This is the burning question in crypto—will there be an altseason? And the answer? Not so simple.
We’ve been spoon-fed the idea that every four years, altseason arrives like clockwork. We wait for that cash-grab moment to make life-changing gains… but this time? It didn’t come.
So now, everyone’s wondering—did we just break the pattern? Or wait, was there ever a pattern to begin with?

Chapter - 1: The Illusion of a Pattern
Our brains are wired to find patterns—it’s how we make sense of things. See a few cycles repeat, and suddenly we think we’ve cracked the code. In crypto, the pattern that everyone swore by looked something like this:

▨ Bitcoin Halving → BTC Pumps → ETH Pumps → Alts Explode 
▨ Rotation of Liquidity from BTC to Alts
▨ Retail Mania Fuels the Blow-Off Top 
▨ Bitcoin Dominance Collapses, Altseason Peaks

Sounds familiar, right? But this cycle? Something went wrong.
Bitcoin followed the script—halving happened, BTC went up, hit new ATHs ($105K as of writing). But where the hell was the rotation? Instead of alts following the lead, BTC just kept eating everything.
Retail did show up, but instead of flooding into altcoins, they threw cash at Pump.fun and memecoins. Some made it out with 100x gains, but most got wrecked. More losers than winners = no altseason fuel.
So, did we actually break the pattern? Or was the pattern a lie all along?
Chapter - 2: Low Float, High FDV 
This wasn’t a new problem, but damn, this cycle made it worse than ever.

▨ VCs controlled everything—grabbing 40%+ of a project’s supply before retail even had a chance. 
▨ Only 10% of supply was circulating, with the rest locked, ready to dump as soon as prices pumped. 
▨ Retail got rugged before they even started.

Instead of buying innovation, retail was forced into exit liquidity mode. 
The moment a hyped-up alt hit the market, unlock schedules crushed the price, and suddenly, what looked like a promising project turned into a slow-motion rug pull.
High FDV = high risk, low reward. And people caught on quick. Instead of piling into these projects, they just stayed away, leaving VC-funded altcoins to bleed into irrelevance.
Chapter - 3: Memecoins and the Retail 
This cycle? Memecoins didn’t just play a role. They became the entire game.

▨ Retail didn’t bet on tech. They bet on vibes. Instead of hunting for “the next Ethereum,” they YOLO’d into shitcoins with funny names. 
▨ Pump.fun made gambling too easy. People weren’t investing anymore—they were playing a glorified slot machine. 
▨ VC-backed alts stood no chance. Why lock tokens for months in a high-FDV deathtrap when a random Solana memecoin could 100x overnight?

This wasn’t just a market trend. It was a shift in how retail plays the game. Traditional alts didn’t just struggle—they got ignored.
Chapter - 4: The Rotation 
Rotation fuels altseason. But this time? It never happened

▨ BTC dominance refused to drop. Normally, after BTC runs, dominance falls as money moves into alts. This cycle? It stayed high and kept rising. 
▨ ETH underperformed. The ETH/BTC ratio hit multi-year lows, and even the ETH ETF announcement barely moved the needle. 
▨ VC-backed alts turned into liquidity traps. Instead of leading the market, they bled out post-TGE.

Altseason needs rotation. But BTC kept all the liquidity, retail chased memes, and VCs killed trust.
Chapter - 5: TradFi and Institutions Altseason
Crypto used to be wild. This cycle? TradFi showed up and made it boring.

▨ The Bitcoin-Only Liquidity Trap Spot Bitcoin ETFs sucked in billions from BlackRock, Fidelity, and other TradFi giants. But they only bought BTC. Retail followed their lead, believing “institutions know best.” This left zero liquidity for alts.
▨ Ethereum’s Institutional Flop People expected an ETH ETF to spark a rally. Instead, ETH/BTC collapsed. Institutions don’t care about ETH—it’s too complex, too risky. Without ETH leading the way, alts never got their turn.
▨ VC Dumping and High FDV Scams VCs used TradFi’s presence to rug retail harder than ever. They didn’t invest in projects—they cashed out.
▨ Bitcoin Maximalism Went Corporate Before TradFi, BTC maxis were just Twitter loudmouths. Now?

 They’re running the show. Big firms pushed the “Bitcoin is the only crypto worth holding” narrative, killing retail appetite for alts.
TL;DR: TradFi made Bitcoin mainstream, but it killed the speculation that fueled altseason.
Chapter - 6: What Comes Next?
So, is altseason officially dead? Not really. But it won’t look the same as before.

