂𝒏 𝒆𝒏𝒅𝒐𝒓𝒔𝒆𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒂𝒏𝒚 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒋𝒆𝒄𝒕 𝒐𝒓 𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒊𝒕𝒚. 𝑻𝒉𝒆 𝒏𝒂𝒎𝒆𝒔 𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏𝒆𝒅 𝒂𝒓𝒆 𝒏𝒐𝒕 𝒓𝒆𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒕𝒐 𝒖𝒔. 𝑾𝒆 𝒂𝒓𝒆 𝒏𝒐𝒕 𝒍𝒊𝒂𝒃𝒍𝒆 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝒂𝒏𝒚 𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒔𝒆𝒔 𝒇𝒓𝒐𝒎 𝒊𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒔𝒕𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒃𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒅 𝒐𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒊𝒔 𝒂𝒓𝒕𝒊𝒄𝒍𝒆. 𝑻𝒉𝒊𝒔 𝒊𝒔 𝒏𝒐𝒕 𝒇𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒊𝒂𝒍 𝒂𝒅𝒗𝒊𝒄𝒆. 𝑻𝒉𝒊𝒔 𝒅𝒊𝒔𝒄𝒍𝒂𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒓 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒕𝒆𝒄𝒕𝒔 𝒃𝒐𝒕𝒉 𝒚𝒐𝒖 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒖𝒔.
🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹🔸🔹 
#research #intent #blockchain