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美国大选后叙事观察
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Crypto_李唯刚
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Bearish
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Bullish
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Now there is a phenomenon where everything seems very cheap Even with USDT, there is no courage, completely afraid to invest in altcoins The coins listed by the three major exchanges in October have dropped between 25% and 80%, and there is no sign of wealth effect in the secondary market. No matter where you sell from, you will be cut by the market This phenomenon has reached its peak. Either the low-quality coins will continue the wealth effect, overtaking the market in a bend (many low-quality coins' backers may not be low-quality, there are many hidden large capitals, just not disclosed) Or the exchanges will unite with VCs to explode the secondary market, making those who hold on tear up with emotion, attracting funds to flow back in and set sail We have been calling for a bull market for a year, but looking closely, there is not even a hint of a bull market; at best, it can be called a fluctuating initial bull A real bull market, one can only know after experiencing it. To flatten the current K-line, all that can be seen ahead is a wavy line #美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美国大选后叙事观察
Now there is a phenomenon where everything seems very cheap

Even with USDT, there is no courage, completely afraid to invest in altcoins

The coins listed by the three major exchanges in October have dropped between 25% and 80%, and there is no sign of wealth effect in the secondary market. No matter where you sell from, you will be cut by the market

This phenomenon has reached its peak. Either the low-quality coins will continue the wealth effect, overtaking the market in a bend (many low-quality coins' backers may not be low-quality, there are many hidden large capitals, just not disclosed)

Or the exchanges will unite with VCs to explode the secondary market, making those who hold on tear up with emotion, attracting funds to flow back in and set sail

We have been calling for a bull market for a year, but looking closely, there is not even a hint of a bull market; at best, it can be called a fluctuating initial bull

A real bull market, one can only know after experiencing it. To flatten the current K-line, all that can be seen ahead is a wavy line

#美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美国大选后叙事观察
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The cryptocurrency market goes through a cycle every four years, divided into five stages: First Stage: Market Hits Bottom and Bounces Back (August this year hit 48000) BTC finally starts to rise continuously when retail investors expect it to drop lower, excellent leading altcoins multiply, and hot money quickly switches narratives. Second Stage: Market Grows Amid Doubt (Current) BTC finally breaks through the consolidation area, the bears are continuously washed out, low market cap and low liquidity altcoins are quickly lifted, on-chain transactions show many profit opportunities, projects with strong fundamentals are favored (sui hits new highs). Third Stage: Market Starts FOMO (Weeks to Months Later) BTC breaks the psychological market price level of 73000, altcoins see a slowdown or even a pullback, BTC continues to break past previous highs at an unexpectedly rapid pace. Then funds flow back into altcoins, leading to a surge in many altcoins. The market is extremely optimistic about certain leading projects with strong narratives, projects with excellent token designs, powerful flywheel effects, and skyrocketing on-chain data see the most exaggerated gains. Fourth Stage: Market Peak Period (Sometime in 2025) Even the vegetable vendors are recommending cryptocurrencies to you, everyone is crazily discussing the great opportunities in the crypto space, and a large amount of money starts flowing into simple MEME projects and extremely marketed low-quality projects. Cherish this stage, which lasts very briefly; it is also the best time to sell your altcoins. Fifth Stage: Market Crash Wealth is once again transferred, and blockchain is deemed a scam! Click on the avatar to follow me, I share bull market strategy layouts for free, various contract spot references, become my fan, and I will guide you to safety; you just need to relax. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察 $BTC $BNB $SOL {future}(BTCUSDT)
The cryptocurrency market goes through a cycle every four years, divided into five stages:

First Stage: Market Hits Bottom and Bounces Back (August this year hit 48000) BTC finally starts to rise continuously when retail investors expect it to drop lower, excellent leading altcoins multiply, and hot money quickly switches narratives.

Second Stage: Market Grows Amid Doubt (Current) BTC finally breaks through the consolidation area, the bears are continuously washed out, low market cap and low liquidity altcoins are quickly lifted, on-chain transactions show many profit opportunities, projects with strong fundamentals are favored (sui hits new highs).

Third Stage: Market Starts FOMO (Weeks to Months Later) BTC breaks the psychological market price level of 73000, altcoins see a slowdown or even a pullback, BTC continues to break past previous highs at an unexpectedly rapid pace. Then funds flow back into altcoins, leading to a surge in many altcoins. The market is extremely optimistic about certain leading projects with strong narratives, projects with excellent token designs, powerful flywheel effects, and skyrocketing on-chain data see the most exaggerated gains.

