经济政策
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Those who want to buy a house in China can wait another 2-3 years!
Recently, a well-known domestic law firm issued a warning for the bedside industry:
There are currently about 130,000 venture capital projects in China, which have absorbed a total of 8.6 trillion yuan in funds. Due to the blockage of various channels such as listing, most of the funds cannot be withdrawn normally.
Therefore, some venture capital institutions sued the companies and founders they invested in, and the founders became deadbeats.
The bosses and employees of these startups are the vast grassroots consumers in China and the main group of home buyers.
If these people become deadbeats or lose their jobs, who will buy the houses?
In the 2007 subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, it took 6 years for housing prices to bottom out, a drop of 36%;
In 1990, the Japanese housing bubble burst, and it fell for 30 years, a drop of 41%.
At present, except for Shenzhen, the general decline is about 32%, and the decline in first-tier cities such as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou is less than 30%; so the downward trend of domestic housing prices will continue for at least 2-3 years.
#房地产数据 #经济政策
Recently, a well-known domestic law firm issued a warning for the bedside industry:
There are currently about 130,000 venture capital projects in China, which have absorbed a total of 8.6 trillion yuan in funds. Due to the blockage of various channels such as listing, most of the funds cannot be withdrawn normally.
Therefore, some venture capital institutions sued the companies and founders they invested in, and the founders became deadbeats.
The bosses and employees of these startups are the vast grassroots consumers in China and the main group of home buyers.
If these people become deadbeats or lose their jobs, who will buy the houses?
In the 2007 subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, it took 6 years for housing prices to bottom out, a drop of 36%;
In 1990, the Japanese housing bubble burst, and it fell for 30 years, a drop of 41%.
At present, except for Shenzhen, the general decline is about 32%, and the decline in first-tier cities such as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou is less than 30%; so the downward trend of domestic housing prices will continue for at least 2-3 years.
#房地产数据 #经济政策
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🚨 "Wall Street Short God" issues a warning: If Harris is elected, I will withdraw my investment!
John Alfred Paulson, a Wall Street legend and billionaire, recently issued a heavy warning! He said that if Vice President Harris wins this year's election, he will withdraw his investment from the market.
The hedge fund tycoon, who once became famous for his successful short selling during the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, expressed concerns about Harris' economic policies.
Paulson, the financial tycoon who founded Paulson & Co., is known as the "Wall Street Short God" for his outstanding performance during the financial crisis. He is not only Trump's financial backer, but there are rumors that Paulson may become Treasury Secretary if Trump is re-elected.
In a recent interview, Paulson talked about his outlook for the future of the market. He said that the next big bet depends largely on who will enter the White House and control Congress. He specifically mentioned that he would be very worried if Harris implemented her proposed tax and economic plans.
Paulson explained his concerns in detail: Harris proposed raising corporate tax rates, increasing capital gains tax rates, and even imposing a 25% unrealized capital gains tax on high earners. He predicted that these policies, if implemented, could lead to a market crash and recession.
Paulson added that if Harris is elected, he plans to divest and switch to cash and gold to avoid market uncertainty and potential downside risks caused by his policies, and he will also sell his own stocks.
This is not the first time Paulson has issued such a warning. Last week, he said that Harris's tax plan could cause a financial market crash.
🗣 Conclusion:
Paulson's remarks reveal investors' high sensitivity to policy uncertainty. This is not only a test of market stability, but also a challenge for policymakers.
Therefore, when formulating economic policies, those in power must consider the delicate balance of policy decisions and how these policies can have far-reaching chain reactions in global financial markets.
💬 What do you think of Paulson's warning of possible divestment? Do you think Harris' economic policies will really lead to a market crash?Share your thoughts in the comments!
#市场信心 #经济政策 #投资者策略
John Alfred Paulson, a Wall Street legend and billionaire, recently issued a heavy warning! He said that if Vice President Harris wins this year's election, he will withdraw his investment from the market.
The hedge fund tycoon, who once became famous for his successful short selling during the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, expressed concerns about Harris' economic policies.
Paulson, the financial tycoon who founded Paulson & Co., is known as the "Wall Street Short God" for his outstanding performance during the financial crisis. He is not only Trump's financial backer, but there are rumors that Paulson may become Treasury Secretary if Trump is re-elected.
In a recent interview, Paulson talked about his outlook for the future of the market. He said that the next big bet depends largely on who will enter the White House and control Congress. He specifically mentioned that he would be very worried if Harris implemented her proposed tax and economic plans.