▨ The old cycle is gone. Don’t expect a massive altcoin rotation like in 2017 or 2021. 
▨ New narratives will be there. The AI sector, RWAs, and real decentralized infra might lead instead. 
▨ BTC dominance isn’t fading soon. As long as institutions keep buying BTC, alts won’t get much oxygen.

If you’re waiting for a classic altseason, you’re waiting for something that may never come. The winners of this market? They’ll be the ones adapting, not holding onto old patterns. Dont Chase Speculation Chase Innovation & Sometimes Memes (😊)

▨ Messari
▨ Bitcoin Treasuries
▨ Kaiko
▨ Binance Research

🅃🄴🄲🄷🄰🄽🄳🅃🄸🄿🅂123
#USTariffs
#BitcoinReserveWave
#altsesaon

Date: February 2, 2025 | 04:22 AM GMT
The cryptocurrency market has experienced a sharp downturn over the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling below the $100,000 mark and Ethereum (ETH) declining by 5%. This sell-off has led to $532 million in liquidations, according to data from Coinglass.
As a result, several major altcoins, including XRP ($XRP ), Stellar ($XLM ), and Hedera ($HBAR ), have suffered notable losses, each declining by over 6%, per CoinMarketCap data.
Factors Driving the Market Downturn
One of the primary factors contributing to the decline is the shift in Bitcoin dominance, which has exhibited a significant technical pattern. Since January 13, Bitcoin dominance has been forming a rising wedge pattern on the four-hour chart, a structure that often signals a potential reversal.
On January 30, BTC dominance broke below the wedge at 59.40%, confirming a bearish signal. Following this breakdown, dominance initially fell to 58.62% before rebounding to retest the previous support level, which has now turned into resistance at 59.71%. As of today, BTC dominance has settled at 59.64%.
This retest appears to have triggered the ongoing altcoin correction, as investors shift capital away from altcoins amid uncertainty regarding BTC’s next move.
Can Altcoins Recover?
A sustained rejection of BTC dominance at current levels could signal a reversal in the altcoin market, leading to a potential recovery. If BTC dominance resumes its downward trajectory, it would confirm the breakdown of the rising wedge pattern, potentially igniting a strong rebound for XRP, XLM, HBAR, and other altcoins in the coming days.
However, traders should closely monitor BTC dominance for further developments. A continued decline would indicate renewed strength for altcoins, while a breakout above the resistance level could invalidate the bearish wedge pattern. In such a scenario, prolonged pressure on altcoins may persist, potentially suggesting market manipulation.
As the market remains volatile, investors should exercise caution and closely track Bitcoin’s dominance and broader market trends to assess the likelihood of an altcoin resurgence.
#altsesaon

As the cryptocurrency market enters another altseason in 2025, investors are keen to identify the best altcoins that have strong potential for growth. From established blockchain platforms to meme coins, the altcoin landscape is diverse and offers various investment opportunities. Below is a rundown of the top 10 altcoins to consider during this exciting period in the crypto market, along with their technical analysis.
Know about Altcoin season, Click Here
1. Ethereum ($ETH )

Overview: Ethereum remains a cornerstone of the blockchain ecosystem, supporting decentralized applications (dApps) and smart contracts. With the transition to Ethereum 2.0, Ethereum is poised to address scalability issues by transitioning to a Proof of Stake (PoS) system and incorporating parallel blockchains for better transaction throughput.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: $3,340
Support Level: $2,607
Ethereum is currently testing resistance at $3,340, and a breakout above this level could signal further upward momentum. RSI is showing positive divergence, suggesting that the momentum is shifting toward a potential rally. The volume tops and bottoms, however, do not align well with price movements, which weakens the bullish trend slightly. Watch for a breakout above resistance for confirmation of the next bullish phase.

2. XRP ($XRP )

Overview: Ripple’s XRP continues to be a key player in the cryptocurrency space, focusing on improving the global payment system. The XRP Ledger was built by Ripple to enhance the efficiency and liquidity of cross-border transactions. XRP’s market performance continues to show optimism, with the cryptocurrency breaking key resistance levels.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: No defined resistance, as it is in an upward breakout phase.
Support Level: $2.50
XRP shows a positive volume balance, suggesting increasing investor optimism. Although it recently broke through the floor of its rising trend channel, this does not signal an immediate downtrend, and further gains are likely. If the price tests the support level at $2.50 and rebounds, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.

