the market maestro
Open Trade
Frequent Trader
3.8 Years
follow me on twitter :@tech_idrissi/The Market Maestro…Crypto/stock trader and investor. Database senior Manager. Bookworm / Gym addict / Space enthusiast
Following
Followers
Liked
Shared
Just got astonished looking at this #ETH dominance chart :
- The macro trend shows lower highs and and lower lows , and if that continues , #Ethereum dominance will be ~0
- If quantitative easing doesn’t start and the long term yield climbs up , while inflation remains sticky , then stacking ETHs will be highly risky compared to 4% to 5% risk free returns on yields , no big smart investor would want to stack $ETH until QE starts again and yields decrease
- The macro trend shows lower highs and and lower lows , and if that continues , #Ethereum dominance will be ~0
- If quantitative easing doesn’t start and the long term yield climbs up , while inflation remains sticky , then stacking ETHs will be highly risky compared to 4% to 5% risk free returns on yields , no big smart investor would want to stack $ETH until QE starts again and yields decrease
What a respectful analysis
$RUNE is crashing. What is the consequence for Defi?🔥💥
$RUNE
This idea focuses more on DeFi and Web3 as a whole rather than the specific case of RUNE.
What is happening to RUNE can happen to any other DeFi protocol, so it’s crucial to analyze how these protocols work, identify the risks, and explore how to mitigate them.
### How DeFi Protocols Work
RUNE, like many other protocols, is powered by smart contracts. These are small programs that execute tasks like lending, swapping, and other DeFi functions automatically and without human intervention. Investors love these protocols for their decentralized nature and trustless execution, enabled by blockchain technology.
RUNE gained popularity because its decentralized protocol allowed its price to be tied to factors like its total value locked (TVL) and fee earnings. The more people staked, provided liquidity, or used its lending services, the more RUNE’s price increased. For instance, we saw RUNE rise from $3 to $12 last year as people used the protocol to loan BTC and ETH during their price surges.
### The Mechanism Behind RUNE
DeFi protocols like RUNE rely on the token itself as collateral. For example:
- When users send BTC or ETH to the protocol, it automatically buys and sells RUNE, which drives its price up.
- Conversely, when users withdraw BTC or ETH, the protocol sells RUNE to repay those users, which puts downward pressure on its price.
This mechanism can create vulnerabilities, as we’ve seen with RUNE.
### What Went Wrong?
While all altcoins were losing value, BTC outperformed to the point where the total value of BTC being staked and loaned on the protocol exceeded the total value of RUNE. In simple terms, if everyone requested their BTC and ETH back, the protocol would not have enough RUNE to sell and repay them. This is known as insolvency.
Last year, when authorities paused Rune Swap for a week to investigate criminal activity, RUNE’s price plummeted from $2.2 to $1.3 as smart contracts automatically compensated for reduced earnings and people redeemed their staked assets, forcing the protocol to sell RUNE.
### The Catastrophic Validator Decision
This month, with the price of BTC surging, some inverstors decided to cash out from RUNE and that is when they realized that the price of RUNE was so underperforming BTC that the protocol might be insolvent. They createed a "bank run" and an avalanche of investors lost their trust and asked their coins back.
To prevent a complete collapse, validators—who are essential for running the blockchain—used a private key to manually stop the protocol. This halted the smart contracts from continuing to sell RUNE. However, this move backfired.
Observers saw the protocol being manually interfered with, highlighting its insolvency and raising serious concerns. This decision led to even more fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It became clear that DeFi’s lack of flexibility and inability to adapt to emergencies can create destructive outcomes.
### Broader Implications for DeFi Protocols
This exposes a significant vulnerability in all DeFi protocols. Many rely on their own coin as collateral, but if BTC continues to rise in value and users decide to withdraw their BTC, the protocols could face the same insolvency issue. In some cases, the amount required to repay users may exceed the protocol’s total collateral—or even the market cap of the altcoin itself.
### The Potential Domino Effect
If platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid, and others fail to address this issue, we could see a domino effect:
- Investors may withdraw their funds from DeFi protocols, leading to a collapse of the entire DeFi ecosystem.
- Such an event would have dire consequences for the broader altcoin market.
### The Solution
If BTC continues its bull run alone, DeFi platforms may need to reconsider their reliance on BTC and stop lending/staking and swapping to BTC. Failure to adapt could render many protocols insolvent, triggering unprecedented FUD and potentially causing the crypto market to crash.
