74022155199 Last night's square live broadcast mentioned that if it breaks the pressure point of 105000 (Figure 2) after the Federal Reserve interest rate announcement, then we can consider continuing to be bullish. However, due to inflation issues, whether Powell will slow down the interest rate cuts for the year 2025 may lead to a collapse, but that is a matter for after 3 o'clock. First, let's see if the Federal Reserve interest rate decision can break the 105000 pressure level.

As a result, the Federal Reserve interest rate announcement failed to break 105000. So if you are monitoring the market, it is better to take small profits on long positions, and for those holding overnight, we mentioned a stop-loss at 103000.

Today the market has returned to that familiar place, with 4-hour EMA dual-track support (Figure 1). Therefore, whether it is spot or contracts, one should enter the market here.

Considering that Christmas is coming soon and the U.S. market will be closed, after the BTC pullback and rise, pay attention to the possibility of continued selling.

Lastly, I want to say that in today's cryptocurrency market, since the ETF and Trump took office, both contracts and spot trading have become more difficult. But one thing must be certain is that on January 20, when Trump enters the White House, BTC will inevitably surge.

So the bull market is still here; it is just a resting period.

Yesterday, Dharmakaya said that a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve is highly likely and meets expectations. So why is Bitcoin adjusting downwards? It is mainly influenced by Powell's speech. The first point is that the pace of rate cuts in 2025 will slow down, and another point is that the Federal Reserve has no intention of holding Bitcoin. Additionally, the Nasdaq also adjusted downwards by 3.56%. These are the main reasons. However, the overall direction is not a big issue. $ETH #圣诞行情预测 #美联储降息周期

Analyst: Fed's future rate cuts may depend on Trump's policies
IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong wrote in a report that the trajectory of the Fed's future rate cuts may depend on the policies of President-elect Trump, which remain unclear at this stage.
He said Trump's initial remarks on tariffs did sound aggressive. However, he added that the extent to which these measures will be implemented is uncertain. Yeap said that as policy becomes clearer, the Fed may initially tend to a shallower rate cut cycle. He also said that with the end of the Fed meeting, unless the Bank of Japan makes an unexpected decision, U.S. stocks may gradually rise in the last few weeks of 2024. However, due to the lack of further catalysts, it may be challenging to reach new record highs by the end of the year#美联储降息周期 $BTC

Powell's speech was as we expected, it was hawkish. He said a bit too much, there's not enough space here, so let's just look at the key points in one picture, I won't elaborate further, I'm too tired 🥱, going to sleep, good night 😴! #鲍威尔说了什么 #美联储降息周期

Is the Fed's hawkish stance coming? The market may face a 'clearing frenzy' tonight!
QCP warns rapidly: The last Federal Reserve meeting of 2024 is approaching, with a 25 basis point rate cut almost certain, but the dot plot and statements may hide 'hawkish traps'! Inflation is sticky, and the labor market is strong, while the rate cut path for 2025 remains shrouded in uncertainty, and market sentiment is walking a tightrope!
Liquidity is drying up, and all market volatility may trigger a wave of liquidations! Bitcoin's technicals show bearish divergence, with short-term bearish currents brewing. But don't panic, 2025 could be a bull year for cryptocurrencies, especially if Trump returns to power, igniting a new round of market activity—hold on to your chips!
Don't let short-term fluctuations blind you; Brother Tang teaches you to set your sights on goals, advance step by step, and witness wealth explosion with a smile! Follow Brother Tang to go from confusion to freedom!
#加密市场盘整 #BTC再创新高 #加密用户突破1800万 #美联储降息周期 #AVA $BTC $AVA $ENA

In the upcoming meeting at three o'clock in the morning, a monetary policy meeting regarding the CPI is about to be revealed. According to current market predictions, there is a probability of up to 97.1% pointing to one outcome—a forthcoming interest rate adjustment. Specifically, it is widely believed that the interest rate will decrease by 25 basis points, with the current interest rate level at 4.75%, which means the rate will drop to 4.5%.