Fourth Stage: Market Peak Period (Sometime in 2025) Even the vegetable vendors are recommending cryptocurrencies to you, everyone is crazily discussing the great opportunities in the crypto space, and a large amount of money starts flowing into simple MEME projects and extremely marketed low-quality projects. Cherish this stage, which lasts very briefly; it is also the best time to sell your altcoins.

Fifth Stage: Market Crash Wealth is once again transferred, and blockchain is deemed a scam!

Click on the avatar to follow me, I share bull market strategy layouts for free, various contract spot references, become my fan, and I will guide you to safety; you just need to relax.
#美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察 $BTC $BNB $SOL
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【Pennsylvania Exit Poll: Trump Positive Rating at 47%, Harris at 46%】Polling organization Edison Research indicates that preliminary results from Pennsylvania's exit poll show: 83% of voters are White, compared to 81% in the 2020 exit poll; 9% are Black, down from 11% in 2020; 5% are Hispanic, consistent with 5% in 2020. 47% of voters have a positive view of Trump, which is unchanged from the 47% in the 2020 exit poll. 46% of voters have a positive view of Harris, while the positive view of Biden in the 2020 exit poll was 50%. #美国大选后叙事观察
【Pennsylvania Exit Poll: Trump Positive Rating at 47%, Harris at 46%】Polling organization Edison Research indicates that preliminary results from Pennsylvania's exit poll show: 83% of voters are White, compared to 81% in the 2020 exit poll; 9% are Black, down from 11% in 2020; 5% are Hispanic, consistent with 5% in 2020. 47% of voters have a positive view of Trump, which is unchanged from the 47% in the 2020 exit poll. 46% of voters have a positive view of Harris, while the positive view of Biden in the 2020 exit poll was 50%. #美国大选后叙事观察
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Midday Thoughts: From the 4-hour structure chart, the candlestick shows a continuous downward trend. After the price broke through 67000, it quickly recovered and formed a doji with a long lower shadow, which has signaled a potential stop to the decline. Midday Strategy Suggestion: For Bitcoin (BTC), when the price retraces to the 67300 - 66000 range, a long position can be taken, with a target price in the 69200 - 70000 area; (set a stop loss of 500 points) For Ethereum (ETH), when the price retraces to the 2390 - 2360 range, a long position can be taken, with a target price in the 2445 - 2465 range; (set a stop loss of 35 points) Crypto insights, click on my homepage to follow me for potential hundredfold bull market coins deployment, as well as daily spot strategy.
Midday Thoughts:
From the 4-hour structure chart, the candlestick shows a continuous downward trend. After the price broke through 67000, it quickly recovered and formed a doji with a long lower shadow, which has signaled a potential stop to the decline.

Midday Strategy Suggestion:
For Bitcoin (BTC), when the price retraces to the 67300 - 66000 range, a long position can be taken, with a target price in the 69200 - 70000 area; (set a stop loss of 500 points)
For Ethereum (ETH), when the price retraces to the 2390 - 2360 range, a long position can be taken, with a target price in the 2445 - 2465 range; (set a stop loss of 35 points)

Crypto insights, click on my homepage to follow me for potential hundredfold bull market coins deployment, as well as daily spot strategy.
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#美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美国大选后叙事观察 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 【Weile Evening Report】 The Duokong War is about to come, and whether Bitcoin can break through $100,000 is highly anticipated. With the US election approaching, market uncertainty has increased significantly, and panic sentiment is spreading. Short sellers are taking this opportunity to drive down prices using news, and Bitcoin's price has dropped under the influence of market sentiment. The whole world is paying attention to the results of the US election, while the influence of other macro events has weakened. Looking back at history, Bitcoin has adjusted before previous US elections. Regardless of whether Trump or Harris is elected, it will affect the cryptocurrency market, but the momentum of this bull market mainly stems from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, an increase in M2 money supply, and strong demand for Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin is overall showing a trend of fluctuating upward, and it is expected to reach a new high by the end of this month at the earliest, or by the beginning of next month at the latest. Funds will rotate between sectors and eventually return to the mainstream, with strong sectors continuously reaching new highs throughout the cycle, while weak sectors will accumulate amid fluctuations before finally exploding. In this era of information explosion, there is an abundance of news, and investors can easily be distracted. However, do not let these messages disrupt your investment plans and strategies; the key now is to see if you have positions, which is crucial for investment returns.
#美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美国大选后叙事观察 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
【Weile Evening Report】

The Duokong War is about to come, and whether Bitcoin can break through $100,000 is highly anticipated. With the US election approaching, market uncertainty has increased significantly, and panic sentiment is spreading. Short sellers are taking this opportunity to drive down prices using news, and Bitcoin's price has dropped under the influence of market sentiment.