Paulson explained his concerns in detail: Harris proposed raising corporate tax rates, increasing capital gains tax rates, and even imposing a 25% unrealized capital gains tax on high earners. He predicted that these policies, if implemented, could lead to a market crash and recession.
Paulson added that if Harris is elected, he plans to divest and switch to cash and gold to avoid market uncertainty and potential downside risks caused by his policies, and he will also sell his own stocks.
This is not the first time Paulson has issued such a warning. Last week, he said that Harris's tax plan could cause a financial market crash.
🗣 Conclusion:
Paulson's remarks reveal investors' high sensitivity to policy uncertainty. This is not only a test of market stability, but also a challenge for policymakers.
Therefore, when formulating economic policies, those in power must consider the delicate balance of policy decisions and how these policies can have far-reaching chain reactions in global financial markets.
💬 What do you think of Paulson's warning of possible divestment? Do you think Harris' economic policies will really lead to a market crash?Share your thoughts in the comments!
#市场信心 #经济政策 #投资者策略
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Hello everyone! Today, we are going to talk about a seemingly complex topic, but in fact it is closely related to each of us - the policy shift of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
📅 Going back to March 2022, we witnessed the Fed embarking on an unprecedented aggressive monetary tightening cycle. But now, things seem to be changing dramatically. The latest news shows that the Fed has begun to suspend interest rate increases and maintains the federal base interest rate between 5.25% and 5.50%. What does this shift mean?
First, it means that consumer confidence in our economy is beginning to shine again, and the pace of future interest rate cuts is becoming clearer. According to Bloomberg, Wall Street economists’ bold forecasts for the U.S. economy show that although not optimistic, the Fed’s positive signals will digest the previous negative impact in the short term.
🌍 Faced with challenges such as the Sino-US trade war and high deficits, economists believe that compared with the 2020 epidemic and the global financial turmoil at the beginning of the century, this economic downturn will be moderated. Goldman Sachs is even more radical, arguing that the main risk we face now is a reacceleration of economic activity, not a recession. $BTC
🎯 In the FOMC decision in December, the Fed took a critical step by admitting the mistakes they made and suspending the implementation of interest rate increases. This indicates that the global situation may usher in a clear trend of interest rate cuts in 2024. As the policies of the world's leading economies return to stability, we have reason to believe that the global economy will maintain stable growth in the next few years.
So, friends, despite the macroeconomic challenges, we don’t need to worry too much. As Fed Chairman Powell said, interest rates will be cut three times next year, each time by 25 basis points. This move is expected to arouse widespread optimism in the market. $SOL
Let us look forward to a new starting point for the global economy and welcome a more stable development future!
Several aspects are already so optimistic, so does it mean that Bitcoin will not rise high next year?
If you think what I said is right, please follow me and let us predict the bull market next year.
#美联储降息 $INJ
#经济政策
#全球经济 #金融市场 #货币政策紧缩
📅 Going back to March 2022, we witnessed the Fed embarking on an unprecedented aggressive monetary tightening cycle. But now, things seem to be changing dramatically. The latest news shows that the Fed has begun to suspend interest rate increases and maintains the federal base interest rate between 5.25% and 5.50%. What does this shift mean?
First, it means that consumer confidence in our economy is beginning to shine again, and the pace of future interest rate cuts is becoming clearer. According to Bloomberg, Wall Street economists’ bold forecasts for the U.S. economy show that although not optimistic, the Fed’s positive signals will digest the previous negative impact in the short term.
🌍 Faced with challenges such as the Sino-US trade war and high deficits, economists believe that compared with the 2020 epidemic and the global financial turmoil at the beginning of the century, this economic downturn will be moderated. Goldman Sachs is even more radical, arguing that the main risk we face now is a reacceleration of economic activity, not a recession. $BTC
🎯 In the FOMC decision in December, the Fed took a critical step by admitting the mistakes they made and suspending the implementation of interest rate increases. This indicates that the global situation may usher in a clear trend of interest rate cuts in 2024. As the policies of the world's leading economies return to stability, we have reason to believe that the global economy will maintain stable growth in the next few years.
So, friends, despite the macroeconomic challenges, we don’t need to worry too much. As Fed Chairman Powell said, interest rates will be cut three times next year, each time by 25 basis points. This move is expected to arouse widespread optimism in the market. $SOL
Let us look forward to a new starting point for the global economy and welcome a more stable development future!
Several aspects are already so optimistic, so does it mean that Bitcoin will not rise high next year?
If you think what I said is right, please follow me and let us predict the bull market next year.
#美联储降息 $INJ
#经济政策
#全球经济 #金融市场 #货币政策紧缩