01/01/2025 #BTCOutlook $BTC will remain in this territory unless it moves below $81,190 – in which case it’d again become cheap – or above $111,700. 👉 a level that integerates a serious possibility of an unstable bubble.
The Bitcoin chart simultaneously offers some insights into the price points investors should be wary of come January 1, 2025. 👉 The range of the ‘HODL!’ zone will move slightly by the New Year.
Bitcoin is also set to become increasingly interesting to buy with a progressively longer likely time until the next rally.
Another aspect that plays an important role is the importance of the $100,000 level.
👌 It’s a very, very important level. In fact, the $100k level is the point from where accelerated moves start, in both directions.
⛓️💥 While BTC was rising, well above $100k, it is fair to expect that market volatility will result in the opposite effect.
🤔 Whatever happens around important levels is amplified – both a BTC price rise and a Bitcoin price drop are both strong around a critical level like $100k. #BTCNextMove ✅ It will take a little longer before BTC takes out $100k. That’s not a bad thing though, as the recent rally was a little too steep and obvious, leaving too many bulls in the arena; that’s not a recipe for a sustained move high.
🤭 The global economic landscape could become more fluid in 2025 as markets face increasing complexity.
🤫 The evolution of the business cycle will likely be driven by the interaction between macro dynamics and monetary policy, with added uncertainty from potential policy changes.
😍 Technological innovation and the broadening of the AI cycle is expected to remain an important driver across markets, with monetization becoming a greater focus in the coming quarter. #BTCNextMove
✅ The current run for crypto started after the election when there was an increase in speculation that President-elect Donald Trump would open up a bull run for the crypto market. And that may happen, but the gains seen didn't line up with any fundamental changes in the industry.
👌 As much as crypto have been marketed as a way out from under the traditional financial ecosystem, the crypto market trades a lot like traditional risk assets like growth stocks. In this case, when interest rates rise, growth stocks fall and crypto moves down along with them.
⛓️💥 Questions heading into 2025 The gains of the last year were largely based on momentum from items like the approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the election. But in 2025 there may be fewer of this tailwind and pricing is driven by the number of new buyers coming into the market. #BTCNextMove #MarketPullback