Umary Gashua

⛔ Urgent warning: the market will experience strong fluctuations today and tomorrow (Especially for brothers #long #short ) 📅 Time and content of the meeting Meeting date: May 6–7, 2025 Decision announcement time: 2:00 AM on May 8th, Hanoi time Press conference of Chairman Jerome Powell: 2:30 AM on May 8th, Hanoi time 📊 Economic outlook and interest rate decision Current interest rate: 4.25%–4.50% (maintained since December 2024) Recent economic data: Previous quarter GDP: Decreased by 0.3% Employment: Added 177,000 jobs in April Inflation: Core PCE index increased by 2.6% year-on-year Despite the decrease in GDP, the labor market remains stable. However, President Trump's new tax policies have raised concerns about the potential for a recession. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in this meeting and may consider cutting rates later in the year, depending on further economic developments. 💬 Market reactions Gold price: Increased to a two-week high, reaching $3,357.63/ounce, due to safe-haven demand and a weakened USD. Bond market: Short-term bond yields fell, reflecting market expectations for potential interest rate cuts in the future. Stocks: The S&P 500 index fell after a nine-day consecutive rise, as investors await signals from 🕵️‍♂️ Predictions from experts Chairman #JeromePowell : Expected to maintain a cautious stance, emphasizing inflation control and labor market stability. Market expectations: Some analysts predict the Fed may begin cutting interest rates in July or December, depending on subsequent economic data. #FOMCMeeting