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张无忌wepoets
@wepoets
Juris Doctor || Web3 Poet || Crypto Options Trader || $RST Holder || Founder of Ice and Fire Island || DeBox Creator || Twitter（X）:@wepoets1107
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The decline has accelerated. Those who have options to protect themselves are only suffering a slight loss now.
Those who don’t have options to protect themselves may have already started to suffer serious injuries.
I wish everyone a safe Christmas🎄
Those who don’t have options to protect themselves may have already started to suffer serious injuries.
I wish everyone a safe Christmas🎄
See original
Just added the put bear spread of sol.
It is a bit dangerous to fall below the lower track. Don't gamble on luck.
Sol is the main currency that I lost money this year. It is too difficult to grasp.
For options, you still have to use big cakes and concubines. Other currencies have no bottom when they fall and no top when they rise, and the fluctuation is too large.
It is a bit dangerous to fall below the lower track. Don't gamble on luck.
Sol is the main currency that I lost money this year. It is too difficult to grasp.
For options, you still have to use big cakes and concubines. Other currencies have no bottom when they fall and no top when they rise, and the fluctuation is too large.
See original
Bitcoin and Ethereum retracement, the market follows down.
If Bitcoin cannot hold the middle support, it will continue to move towards the lower support. There is a high probability it will break the lower support.
Ethereum has already reached the lower support, let's see if it can hold.
The triple witching day combined with Christmas, indeed shows a mix of red and green.
However, there is still a bit of optimism for next year, as long as Grayscale finishes selling, Ethereum will have another opportunity.
Currently, the focus is on accumulating coins.
If you use options grid, hedging spot with contracts, and employing a wheel strategy, the losses from this wave are almost negligible.
So, it is still necessary to have some options for protection.
Wishing everyone happiness in bottom fishing.
If Bitcoin cannot hold the middle support, it will continue to move towards the lower support. There is a high probability it will break the lower support.
Ethereum has already reached the lower support, let's see if it can hold.
The triple witching day combined with Christmas, indeed shows a mix of red and green.
However, there is still a bit of optimism for next year, as long as Grayscale finishes selling, Ethereum will have another opportunity.
Currently, the focus is on accumulating coins.
If you use options grid, hedging spot with contracts, and employing a wheel strategy, the losses from this wave are almost negligible.
So, it is still necessary to have some options for protection.
Wishing everyone happiness in bottom fishing.
See original
Recommend two ratio strategies, at the end of January, a 1:3 ratio spread near one standard deviation. The win rate of the call ratio is higher, and the returns are also greater. The profit curve is for reference.
Strategy logic: Outside of one standard deviation, it is difficult to break through the far leg, thus the returns are all positive.
At the same time, the risk is smaller than that of a double sale and can be adjusted at any time. Huge wide fluctuations may bring excess returns.
Strategy logic: Outside of one standard deviation, it is difficult to break through the far leg, thus the returns are all positive.
At the same time, the risk is smaller than that of a double sale and can be adjusted at any time. Huge wide fluctuations may bring excess returns.
See original
The pause in interest rate cuts in 2025 is a sword of Damocles.
However, there is no need to worry too much; the ETH trend is still relatively optimistic, and the wide fluctuation pattern remains unchanged.
From the daily and weekly perspective, as long as it doesn't drop below 3600, there is still hope.
Let’s pray. Hope that outside funds continue to flow in.
However, there is no need to worry too much; the ETH trend is still relatively optimistic, and the wide fluctuation pattern remains unchanged.
From the daily and weekly perspective, as long as it doesn't drop below 3600, there is still hope.
Let’s pray. Hope that outside funds continue to flow in.
See original
Next year, the Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates twice and may still raise rates.
Powell's hawkish speech could potentially end the bull market early.
As a precaution, buy some puts for insurance.
Be cautious of continued pullbacks.
Powell's hawkish speech could potentially end the bull market early.
As a precaution, buy some puts for insurance.
Be cautious of continued pullbacks.
See original
When you are in the market, stable returns can be achieved without rising or falling, and you will no longer be a gambling fool.
Understand options, learn about volatility, and understand theta returns; it's never too late.
Spot + covered call selling strategy is the simplest options combination strategy.
Let's embark on the path to stable wealth growth together.
Kiss, make money🤑
Understand options, learn about volatility, and understand theta returns; it's never too late.
Spot + covered call selling strategy is the simplest options combination strategy.
Let's embark on the path to stable wealth growth together.
Kiss, make money🤑
See original
The comments section is filled with sarcasm, you probably don't even understand the meaning of my analysis, right? I'm sharing the strategies for options trading, not encouraging you to gamble on contracts. So, if your understanding is shallow, please don't pay attention to me anymore, really, thank you. Wishing you prosperity~
Tonight (after midnight on the 18th), the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, and the market predicted a 25 basis point rate cut.