The whole world is paying attention to the results of the US election, while the influence of other macro events has weakened. Looking back at history, Bitcoin has adjusted before previous US elections. Regardless of whether Trump or Harris is elected, it will affect the cryptocurrency market, but the momentum of this bull market mainly stems from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, an increase in M2 money supply, and strong demand for Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin is overall showing a trend of fluctuating upward, and it is expected to reach a new high by the end of this month at the earliest, or by the beginning of next month at the latest. Funds will rotate between sectors and eventually return to the mainstream, with strong sectors continuously reaching new highs throughout the cycle, while weak sectors will accumulate amid fluctuations before finally exploding.

In this era of information explosion, there is an abundance of news, and investors can easily be distracted. However, do not let these messages disrupt your investment plans and strategies; the key now is to see if you have positions, which is crucial for investment returns.
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#美国大选后叙事观察 The process of the U.S. presidential election is as follows: Voting Day is November 5, 2024; From November 6 to December 11, each state certifies the election results; December 17: The Electoral College meets to cast official votes; January 6, 2025: The U.S. Congress convenes to count and certify the electoral votes; January 20, 2025: The elected President of the United States is officially sworn in. In general, on the night of the election, the Associated Press will report who is expected to become president based on its intelligence system, and because the Associated Press has a 100% reporting rate for newly elected presidents in the past, countries will congratulate the new president of the United States in advance based on the Associated Press's report $BTC
#美国大选后叙事观察

The process of the U.S. presidential election is as follows:
Voting Day is November 5, 2024;
From November 6 to December 11, each state certifies the election results;
December 17: The Electoral College meets to cast official votes;
January 6, 2025: The U.S. Congress convenes to count and certify the electoral votes;
January 20, 2025: The elected President of the United States is officially sworn in.

In general, on the night of the election, the Associated Press will report who is expected to become president based on its intelligence system, and because the Associated Press has a 100% reporting rate for newly elected presidents in the past, countries will congratulate the new president of the United States in advance based on the Associated Press's report $BTC
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Earnings forever? Where is there so much everlasting profit❗ If you incur losses, you start over; short-term profits are large, but the risks are high. In principle, short-term trading is not as good as following stable trends! $BTC $ETH The potential profit space for Bitcoin has already been given, with a short position plan at the current price of 70200, the lowest retracement to the 69200 area, recovering losses beyond expectations, a full 1000 points of profit! There are gains and losses, and indeed the difficulty of short-term operations is high. As long as you set a good stop-loss, there shouldn't be too many problems; you can't let temporary losses break your psychological defenses! #美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美国大选后叙事观察 #BTC突破7W #美联储利率决议来袭
Earnings forever? Where is there so much everlasting profit❗
If you incur losses, you start over; short-term profits are large, but the risks are high. In principle, short-term trading is not as good as following stable trends!
$BTC $ETH
The potential profit space for Bitcoin has already been given, with a short position plan at the current price of 70200, the lowest retracement to the 69200 area, recovering losses beyond expectations, a full 1000 points of profit!

