投資皆有風險
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My trading will be based on asset allocation with spot trading and long-term investment, and the investment portfolio can be viewed as a cryptocurrency fund or a currency storage solution.
The trading system is mainly divided into two parts: asset allocation and rebalancing. On the basis of long-term investment, profits can be earned through rebalancing from market fluctuations and sector rotation.
1. Asset allocation, for example, 20 cryptocurrencies, covering various tracks as much as possible, with a brief description of the cryptocurrencies and allocation ratios as follows:
BTC (20%): King of cryptocurrencies
ETH (15%): King of public chains
SOL (3%): L1 public chain, experiencing explosive ecological development
SUI (2%): High-performance L1 public chain, constructed with MOVE language
MATIC (3%): Well-established project, developing ZK series L2 solutions
ARB (2%): Leading OP series L2 project, various on-chain applications thriving
AAVE (3%): DeFi lending leader
LINK (3%): Leading oracle, CCIP involved in SWIFT cross-border transfers and cross-chain fields
UNI (2%): Leading DEX
JOE (2%): Avalanche DEX leader
CAKE (2%): BSC DEX leader
PENDLE (3%): Interest rate trading market, dual benefits from RWA and LRT tracks
ETHFI (2%): Currently the only LRT project issuing tokens
ONDO (3%): RWA leader, project backed by Goldman Sachs and invested by BlackRock
TAO (3%): AI leader
RNDR (3%): Decentralized GPU network, multiple concepts including AI, DEPIN, GameFi, and Metaverse
TIA (2%): Modular blockchain leader
ATOM (2%): L0 leader, thriving ecological development, many projects are built using COSMOS SDK
IMX (2%): ZK-L2 specifically designed for NFTs and GameFi
STX (2%): Leading L2 in the Bitcoin ecosystem
The above totals 80%, with the remaining 20% in USDT serving as a buffer and for buying more in case of a downturn.
Of course, you can also choose just a few mainstream coins, as the risks vary.
2. Continuous rebalancing
When the price fluctuations cause the proportion of cryptocurrencies to deviate from the originally set ratio, a technical analysis (mainly using the Volume Weighted Moving Average, VWMA) will be referenced. When the moving average breaks and turns, rebalancing can be conducted to bring the fund allocation back to the set values.
We will periodically re-screen cryptocurrencies, adopting an in-and-out approach like an ETF; when a new coin is included, an old coin will be replaced, allowing the investment portfolio to retain the strong and eliminate the weak.
#投資皆有風險
The trading system is mainly divided into two parts: asset allocation and rebalancing. On the basis of long-term investment, profits can be earned through rebalancing from market fluctuations and sector rotation.
1. Asset allocation, for example, 20 cryptocurrencies, covering various tracks as much as possible, with a brief description of the cryptocurrencies and allocation ratios as follows:
BTC (20%): King of cryptocurrencies
ETH (15%): King of public chains
SOL (3%): L1 public chain, experiencing explosive ecological development
SUI (2%): High-performance L1 public chain, constructed with MOVE language
MATIC (3%): Well-established project, developing ZK series L2 solutions
ARB (2%): Leading OP series L2 project, various on-chain applications thriving
AAVE (3%): DeFi lending leader
LINK (3%): Leading oracle, CCIP involved in SWIFT cross-border transfers and cross-chain fields
UNI (2%): Leading DEX
JOE (2%): Avalanche DEX leader
CAKE (2%): BSC DEX leader
PENDLE (3%): Interest rate trading market, dual benefits from RWA and LRT tracks
ETHFI (2%): Currently the only LRT project issuing tokens
ONDO (3%): RWA leader, project backed by Goldman Sachs and invested by BlackRock
TAO (3%): AI leader
RNDR (3%): Decentralized GPU network, multiple concepts including AI, DEPIN, GameFi, and Metaverse
TIA (2%): Modular blockchain leader
ATOM (2%): L0 leader, thriving ecological development, many projects are built using COSMOS SDK
IMX (2%): ZK-L2 specifically designed for NFTs and GameFi
STX (2%): Leading L2 in the Bitcoin ecosystem
The above totals 80%, with the remaining 20% in USDT serving as a buffer and for buying more in case of a downturn.
Of course, you can also choose just a few mainstream coins, as the risks vary.
2. Continuous rebalancing
When the price fluctuations cause the proportion of cryptocurrencies to deviate from the originally set ratio, a technical analysis (mainly using the Volume Weighted Moving Average, VWMA) will be referenced. When the moving average breaks and turns, rebalancing can be conducted to bring the fund allocation back to the set values.
We will periodically re-screen cryptocurrencies, adopting an in-and-out approach like an ETF; when a new coin is included, an old coin will be replaced, allowing the investment portfolio to retain the strong and eliminate the weak.