3. Shiba Inu ($SHIB )

Overview: Shiba Inu, the popular meme coin built on the Ethereum blockchain, has captured the attention of the crypto community with its strong community engagement and growing ecosystem. Shiba Inu’s decentralized exchange (ShibaSwap) and plans for future utility beyond trading the token make it an interesting investment.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: $21.50
Support Level: $16.70
Shiba Inu is currently in a consolidation phase, with support around $16.70 and resistance at $21.50. The price movement shows that volume bottoms and tops correspond well with price levels, but the trend break appears weaker due to volume inconsistencies. A move past $21.50 would trigger a new bullish phase, while a fall below $16.70 could suggest a bearish retracement.

4. Cardano ($ADA)

Overview: Cardano is a third-generation blockchain focused on solving scalability and transaction fee issues seen in earlier blockchain projects like Ethereum. With its innovative Proof of Stake mechanism and peer-reviewed academic approach, Cardano remains a long-term favorite for investors seeking growth in blockchain technology.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: $1.13
Support Level: $0.84
Cardano is currently trading within a horizontal trend channel, indicating that it is in a consolidation phase. The support at $0.84 and resistance at $1.13 show a stable range. If ADA breaks through resistance at $1.13, it could signal the start of a new bullish phase, while a fall below $0.84 could lead to a further price decline.

5. Polkadot ($DOT)

Overview: Polkadot’s interoperability feature allows various blockchains to communicate and exchange data securely. With its native token DOT used for governance and staking, Polkadot aims to build a fully decentralized web. It’s a promising option for those looking to invest in blockchain interoperability.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: None currently indicated, as the price is in a neutral phase.
Support Level: $4.00 (approx.)
Technical indicators like RSI and MACD are signaling bullish momentum, though the ADX indicator suggests a lack of strong trend direction. With low volatility and indicators like Williams %R and ROC signaling buys, Polkadot appears primed for a positive movement if it holds above the support level. Investors should watch for price breaks and a sustained move above the $4.00 range.

6. Pepe ($PEPE)

Overview: Pepe is a meme coin that operates on the Ethereum blockchain and is inspired by the famous Pepe the Frog meme. Though it lacks inherent utility, it has gained attention due to its community-driven appeal and humorous roots. As a meme coin, its future may depend on market sentiment.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: $0.00003
Support Level: $0.00002
Pepe is currently in an oversold condition, with an RSI of 42.232 and negative indicators across most technical metrics. The coin shows high volatility and bearish momentum, as indicated by the Williams %R at -91.176. A potential rebound could occur if the price stays above $0.00002 and manages a small recovery, but the coin remains a high-risk, speculative investment.

7. Dogecoin ($DOGE)

Overview: Dogecoin, initially created as a joke, has transformed into a widely used meme coin with significant community involvement. Though lacking the technological features of other cryptocurrencies, its market sentiment and strong social media following provide staying power.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: $0.40
Support Level: $0.31
Dogecoin is in a falling trend channel, indicating bearish sentiment and declining buy interest. Currently, the price is between support at $0.31 and resistance at $0.40. A break above $0.40 could trigger a reversal, but as it stands, Dogecoin remains a coin to watch for a potential trend shift.

8. Bonus Coin: Trump Coin ($TRUMP)

Overview: A politically-themed meme coin tied to U.S. President Donald Trump, Trump Coin has become a speculative investment. Following its ICO in January 2025, it has attracted a great deal of attention, driven by its ties to Trump’s political identity.

Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: $0.10 (approx.)
Support Level: $0.05
Trump Coin has experienced significant volatility since its launch, with extreme price fluctuations. The market appears driven by speculative hype, and while it has surged in value, technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest that it’s a volatile asset. Investors should watch for a strong support level around $0.05 and resistance at $0.10 for price direction.

Conclusion
The 2025 altseason presents numerous opportunities for cryptocurrency investors. While established players like Ethereum, XRP, and Cardano continue to dominate the space, meme coins such as Shiba Inu, Dogecoin, and Pepe offer high-risk, high-reward potential. Technical analysis provides key insights into possible price movements, but investors should remain vigilant and ensure they conduct thorough research before diving into any investment. As always, cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, and it’s crucial to understand the risks associated with each asset.
#Bittraderx #altcoins #altsesaon

Altcoin season, or altseason, is the time when altcoins outperform Bitcoin, both in price growth and market dominance. During this period, Bitcoin’s price may increase, but its dominance over the crypto market decreases, making room for altcoins to shine. If you’re wondering when the next altcoin season will kick off and how long it will last, here’s an easy breakdown of what we know from past cycles.
7 altcoin to buy in this altseason. Click here
What Is Altcoin Season?
Altcoin season happens when altcoins (all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin) experience stronger growth than Bitcoin. This is marked by Bitcoin’s dominance dropping, while altcoins see substantial gains in both price and market cap. Historically, altseason begins after Bitcoin dominance reaches a local peak, and it ends when the TOTAL2 index—the total market capitalization of the top 125 altcoins excluding Bitcoin—hits a new all-time high.