There are gains and losses, and indeed the difficulty of short-term operations is high. As long as you set a good stop-loss, there shouldn't be too many problems; you can't let temporary losses break your psychological defenses!
#美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美国大选后叙事观察 #BTC突破7W #美联储利率决议来袭
Crypto_刘宗毅
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Trend Judgement Error
Short selling plan has been damaged, it’s important to stand firm while also treating the market rationally. 700 points is not too much, and it can easily be gamed back in the short term!
$BTC $ETH
Currently, Bitcoin is hovering around the 70000 mark. Even if there is some space above, it will not be large. The reversal of a thousand points sets the stage for a short selling path. During the session, we will follow up with a secondary short selling plan, short at the current price of 70200, initially looking for a thousand point pullback to recover the losses!
#美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美联储利率决议来袭 #ETHBTC汇率新低
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Bullish
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Crypto Circle Yuelin 11.5 Tuesday, Bitcoin, Ethereum Afternoon Strategy! Hello, friends in the crypto circle, good afternoon! I am your lucky goddess Yuelin. The bullish outlook provided this morning has been running as expected. There is already a space of 1200 points available. After the market hit the bottom at the low line of 66810, it began to rebound and recover. Throughout the day, the market has been showing an upward warming trend. The price of Bitcoin hit a low of 68785 at its lowest point today. In terms of Ethereum, after a morning low retracement to the low line of 2356, it quickly rebounded and recovered. The daily trend is also showing an upward trend similar to Bitcoin. Currently, Bitcoin's price is around 68700. Ethereum is around 2430. On the four-hour level, the price has tested up and down before consolidating and narrowing the range, with the running channel narrowing. After a phase of consolidation, a rebound is observed, with bullish volume showing an increasing pattern. The moving averages are consistently rising, and the short cycles are recovering significantly, indicating stronger warming signs ahead. On the daily level, the running channel is in a narrowing state, but the price's retracement strength is weak. The bullish volume continues to release, and although there is a phase of substantial volume consolidation, there are no signs of decreased volume. The moving averages are winding and consolidating, driving the short cycle's fluctuating tug-of-war, but there’s no room for downward adjustment. The retracement is just to further accumulate strength for recovery. Throughout the day, we will stick to the main idea of going long on retracements. Tuesday Afternoon Operation Strategy: BTC: 68400-68600, target 70000 ETH: 2400-2420, target 2480 Of course, technical indicators are just references. If you have no direction, remember to pay attention to Yuelin, follow my lead, and act accordingly. Yuelin may not guarantee you a hundred victories, but she can certainly help you avoid losses and take fewer detours! #美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美联储利率决议来袭 #美国大选后叙事观察 #英国养老金计划配置BTC $BTC $ETH $BNB
Crypto Circle Yuelin 11.5 Tuesday, Bitcoin, Ethereum Afternoon Strategy!

Hello, friends in the crypto circle, good afternoon! I am your lucky goddess Yuelin. The bullish outlook provided this morning has been running as expected. There is already a space of 1200 points available. After the market hit the bottom at the low line of 66810, it began to rebound and recover. Throughout the day, the market has been showing an upward warming trend. The price of Bitcoin hit a low of 68785 at its lowest point today. In terms of Ethereum, after a morning low retracement to the low line of 2356, it quickly rebounded and recovered. The daily trend is also showing an upward trend similar to Bitcoin. Currently, Bitcoin's price is around 68700. Ethereum is around 2430.

On the four-hour level, the price has tested up and down before consolidating and narrowing the range, with the running channel narrowing. After a phase of consolidation, a rebound is observed, with bullish volume showing an increasing pattern. The moving averages are consistently rising, and the short cycles are recovering significantly, indicating stronger warming signs ahead. On the daily level, the running channel is in a narrowing state, but the price's retracement strength is weak. The bullish volume continues to release, and although there is a phase of substantial volume consolidation, there are no signs of decreased volume. The moving averages are winding and consolidating, driving the short cycle's fluctuating tug-of-war, but there’s no room for downward adjustment. The retracement is just to further accumulate strength for recovery. Throughout the day, we will stick to the main idea of going long on retracements.

Tuesday Afternoon Operation Strategy:
BTC: 68400-68600, target 70000
ETH: 2400-2420, target 2480

Of course, technical indicators are just references. If you have no direction, remember to pay attention to Yuelin, follow my lead, and act accordingly. Yuelin may not guarantee you a hundred victories, but she can certainly help you avoid losses and take fewer detours!

#美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美联储利率决议来袭 #美国大选后叙事观察 #英国养老金计划配置BTC $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Bullish
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I dare bet none of you can do it! I’m just saying, how many of you can actually do it? A new brother who joined yesterday! 7000 oil capital, challenging 100,000 oil, recording the first day. Bitcoin at 67,532, sold at 68,722, securing 1,190 points, pocketing 5,610 oil! For those who haven't boarded yet, speed up, don’t miss the opportunity, lest you regret being left at the station at a critical moment. Are there any hidden classmates still out there, eager to explore the sea of wisdom alongside He Yang? #美国大选后涨或跌? #11月市场预测 #美联储利率决议来袭 #美国大选后叙事观察 #美国选情僵持 $BTC $ETH
I dare bet none of you can do it! I’m just saying, how many of you can actually do it?

A new brother who joined yesterday! 7000 oil capital, challenging 100,000 oil, recording the first day.

Bitcoin at 67,532, sold at 68,722, securing 1,190 points, pocketing 5,610 oil!

For those who haven't boarded yet, speed up, don’t miss the opportunity, lest you regret being left at the station at a critical moment. Are there any hidden classmates still out there, eager to explore the sea of wisdom alongside He Yang? #美国大选后涨或跌? #11月市场预测 #美联储利率决议来袭 #美国大选后叙事观察 #美国选情僵持 $BTC $ETH
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