The market also predicted that the rate cut may stop in January.
Therefore, tonight's data will become an indicator barometer.
If the rate cut exceeds expectations, everyone will be happy, and the big pie will directly break through 11.
If 25 is normal, it is estimated that a retracement is inevitable. The probability is that it will rise and fall, and fluctuate downward.
If there is a black swan surprise, there will be no rate cut. Then be careful.
Therefore, clear or reduce positions in the afternoon, hang insurance, and wait for tomorrow's trend to become clear before entering.
The above is the seller's strategy.
Buyers, you can take a gamble. However, the probability of wide fluctuations is high, and the probability of buying the last chicken feather is high.
For reference only. I wish you all good fortune. $SOL $BTC $ETH
The market also predicted that the rate cut may stop in January.
Therefore, tonight's data will become an indicator barometer.
If the rate cut exceeds expectations, everyone will be happy, and the big pie will directly break through 11.
If 25 is normal, it is estimated that a retracement is inevitable. The probability is that it will rise and fall, and fluctuate downward.
If there is a black swan surprise, there will be no rate cut. Then be careful.
Therefore, clear or reduce positions in the afternoon, hang insurance, and wait for tomorrow's trend to become clear before entering.
The above is the seller's strategy.
Buyers, you can take a gamble. However, the probability of wide fluctuations is high, and the probability of buying the last chicken feather is high.
For reference only. I wish you all good fortune. $SOL $BTC $ETH
See original
Tonight (after midnight on the 18th), the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, and the market predicted a 25 basis point rate cut.
The market also predicted that the rate cut may stop in January.
Therefore, tonight's data will become an indicator barometer.
If the rate cut exceeds expectations, everyone will be happy, and the big pie will directly break through 11.
If 25 is normal, it is estimated that a retracement is inevitable. The probability is that it will rise and fall, and fluctuate downward.
If there is a black swan surprise, there will be no rate cut. Then be careful.
Therefore, clear or reduce positions in the afternoon, hang insurance, and wait for tomorrow's trend to become clear before entering.
The above is the seller's strategy.
Buyers, you can take a gamble. However, the probability of wide fluctuations is high, and the probability of buying the last chicken feather is high.
For reference only. I wish you all good fortune. $SOL $BTC $ETH
The market also predicted that the rate cut may stop in January.
Therefore, tonight's data will become an indicator barometer.
If the rate cut exceeds expectations, everyone will be happy, and the big pie will directly break through 11.
If 25 is normal, it is estimated that a retracement is inevitable. The probability is that it will rise and fall, and fluctuate downward.
If there is a black swan surprise, there will be no rate cut. Then be careful.
Therefore, clear or reduce positions in the afternoon, hang insurance, and wait for tomorrow's trend to become clear before entering.
The above is the seller's strategy.
Buyers, you can take a gamble. However, the probability of wide fluctuations is high, and the probability of buying the last chicken feather is high.
For reference only. I wish you all good fortune. $SOL $BTC $ETH
See original
The big pancake is really strong, many judgments have been disrupted under emotions.
However, it is worth mentioning that the big pancake, no matter how strong, is just a standout.
Shanzhai should seize the opportunity to take profits and be cautious of pullbacks.
Let's talk about sol in detail. 235 is a watershed.
If it breaks through the resistance, it might form a double top.
If the breakout fails, be prepared to continue downward toward the lower track.
Watch while you walk. $SOL
However, it is worth mentioning that the big pancake, no matter how strong, is just a standout.
Shanzhai should seize the opportunity to take profits and be cautious of pullbacks.
Let's talk about sol in detail. 235 is a watershed.
If it breaks through the resistance, it might form a double top.
If the breakout fails, be prepared to continue downward toward the lower track.
Watch while you walk. $SOL
See original
【RWA Track Star Project RealtyX Platform Token RX Airdrop Coming Soon, Let's Complete Tasks to Earn Points!】
1. What do you need to know about $RX?
1. What is the $RX token?
$RX is the utility and governance token driving the development of RealtyX. By rewarding active participants and empowering holders to shape the future of RealtyX, $RX unites a strong community and unlocks value for all participants.
2. The utility of $RX
Staking rewards, ecosystem revenue sharing, governance rights, and using $RX for payments.
3. Why join the $RX community airdrop?
Become an early adopter of the growing RealtyX ecosystem.
Become part of our vibrant and engaging community.
1. What is the $RX token?
$RX is the utility and governance token driving the development of RealtyX. By rewarding active participants and empowering holders to shape the future of RealtyX, $RX unites a strong community and unlocks value for all participants.
2. The utility of $RX
Staking rewards, ecosystem revenue sharing, governance rights, and using $RX for payments.