Past Altcoin Seasons: What Do They Tell Us?
There have been two major altcoin seasons in crypto history, both linked to Bitcoin’s cycles. The first altseason began in March 2017, when Bitcoin’s dominance dropped from about 96% to 36% by January 2018. During this time, altcoins experienced a massive surge, with the market cap of altcoins growing by $470 billion, or a stunning 56,425%.
The second altseason took place in Bitcoin’s fourth cycle, starting with an altcoin market cap of $225 billion. As Bitcoin’s dominance fell, altcoins grew, peaking in November 2021 when TOTAL2 hit $1.5 trillion. This season lasted 309 days, with altcoins increasing by 650%.
Bitcoin Halving and Its Effect on Altseason Timing
Bitcoin’s halving events—when the reward for mining Bitcoin blocks is cut in half—appear to play a key role in when altseason begins. In both previous cycles, altseason started roughly 235 days after the halving event:
In Cycle II (2016), the halving occurred on July 9, 2016, and altseason began on March 1, 2017—235 days later.In Cycle III (2020), the halving took place on May 11, 2020, and altseason began on January 3, 2021—again, 235 days later.
This consistent timing suggests that Bitcoin’s halving is a strong indicator of when altseason could start.

When Will the Next Altcoin Season Begin?
Looking ahead, the next Bitcoin halving is set for April 19, 2024. If history repeats itself, we can expect altcoin season to begin around December 10, 2024, about 235 days after the halving. Based on previous cycles, this altseason could last for 310 days, ending around October 18, 2025.
What Will Happen During Altseason?
During altseason, strong-performing altcoins tend to see massive gains, as we’ve seen in previous cycles. While there are always exceptions, it’s usually the established projects that perform best. In the last cycle, top meme coins dominated, but other sectors like blockchain infrastructure, AI, and decentralized finance (DeFi) also saw major growth. We expect this trend to continue in the upcoming cycle.
Conclusion
To sum up:
When will altseason start? Most likely around December 10, 2024, 235 days after the Bitcoin halving.How long will it last? Altseason could last 310 days, ending around October 18, 2025.Which coins will perform best? The top performers are expected to be strong players in meme coins, blockchain, AI infrastructure, and other major crypto sectors.
While past cycles are not guaranteed to repeat exactly, these patterns provide a useful guide for what to expect in the next altcoin season. Prepare for exciting times ahead, as altcoins are set to steal the spotlight in late 2024 and 2025!

#altcoins #altsesaon

When Will Altcoin Season (Altseason) Happen ❓

Predicting the exact date of altseason is challenging due to the volatility of the crypto market. However, several key factors can help estimate when it might occur.

1️⃣Bitcoin’s Market Cycle
Altseason typically happens after Bitcoin reaches a strong peak or enters a consolidation phase. When Bitcoin’s dominance stabilizes or declines, investors tend to shift capital into altcoins, leading to an altseason.

2️⃣ Key Market Signals
Altseason is likely to occur when:

Altcoin trading volume surpasses Bitcoin’s growth rate.

Altcoins outperform Bitcoin in terms of percentage gains over a sustained period.

3️⃣ Historical Patterns
Based on previous market cycles, altseasons often occur in spring and summer when the crypto market is generally more bullish.

4️⃣ External Factors
Macroeconomic conditions: Economic uncertainty or stock market fluctuations could push investors toward crypto.

⬆️Bitcoin events: Events like Bitcoin halvings or major protocol updates can attract mainstream attention, triggering capital inflows into altcoins.

✅ Estimated Timeframe for Altseason
If the market continues its bullish trend, altseason could start around Spring 2025 and last until late Summer 2025. This aligns with past cycles where altcoin rallies followed Bitcoin’s peak.

However, unexpected market events or regulatory changes could impact this timeline, so it’s important to stay updated on crypto trends.
#altsesaon #altcoins #BullRun2025