Hello everyone, I'm A10JQK! Today we're going to interpret the cards of this CPI report and see what these big guys are planning! ♠️♥️♣️♦️

♠️ Neil Birrell is really good at talking! He said that the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut has been "significantly hit", but he also said that this is not enough to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates. Isn't this playing word games? It feels like he wants to bet everything!

♥️ Let's look at David Kelly, the master, who said that the core CPI data in July was higher than expected, but today's data is more like "noise than news." Is this a hint to the market not to take it too seriously? High, really high!

♣️ Kelly also said that inflation has dropped to "room temperature" and there is no "significant" inflation problem. This is looking for a reason for the Fed to cut interest rates! However, he said that inflation is well controlled and there is no sign of tightening. Is this a hint to the Fed not to cut too hard?

♦️ In general, what these big guys mean is:
1. A 50 basis point rate cut is unlikely, but there is still a chance of a rate cut.
2. Inflation is not a big problem, but it cannot be taken lightly.
3. The Fed may cut interest rates slightly, but don't expect too much.
Dear poker friends, do you think the analysis of these big guys is reliable? Will the Fed be affected by these remarks? Are you betting on a rate cut or keeping your money on hold? Please share your insights in the comment section! ♠️♥️♣️♦️
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？
#CPI报告解读 #美联储降息预期 #美国经济软着陆？
$FET $WLD

$BANANA
Hello everyone, I am A10JQK! Today's cryptocurrency circle is very lively again, are you ready?

♠️ The US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of 253 million US dollars yesterday! This is the rhythm of taking off! Do you think it will drive the entire market?

♥️ Today's Fear and Greed Index is 49, turning from fear to neutral. Market sentiment is slowly warming up. Is it a good time to buy?

♣️ Avalanche is going to buy back the 1.97 million AVAX tokens previously sold to LFG. What do you think of this operation? Is it good or bad?

♦️ The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 95.6%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates is 4.4%. Do you think the Fed will really cut interest rates? What impact will it have on the crypto market?

♠️ CZ broke the news: Some deep fake videos are promoting some tokens that have never been heard of. Brothers, be careful, don't be fooled!

♥️ Venture capital firm Khosla Ventures raises $405 million for OpenAI's new round of financing. Will the combination of AI and encryption bring new opportunities?

🃏 The suspect involved in the $180 million cryptocurrency scam actually fled after tampering with the ankle monitor! This operation is too 6, right?

Brothers, which news are you most concerned about? What new views do you have on the market? Let's talk about your ideas!

#市场情绪回暖 #Avalanche回购 #美联储降息预期 #CZ爆料伪造视频 #OpenAI新融资

Remember, risks and opportunities coexist in the currency circle, investment should be cautious, DYOR!
$FET $BNB

[Focus of the week: CPI data is about to be announced, and the market is about to be positive! 🌟]

Hey, family! The focus of the week is coming! At 8:30 pm on Wednesday, we will usher in the announcement of the August CPI data. Economists predict that the year-on-year increase in the overall CPI in the United States in August may slow from 2.9% in July to 2.6%. This is great news! 🎊

Why do you say that? Because the decline in natural gas prices and the stability of food prices are expected to work together to control overall inflation. If the forecast comes true, CPI inflation will hit a new low since March 2021, which is a moment worth celebrating!

Moreover, core CPI inflation (excluding food and energy prices) is also expected to fall to 3.2% year-on-year. This means that inflationary pressures are gradually easing, which is a positive signal for both the market and consumers.

Let's talk about the Fed's movements. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is as high as 70%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is also 30%. This means that if the inflation data does unexpectedly decline, the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut will further increase!

Family members, this is a real positive! For our currency circle, the increase in expectations of rate cuts often means an increase in market liquidity and an increase in risk appetite. In such an environment, the cryptocurrency market is expected to usher in a new wave of rising prices! 🌈

Of course, the specific trend still depends on the market reaction after the data is released. But in any case, this positive expectation is enough to make people look forward to it! On Wednesday night, let's watch the data together! 👀

#CPI数据揭晓 # #美联储降息预期 # #美国经济软着陆？ #

📈Bitcoin hits the $70,000 mark: Trump election odds and expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut affect the contract and options markets! 🚀

Recently, the Bitcoin market has shown significant upward momentum, with the price approaching the key resistance level of $70,000, which may herald an important market test for Bitcoin. Additionally, Bitcoin’s price dynamics are closely tied to Trump’s election odds, demonstrating the sensitivity of the cryptocurrency market to political events.

Moreover, Bitcoin’s open interest (OI) has exceeded the $40 billion mark, hitting a record high, which is a big signal for speculation. Although some people are concerned that this means that the price fluctuations are all due to leveraged futures positions, the good news is that the funding rate remains neutral, indicating that the long positions are relatively balanced and not too crazy.

Let’s look at the macroeconomics. The Federal Reserve’s possible interest rate cuts, increased liquidity, and possible improvements in the U.S. crypto regulatory environment are all great benefits that support Bitcoin’s continued rise. If Bitcoin can break through $70,000, it may be as unstoppable as it was when it broke through $30,000 in October last year!

In the options market, traders are already eyeing call options expiring in November with strike prices above $80,000. That's because there are two big events next month: the U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Everyone is betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, and the possibility is not small.

Data on Deribit also shows that the number of call option contracts expiring at the end of November is extremely large, while the number of put options is much smaller. This shows that the market is generally optimistic about the Bitcoin price in November. However, there are also traders hedging, and open interest in put options is increasing.

In short, the Bitcoin market is really busy right now, and everyone is preparing for the next big event. Let us wait and see if Bitcoin can break through the siege and reach new highs!

Viewpoint: Increase the spot position at low prices, go long on dips in the contract, and look at 80,000 for options in November.

#比特币冲70000 #美联储降息预期 #美国总统大选影响 #合约市场 #期权市场