3. Why join the $RX community airdrop?
Become an early adopter of the growing RealtyX ecosystem.
Become part of our vibrant and engaging community.
See original
Another reason to choose Safepal is that it is a hardware wallet project invested in by Binance, and its token is listed on Binance. A very dear child, trustworthy, haha😄
There are many hackers in a bull market. Recently, a friend's wallet was stolen, and I have started to worry about hot wallets.
Switching to a cold wallet might be safer.
I have currently examined a few.
safepal, keypal, onekey, ledger.
Foreign brands often have trouble clearing customs when shipped from abroad.
Those produced in Shenzhen are smoothly available for purchase.
So, buying a domestic one is still OK.
safepal is recommended! It can also open a Swiss bank account, making it convenient for deposits and withdrawals. It helps avoid the risks of C2C transactions.
So I seriously recommend this cold wallet.
Switching to a cold wallet might be safer.
I have currently examined a few.
safepal, keypal, onekey, ledger.
Foreign brands often have trouble clearing customs when shipped from abroad.
Those produced in Shenzhen are smoothly available for purchase.
So, buying a domestic one is still OK.
safepal is recommended! It can also open a Swiss bank account, making it convenient for deposits and withdrawals. It helps avoid the risks of C2C transactions.
So I seriously recommend this cold wallet.
See original
There are many hackers in a bull market. Recently, a friend's wallet was stolen, and I have started to worry about hot wallets.
Switching to a cold wallet might be safer.
I have currently examined a few.
safepal, keypal, onekey, ledger.
Foreign brands often have trouble clearing customs when shipped from abroad.
Those produced in Shenzhen are smoothly available for purchase.
So, buying a domestic one is still OK.
safepal is recommended! It can also open a Swiss bank account, making it convenient for deposits and withdrawals. It helps avoid the risks of C2C transactions.
So I seriously recommend this cold wallet.
Switching to a cold wallet might be safer.
I have currently examined a few.
safepal, keypal, onekey, ledger.
Foreign brands often have trouble clearing customs when shipped from abroad.
Those produced in Shenzhen are smoothly available for purchase.
So, buying a domestic one is still OK.
safepal is recommended! It can also open a Swiss bank account, making it convenient for deposits and withdrawals. It helps avoid the risks of C2C transactions.
So I seriously recommend this cold wallet.
See original
Through the weekend's gamma distribution, it can be seen that BTC faces significant upward resistance, while ETH's fluctuation range is between 3600 and 4100. The rise of SOL is also relatively weak.
New funds entering the market from outside will change the gamma distribution, but SOL does not have an ETF, so its strength is certainly not as robust as that of Bitcoin.
Continue to act as a seller.
New funds entering the market from outside will change the gamma distribution, but SOL does not have an ETF, so its strength is certainly not as robust as that of Bitcoin.
Continue to act as a seller.
See original
Weekend low volatility, weekday high volatility, the weekend effect of options is really too obvious now.
The main reason is that ETFs should be the primary influencing factor.
Tomorrow is Monday again, and it's highly likely that volatility will rise again.
So, everyone should understand how to operate now, right?
The main reason is that ETFs should be the primary influencing factor.
Tomorrow is Monday again, and it's highly likely that volatility will rise again.
So, everyone should understand how to operate now, right?
See original
Big players and whales are quietly taking profits.
The remaining positions are using profits to buy some long-term options, to capture the last price increase.
So, retail investors should also pay attention to risks.
First, do not go all in.
Second, remember to set insurance.
Finally, if the profits are good, do not be greedy!
It's appropriate to take profits on half of it first.
The remaining positions are using profits to buy some long-term options, to capture the last price increase.
So, retail investors should also pay attention to risks.
First, do not go all in.
Second, remember to set insurance.
Finally, if the profits are good, do not be greedy!
It's appropriate to take profits on half of it first.
See original
The sun moves down to the track at 209, not bad
Shorted
Take profit at 209, stop loss at 235
Sell some 195 put options to increase returns
High-risk strategy, betting on analysis understanding, haha
$SOL
Shorted
Take profit at 209, stop loss at 235
Sell some 195 put options to increase returns
High-risk strategy, betting on analysis understanding, haha
$SOL
See original
The yield on China's ten-year government bonds is falling, and A-shares are expected to rise.
Chinese concept stocks are also rising against the trend. The signals are quite positive.
U.S. stocks and A-shares are resonating, increasing the probability of continued upward movement.
The strategy of selling spot + out-of-the-money options is underway.
Chinese concept stocks are also rising against the trend. The signals are quite positive.
U.S. stocks and A-shares are resonating, increasing the probability of continued upward movement.
The strategy of selling spot + out-of-the-money options is underway.