#投資皆有風險
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An investment strategy that works for everyone
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy that aims to hedge the impact of volatility on asset purchases. It does this by buying equal amounts of assets at regular intervals so that the investment is not affected by the volatility of a lump sum payment. This helps reduce the negative impact of poor timing on investments. While dollar-cost averaging is not a guarantee of successful investing, it is a convenient strategy for long-term investors. If you believe in Bitcoin, or you are an office worker who does not trade frequently, or you have a stable income and want to do some asset allocation, DCA is suitable for you. Remember to be cautious in investment decisions and don't forget to develop a selling plan to mitigate the risk of poor timing of selling.
Yi He
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Some summaries, not investment advice.
2017 was the ICO era, and public fundraising directly replaced VC and PE, so the bull market in 2017-2018 belonged to the OG platform and proxy investment. As long as you grab a share, you can make money.
In 2021, DeFi rose, and the actual market began to diversify and divert. As long as you run fast, you can make money.
At that time, IEO could also negotiate with the project party to release a part of the shares to users, so the general pricing was low when it went online, and buying new instead of old was also a typical feature of this period.
But now IEO is generally considered to have legal risks in most countries, so it can only be airdropped and market-priced, which means that if the circulation is large and the opening price is low, the project will perform relatively steadily, such as BB and Lista, but compared with 21 years, it is still too fast and lacks a sufficient wash process.
The rise in 2024 was initiated by BTC ETF. The smart money in this wave belongs to the king-level projects and Lumao Studio. They love each other and have created a wave of beautiful data together. On the one hand, the project parties can raise more money from VCs (if you observe the top VCs in the market, they are all over a billion US dollars, which will indeed push up the pricing of good projects), and on the other hand, the project parties with money and users are full of confidence. There are millions of users on the chain. It doesn’t matter if they don’t go on a certain platform. There are many CEXs to go on. If there is no CEX, there are still DEXs. At worst, there are Dexes on their own chains.
Trading platforms do not have pricing power, so for projects with high valuations, everyone should look at the fundamentals, not just the market value, but also the circulation.
Today, the market has indeed changed again. The fratricide between Lumao Studio and L2 projects has turned into a farce, and the Lumao era may be coming to an end. At present, there are more professional players in both the primary and secondary markets. They have various tools to hedge risks, but they have also expanded the market size. As an ordinary investor, the ICO in 2017, the IEO in 2021, the nesting dolls, and even the 2023 strategy of making money may not be suitable for today's market.
Is it a healthier market if there is a lack of VC investment and fewer project parties? In every cycle, there will be some projects that cross the bull and bear markets, and there are also countless king-level projects that fall on the road. Whether it is web2 or web3, there are very few successful startups, and projects that cross the gap and cross the cycle are even rarer.
Investment is risky, so be cautious when entering the market.
2017 was the ICO era, and public fundraising directly replaced VC and PE, so the bull market in 2017-2018 belonged to the OG platform and proxy investment. As long as you grab a share, you can make money.
In 2021, DeFi rose, and the actual market began to diversify and divert. As long as you run fast, you can make money.
At that time, IEO could also negotiate with the project party to release a part of the shares to users, so the general pricing was low when it went online, and buying new instead of old was also a typical feature of this period.
But now IEO is generally considered to have legal risks in most countries, so it can only be airdropped and market-priced, which means that if the circulation is large and the opening price is low, the project will perform relatively steadily, such as BB and Lista, but compared with 21 years, it is still too fast and lacks a sufficient wash process.
The rise in 2024 was initiated by BTC ETF. The smart money in this wave belongs to the king-level projects and Lumao Studio. They love each other and have created a wave of beautiful data together. On the one hand, the project parties can raise more money from VCs (if you observe the top VCs in the market, they are all over a billion US dollars, which will indeed push up the pricing of good projects), and on the other hand, the project parties with money and users are full of confidence. There are millions of users on the chain. It doesn’t matter if they don’t go on a certain platform. There are many CEXs to go on. If there is no CEX, there are still DEXs. At worst, there are Dexes on their own chains.
Trading platforms do not have pricing power, so for projects with high valuations, everyone should look at the fundamentals, not just the market value, but also the circulation.
Today, the market has indeed changed again. The fratricide between Lumao Studio and L2 projects has turned into a farce, and the Lumao era may be coming to an end. At present, there are more professional players in both the primary and secondary markets. They have various tools to hedge risks, but they have also expanded the market size. As an ordinary investor, the ICO in 2017, the IEO in 2021, the nesting dolls, and even the 2023 strategy of making money may not be suitable for today's market.
Is it a healthier market if there is a lack of VC investment and fewer project parties? In every cycle, there will be some projects that cross the bull and bear markets, and there are also countless king-level projects that fall on the road. Whether it is web2 or web3, there are very few successful startups, and projects that cross the gap and cross the cycle are even rarer.
Investment is risky, so be cautious when entering the market.