The expectation of this rate cut is seen as a positive signal in the cryptocurrency market. However, the market is always sensitive and foresighted, and investors seem to have already traded in anticipation of this good news. Some analysts predict that the rate cut in January may not occur temporarily, and the market might react to it in advance. Nevertheless, the final prediction results have not yet been revealed, and the market still needs to adjust its strategy based on actual results.

In terms of market conditions, apart from a few popular coins that exhibit some activity due to capital involvement, most altcoins' market performance appears to be dull. The trading of most cryptocurrencies is not active, which undoubtedly poses significant challenges for investors. Many are wondering when this situation will improve.

In terms of capital, despite large trades continuously hitting new highs, the overall market seems quiet. Only a few coins can attract capital inflows, driving price fluctuations. Most altcoins appear to lack vitality, and the interest of market participants in such assets seems to be gradually fading.
#比特币冲向11万？
#美联储降息周期

The biggest factor driving the bull market:
#流动性
$BTC 's ETF through
1 Phase: Speculation on ETF expectations
October 2023 - January 2024
BTC range: 27000-48000
2 Phase: ETF rollout
BTC: 40000-73777
Net inflow: 17.6 billion USD
Institutional inflow: 55 billion USD
3 Phase: Other ETFs
Other regional ETFs: Hong Kong, Asia-Pacific
Other cryptocurrency ETFs: Ethereum, SOL

#美联储降息周期
1 Inflation -- 2%
CPI: 2.4% (decreased for five consecutive times)
PCE: 2.7% (previous value 2.6)
2 Employment
Non-farm: 25.4 (14.2)
Unemployment rate: 4.1% (4.2)
3 Harvesting globally
1. Exploding other countries' financial markets
2. Flooding the market for global harvesting

Bitcoin has gone through a consolidation period. Next, there are two narratives worth paying attention to that will cause a new wave of market. One is that the trading rules S1 in the ETF of spot ETH will be passed as early as July, and the other is that the Fed's interest rate cut may also occur in September. If these two narratives overlap, there is a high probability that a wave of market will be triggered. Therefore, if there is a big drop next, we must grasp the low-priced chips.

Recently, Binance's new contract championship has also started. You can join our Glory of Light team and follow us to lay out a low-multiple multi at the bottom, take a trend multi, and share the bonus. It can be said that you can eat and take. The joining method is also attached in the picture. Let's take the reward together #币安合约锦标赛 #ETH现货ETF #美联储降息周期 $ETH $IO $NOT

After two days of volatility over the weekend, I thought it would rise again starting on Monday.
It did rise.
But the amplitude was too small and it didn't stabilize.
From the news, the expectation of a 25-point interest rate cut is cooling down.
The current daily trend is still good.
I personally think there is a risk of a small correction to induce short selling.
It is not expected to fall sharply. Overall, the probability of rising is higher.
So you can bet on it, but it is still mainly low-long.
It is recommended to buy more at 62800-63000 and 2660-2680#Ethereum# #美联储何时降息？ #BTC☀ #加密货币社区 #美联储降息周期 #Telegram创始人被捕 #

The cryptocurrency market suffered a big drop today, mainly due to seven major factors.

The US employment data was better than expected, and the market was worried that the Federal Reserve might not cut interest rates as expected, which put pressure on risky assets such as cryptocurrencies.

The market turn forced investors with long positions to sell to reduce losses, exacerbating the market's downward trend.

The crypto derivatives market was forced to close positions on a large scale, and a large number of sell orders further pushed down prices.

Technical indicators showed that the market might turn bearish, and technical analysts worried that the downward trend would be established.

International tensions and uncertainty prompted investors to take risks and sell cryptocurrencies.

The rising cost of Bitcoin transactions reduced its market appeal.

