📈 Three things that could affect the cryptocurrency market this week!

The massive employment data released by the United States last week also failed to prevent the decline of the stock market and the cryptocurrency market, which was in line with the previous expectations of poor market performance for the month.

🌐So, back to the three major events this week that may affect the cryptocurrency investment market, let's take a look!

1️⃣ Inflation data released: The last batch of inflation data will be released before the Federal Reserve decides on interest rates. This is a major event that the market is closely watching because it is directly related to everyone's wallet.

2️⃣ Consumer Price Index (CPI): On Wednesday, we will see the CPI report for August. This data tells us about the price trend of the economy and will also affect everyone's shopping habits.

3️⃣ Producer Price Index (PPI) & Unemployment Claims: On Thursday, there will be not only the PPI report, but also unemployment claim data. These are barometers of economic health and will also affect the Fed's decision.

🔍 And the entire cryptocurrency market is speculating whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its September meeting. Meanwhile, the CPI report could play a key role in this speculation.

🤔 Therefore, if the CPI data is worse than expected, it may increase the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut at the FOMC meeting, which may be good news for the cryptocurrency market.

🌍 In short, although the entire US stock and crypto market was a bit miserable last week, investors are expecting a turnaround this week. At the same time, the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum have experienced some fluctuations, but no obvious downward pressure has been seen yet.

💬 What do you think of the market trend this week? How will these economic data affect your investment decisions? Leave your views in the comment section!

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CME Fed Watch data shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 96.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 3.8%.

#美联储利率 $BTC

There isn’t much to say. The focus is still on the content of Powell’s meeting. The market predicts that Powell will be hawkish. This involves an interpretation issue. If the market wants to interpret his remarks as hawkish, he will be hawkish anyway! More often than not, Powell is willing to practice Tai Chi.
There is one key point in the content of this meeting that requires attention: whether it will be discussed and hinted at the imminent slowdown of QT. After all, only by slowing down QT can we move towards QE!
Powell's hawkish words are expected to prompt market approval for fewer rate cuts.
The problem with interest rates is to maintain them at a high level and not cause a big shock. If they blow up, then I will blow up too!
Oh, and GBTC is sold on a grayscale basis. If they don’t sell it, it seems that they can’t beat their friends. When this ETF was approved, there seemed to be questions about what GBTC would be replaced by. I forgot about it, so this is within expectations. To put it bluntly, it’s visual risk! #美联储利率 #美联储利率决议

March 21, 30 days after halving, new strategy "Morning News" to understand the currency circle in 60 seconds every day

1. It is expected that there are still 30 days until the Bitcoin “halving”. The popularity of the Bitcoin halving keyword hit a record high on Google searches in mid-February.
2. Affected by the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting, Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply, with Bitcoin quoted above $67,000, an increase of more than 10%.
3. The TON Foundation will issue 30 million TON within one month for ecological incentives
4. Gold breaks through 2,200 US dollars per ounce, setting another record high
5. Grayscale ETHE’s negative premium rate quickly rebounded to 20%, the lowest level since November 2023
6. Decentralized AI ecological project Zero1 Labs has raised US$10.78 million through LBP
7. Aptos ecological DEX Aries Markets TVL exceeds 150 million US dollars
8. Aptos ecological wallet Pontem is launched in Huawei official App store
9. ETHFI rose above $3.7, with a 24-hour increase of 20%
10. Robinhood launches Android version of crypto wallet, currently in testing phase
11. Grayscale transferred 1473.3 BTC to the Coinbase Prime address 17 minutes ago, and transferred another 2287.6 BTC to the new address.
12. Solana ecological MEME project BIBO token will be launched on Bitget at 22:00 today, launching an airdrop plan to the community
13. The Federal Reserve is about to announce its interest rate decision and summary of economic expectations
14. Fed keeps interest rates unchanged
15. The median expected federal funds rate at the end of 2024 is 4.6%
16. The Fed’s dot plot maintains expectations of three cumulative interest rate cuts this year.
17. Powell: It would be appropriate to start easing monetary policy at some point this year
18. U.S. stocks rose collectively
19. Grayscale GBTC had a net outflow of US$386 million yesterday
20. Coinbase plans to launch futures trading for DOGE, LTC and BCH on April 1

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🔥The probability of 39% is not low. I have said it many times before that when the market is released, the violent bull market will begin!

100X community news:
CME data shows the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in March is 39%

On February 2, according to CME Fed Watch: The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 61%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 39%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged through May is 27.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 51%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 21.3%.

#CME #美联储 #美联储会议 #美联储利率 $BTC $SOL #ETH

$BTC
#美联储利率
Brother is about to announce the bitmap. If the number of times is changed from 3 times to 2 times, it will be over. The pie will probably need to be stabbed down again.

😈No need to cut interest rates, BTC can’t rise, wait until next time to cut interest rates

100X community news:
Former Fed "big hawk" Bullard: Cutting interest rates in March is wise

On February 19, former St. Louis Fed President Bullard recently said that he believes the Fed should cut interest rates at its next meeting (March) to pre-emptively prevent its policy stance from overly suppressing economic activity later this year. Two years ago, Bullard was a leading advocate of rapid interest rate hikes, and as recently as last summer he warned that further hikes were necessary. But now he says a rate cut makes sense now that inflation has fallen below 3% and is heading toward its 2% target, based on the Fed's preferred metric. "I think they should act," he said after speaking at a conference of the National Association for Business Economics in Washington. "It may be wiser to act earlier but slower."
#美联储利率 #美联储降息 #美联储利率决议 $BTC

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 100%#美联储利率

Key Events & Indicators This Week
December 19
US Decision (Cap) #美联储利率 until December 18 (03:00)
UK Decision until December 19 #央行利率 (20:00)
US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending December 14 (10,000) (21:30)
US Q3 Real GDP Annualized Quarter Rate Final (21:30)
US Q3 Core PCE Price Index Annualized Quarter Rate Final (21:30)
Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision Announcement
December 20
US November Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year (21:30)
US December University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final (23:00)

A brief follow-up of Powell's speech: Powell's speech this time was dovish. While emphasizing the rebound in inflation data in January and February, he also emphasized that this will not affect the overall situation. The general meaning is that although the data has rebounded, the overall target It is proceeding as planned, and the overall anti-inflation effect has not been affected by the rebound in inflation data in January and February!
This meeting also met one of my previous expectations, which is to discuss QT. This is a very important event. If QT does not stop, QE will not come. If QT has no intention of slowing down, then QE will be even further away. Powell said that it would be appropriate to slow down the balance sheet reduction and reissue in the near future, which will be a big encouragement to the U.S. stock market!
Combined with the unexpected rise in the unemployment rate last time, today’s Powell’s speech is not much different from expectations!
However, the biggest upset today was that the Bank of Japan gave a signal that it expected to raise interest rates next time. This directly caused the dollar to plummet against the yen, suppressing the U.S. dollar index. The Bank of Japan was preparing to cut interest rates while Powell was signaling doves. If this signal is given at this stage, it cannot be ruled out that it will cause funds to withdraw from the US dollar index and turn to the Japanese yen!
In addition to paying attention to the Fed's policy in the follow-up macro aspect, it seems that a narrative of the Bank of Japan's policy will also be added.
It’s not that interesting tonight. Before the meeting, I notified the technical side and gave a bullish signal in the group, which also captured a band! So today's meeting tracking is completely routine work. Good night and sleep! $BTC #日本加息 #美联储利率