### Conclusion
The current situation with RUNE is a cautionary tale for the entire DeFi industry. Without proactive measures, the very mechanisms that make DeFi appealing—decentralization and automation—could become its greatest weaknesses.
This idea focuses more on DeFi and Web3 as a whole rather than the specific case of RUNE.
What is happening to RUNE can happen to any other DeFi protocol, so it’s crucial to analyze how these protocols work, identify the risks, and explore how to mitigate them.
### How DeFi Protocols Work
RUNE, like many other protocols, is powered by smart contracts. These are small programs that execute tasks like lending, swapping, and other DeFi functions automatically and without human intervention. Investors love these protocols for their decentralized nature and trustless execution, enabled by blockchain technology.
RUNE gained popularity because its decentralized protocol allowed its price to be tied to factors like its total value locked (TVL) and fee earnings. The more people staked, provided liquidity, or used its lending services, the more RUNE’s price increased. For instance, we saw RUNE rise from $3 to $12 last year as people used the protocol to loan BTC and ETH during their price surges.
### The Mechanism Behind RUNE
DeFi protocols like RUNE rely on the token itself as collateral. For example:
- When users send BTC or ETH to the protocol, it automatically buys and sells RUNE, which drives its price up.
- Conversely, when users withdraw BTC or ETH, the protocol sells RUNE to repay those users, which puts downward pressure on its price.
This mechanism can create vulnerabilities, as we’ve seen with RUNE.
### What Went Wrong?
While all altcoins were losing value, BTC outperformed to the point where the total value of BTC being staked and loaned on the protocol exceeded the total value of RUNE. In simple terms, if everyone requested their BTC and ETH back, the protocol would not have enough RUNE to sell and repay them. This is known as insolvency.
Last year, when authorities paused Rune Swap for a week to investigate criminal activity, RUNE’s price plummeted from $2.2 to $1.3 as smart contracts automatically compensated for reduced earnings and people redeemed their staked assets, forcing the protocol to sell RUNE.
### The Catastrophic Validator Decision
This month, with the price of BTC surging, some inverstors decided to cash out from RUNE and that is when they realized that the price of RUNE was so underperforming BTC that the protocol might be insolvent. They createed a "bank run" and an avalanche of investors lost their trust and asked their coins back.
To prevent a complete collapse, validators—who are essential for running the blockchain—used a private key to manually stop the protocol. This halted the smart contracts from continuing to sell RUNE. However, this move backfired.
Observers saw the protocol being manually interfered with, highlighting its insolvency and raising serious concerns. This decision led to even more fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It became clear that DeFi’s lack of flexibility and inability to adapt to emergencies can create destructive outcomes.
### Broader Implications for DeFi Protocols
This exposes a significant vulnerability in all DeFi protocols. Many rely on their own coin as collateral, but if BTC continues to rise in value and users decide to withdraw their BTC, the protocols could face the same insolvency issue. In some cases, the amount required to repay users may exceed the protocol’s total collateral—or even the market cap of the altcoin itself.
### The Potential Domino Effect
If platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid, and others fail to address this issue, we could see a domino effect:
- Investors may withdraw their funds from DeFi protocols, leading to a collapse of the entire DeFi ecosystem.
- Such an event would have dire consequences for the broader altcoin market.
### The Solution
If BTC continues its bull run alone, DeFi platforms may need to reconsider their reliance on BTC and stop lending/staking and swapping to BTC. Failure to adapt could render many protocols insolvent, triggering unprecedented FUD and potentially causing the crypto market to crash.
### Conclusion
The current situation with RUNE is a cautionary tale for the entire DeFi industry. Without proactive measures, the very mechanisms that make DeFi appealing—decentralization and automation—could become its greatest weaknesses.
🚨 #Bitcoin Analysis 🚨
Short-term liquidity shows a clear target at $103K, as BTC seeks to grab liquidity at higher levels. However, long-term liquidity clusters sit between $60K and $70K, signaling a potential correction post-surge.
Tomorrow’s CPI data release will be crucial. A higher-than-expected CPI could trigger risk-off sentiment, driving BTC toward lower liquidity zones. Watch closely !
Short-term liquidity shows a clear target at $103K, as BTC seeks to grab liquidity at higher levels. However, long-term liquidity clusters sit between $60K and $70K, signaling a potential correction post-surge.
