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Early 2025, LOOKING BACK AT THE PAST, PROJECTING THE FUTURE #BITCOIN #VÀNG
This analysis is based on the Year frame only (extremely large, long-term time)
1. Bitcoin Year frame (12M)
- History shows that the last 2 cycles have 3 bullish candles and 1 bearish candle.
- The length + 3 bullish candles tends to get shorter and shorter.
- Connect a trend line through the peaks
- Volume gradually decreases over time.
We respect the past, because it is the foundation of Cause and Effect for the future, so the repetition of the past price pattern will have a high probability of reoccurring in the future, so we predict that:
- 2025 may be like the past, a bullish candle
- The length of the 2025 candle is likely to be shorter than 2 years 2023-2024
- The peak of 2025 may be 140~160k
- The growth trend of BTC is getting weaker and the future may enter a sideways phase in the next 5 years???
2. Gold Year frame
- History shows 3 growth phases to create ATH (surpassing the old peak), currently the 3rd time.
- This growth phase lasts 10-11 years
- The end of the growth phase usually has 1 year of doji and hammer candles.
So, the future of gold
- Gold may increase for another 1-2 years. - 2025 is likely to be a bullish candle, 2026 wait until next year to see how 2025 ends.
This is Okane's perspective on 2 types of assets with investment potential. It is a long-term overview, for trading it does not have much meaning because we have to surf the waves in 1 year, few people trade Y candles. If you have questions or comments, please leave a comment.
This analysis is based on the Year frame only (extremely large, long-term time)
1. Bitcoin Year frame (12M)
- History shows that the last 2 cycles have 3 bullish candles and 1 bearish candle.
- The length + 3 bullish candles tends to get shorter and shorter.
- Connect a trend line through the peaks
- Volume gradually decreases over time.
We respect the past, because it is the foundation of Cause and Effect for the future, so the repetition of the past price pattern will have a high probability of reoccurring in the future, so we predict that:
- 2025 may be like the past, a bullish candle
- The length of the 2025 candle is likely to be shorter than 2 years 2023-2024
- The peak of 2025 may be 140~160k
- The growth trend of BTC is getting weaker and the future may enter a sideways phase in the next 5 years???
2. Gold Year frame
- History shows 3 growth phases to create ATH (surpassing the old peak), currently the 3rd time.
- This growth phase lasts 10-11 years
- The end of the growth phase usually has 1 year of doji and hammer candles.
So, the future of gold
- Gold may increase for another 1-2 years. - 2025 is likely to be a bullish candle, 2026 wait until next year to see how 2025 ends.
This is Okane's perspective on 2 types of assets with investment potential. It is a long-term overview, for trading it does not have much meaning because we have to surf the waves in 1 year, few people trade Y candles. If you have questions or comments, please leave a comment.
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BTC Risk
After the Russian war came to an end, the Iranian issue is still hot, today Asia witnessed 2 new war risks: North Korea-South Korea and China-Taiwan.
When the world is unstable, Gold is still the leading safe haven, not #BTC , if anyone does not know, they can review the gold price at the time of the Russian war and the instability of the China-India border. Remember that $BTC is still an investment/speculation channel, so when there is a risk of war, especially in a rich and powerful country like China-Korea, investors will prioritize keeping cash or focus on sheltering in #vàng and that is the reason why Bitcoin is at risk of a sharp price drop in the near future.
Of course, in addition to Gold, there is still a safe haven channel for cryptocurrency investors, such as coins #stablecoin such as $USDC or $FDUSD . No matter which channel, always keep a close eye on the news to have the necessary safe haven option when the market fluctuates.
After the Russian war came to an end, the Iranian issue is still hot, today Asia witnessed 2 new war risks: North Korea-South Korea and China-Taiwan.
When the world is unstable, Gold is still the leading safe haven, not #BTC , if anyone does not know, they can review the gold price at the time of the Russian war and the instability of the China-India border. Remember that $BTC is still an investment/speculation channel, so when there is a risk of war, especially in a rich and powerful country like China-Korea, investors will prioritize keeping cash or focus on sheltering in #vàng and that is the reason why Bitcoin is at risk of a sharp price drop in the near future.
Of course, in addition to Gold, there is still a safe haven channel for cryptocurrency investors, such as coins #stablecoin such as $USDC or $FDUSD . No matter which channel, always keep a close eye on the news to have the necessary safe haven option when the market fluctuates.