The government's unclear regulatory attitude towards cryptocurrencies and legal issues made the market full of doubts. These factors together led to the decline in the cryptocurrency market. #币安合约锦标赛 #币安用户数突破2亿 #非农就业人数高于预期 #美联储降息周期

$TAO The last chance to get on board, ETH will be $10,000 this year, TAO will be $1,500 this year, don’t disbelieve it, just do it #美国4月非农就业人口增加不及预期 #美联储降息周期

The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut next week has risen to 40%, which means that the Fed may have seen some risks that may lead to a recession in the US economy. (Perhaps the economic data is not that good at all, it is fake), and they need to prevent risks by cutting interest rates by 50 basis points.
So I think a 50 basis point rate cut may not be a good thing. The market is actually speculating on confidence. If the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points, many institutions may smell some risks and dare not pull the market.
So I hope to reduce it by 25 basis points, which may be more conducive to the second half of the market. #比特币 #以太坊 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美联储降息周期

Goldman Sachs: The Fed is expected to implement a 25 basis point rate cut at each meeting from November 2024 to June 2025
#高盛 #美联储降息周期

$BTC $ETH I won’t rest even during the National Day holiday! I will continue to bring my brothers to eat meat!

Dabing and Ethereum took off directly, Dabing took 1400 points, and Ethereum took 85 points! Take off!

The holiday will end tomorrow, and I am ready to come back! Are you ready? Let’s get some small benefits!

#美联储降息周期

I have always emphasized that apt, wif, sui, ordi, sol, and pepe should enter the market quickly.

Why don’t you listen?

Now you have missed the opportunity.

I have said more than once that a pullback is an opportunity to enter the market.

Cherish every opportunity to fall.

#美联储降息周期 #美联储利率决议即将公布

$BTC rose to 63500, liquidating $420 million of shorts

$BTC fell to 58500, liquidating $370 million of longs

How do you cut if you are a banker? After killing the longs last night, you must cut some shorts today to help cheer you up?

#美联储降息周期

$BTC Today's strategy analysis (reference daily, 4-hour, 1-hour)

Yesterday, Bitcoin surged all the way to 63,400, just reaching the short-selling range of yesterday's strategy of 63,150-63,600, and fell back to 62,330 under pressure. This wave was really grasped

In terms of news:
The US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of US$253 million yesterday
Today's panic and greed index is 49, and the level has changed from fear to neutral
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 95.6%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates is 4.4%
From the news that can be seen, the overall trend is positive!

In terms of technical indicators:
The KDJ of the daily K line of Bitcoin has crossed upward, and MACD is still upward and the bell mouth is narrowing, showing signs of crossing the golden cross
The 4-hour trend KDJ is still a golden cross, but it turns downward, so be alert to the risk of a short-term downward trend!
I personally think that if it goes down, the amplitude will not be too large. You can focus on the 62000 line, which is a strong pressure in the original rising process.

Reference points:

Long: 61600-62100 60500-61000
Short: 63150-63650 64500-65000

The above is only personal analysis, do not operate blindly, all indicators and analysis are time-sensitive!

#美联储降息周期

$POPCAT's public point analysis at noon today was also perfectly fulfilled. It fell under pressure from 0.95 to 0.957, and won a profit of 205.66%.

Next, let's briefly analyze the subsequent trend of this coin:

The 4-hour KDJ indicator is still in the state of golden cross, but it has a trend of turning to stability. Next, focus on the two recent K lines. If it is a state of Yin enveloping Yang, it may go out of a downward trend in the future. Otherwise, it is bullish.

The 1-hour line is currently in a state of being suppressed by the 0.9273-0.9353 range (because this range is the range where EMA5, EMA15, EMA30 and Fibonacci 78.6 are located)

The reference support below is 0.9075-0.9147 (because this range is the range where EMA240 is located, and this range is the 4-hour line chip concentration area)

The support below should be considered around 0.8942 (this point is the previous low position, which is a relatively strong support)

Next, you can rely on the above analysis points to make orders. For the pressure range above, you can go to the post I linked. It is still valid based on the 4-hour analysis!

#美联储降息周期

$DOGE How was yesterday's short-term contract analysis of Dogecoin?

Both bulls and bears benefited! Both long and short positions have been achieved! Friends following Brother Shi can easily make three to four times, right?

Don't say you missed out again? Didn't you miss out on the analysis of Pepe before? Didn't you also miss out on People?

#美联储降息周期

How about MEW taking a short position? The highest sprint reached 0.010515, and it has now fallen to 0.009973. It is not a problem to take three times!
It is still exciting to copycat, and the big cake Ethereum can't eat much if it hesitates!

#美联储降息周期