Tomorrow’s CPI data release will be crucial. A higher-than-expected CPI could trigger risk-off sentiment, driving BTC toward lower liquidity zones. Watch closely !
It is the first time that BTC is finding resistance at 92k . I believe we are heading much lower . Opportunities of a lifetime are coming ! If CPI comes hot on Wednesday , 72k is the first stop , if not just grab some cryptos ( 20% of your fundings ) and wait for the next FOMC meeting
#Bitcoin #Altcoins #FOMC
#Bitcoin #Altcoins #FOMC
BTC’s history with long-term resistance:
• April 2020: -50% from $64K to $29K
• Nov 2021: -77% from $69K to $15.5K
• Dec 2017: -84% from $19K to $3K
Each touch led to massive corrections. Will history repeat or break this time? 🤔 #Bitcoin #Crypto
• April 2020: -50% from $64K to $29K
• Nov 2021: -77% from $69K to $15.5K
• Dec 2017: -84% from $19K to $3K
Each touch led to massive corrections. Will history repeat or break this time? 🤔 #Bitcoin #Crypto
Is that click farming or are u that dumb ?
$SOL please give me suggestions what am I do ???
Help me guys please 🙏 😭😭😭😭😭$BTC
$SOL
Help me guys please 🙏 😭😭😭😭😭$BTC
$SOL
With 65% of Binance votes bullish and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index at 73 (Greed), it’s a moment for caution, not euphoria.
The Fed’s hawkish stance, the little sticky inflation, and the shrinking of global liquidity paint a challenging backdrop. Historically, such conditions lead to corrections in crypto markets 2-3 weeks later.
This is a time for disciplined strategies, not reckless optimism. #Crypto #BTC
The Fed’s hawkish stance, the little sticky inflation, and the shrinking of global liquidity paint a challenging backdrop. Historically, such conditions lead to corrections in crypto markets 2-3 weeks later.
This is a time for disciplined strategies, not reckless optimism. #Crypto #BTC
BTC Fear & Greed Index at 78—Extreme Greed. 🚨
This isn’t a healthy shakeout. The shakeout should reset the #BTC fear and greed index and indulge max pain .
The crypto market doesn’t forgive. Stay vigilant, Look for confirmations, stay patient and don’t fomo at this high risk territories .
Load up when you see the fear and greed index at fear and extreme fear + the weekly RSI in the oversold territory + key support levels hold .
Preserve capital now or just don’t blow it all out ; accumulate when panic sets in. The market doesn’t forgive
This isn’t a healthy shakeout. The shakeout should reset the #BTC fear and greed index and indulge max pain .
The crypto market doesn’t forgive. Stay vigilant, Look for confirmations, stay patient and don’t fomo at this high risk territories .
Load up when you see the fear and greed index at fear and extreme fear + the weekly RSI in the oversold territory + key support levels hold .
Preserve capital now or just don’t blow it all out ; accumulate when panic sets in. The market doesn’t forgive
(Total3-usdt)/btc outlook :
Max pain scenario :
If we’re in Phase 1, BTC dominance could spike while its price declines , filling the $77K CME gap. Weekly RSI shows bearish divergence on #BTC which can lead to this situation , but this might be the ultimate chance to ape into alts at their bottoms against BTC. Patience pays! 🧠
#Crypto #ALTSEASON #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Chainlink #ada
Max pain scenario :
If we’re in Phase 1, BTC dominance could spike while its price declines , filling the $77K CME gap. Weekly RSI shows bearish divergence on #BTC which can lead to this situation , but this might be the ultimate chance to ape into alts at their bottoms against BTC. Patience pays! 🧠
#Crypto #ALTSEASON #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Chainlink #ada
For all $link marines . Put on your seatbelts and prepare for the landing . Cheaper opportunities coming. Gonna ape on it hard !
#Chainlink #link #altcoins
#Chainlink #link #altcoins
Is that a head and shoulders pattern on BTC/USDT? Because it looks so:
Curious if the market's about to take a dive or if
bitcoin just flexing its shoulders 😄
#Bitcoin #btc #crypto
Curious if the market's about to take a dive or if
bitcoin just flexing its shoulders 😄
#Bitcoin #btc #crypto
ETH is testing weekly resistance. 🚀
If we break it, we’re teleporting to Mars! 🌌
If not, let it chill for a couple of weeks before we break through with force. 🚨
#Ethereum #Crypto #ETH
If we break it, we’re teleporting to Mars! 🌌
If not, let it chill for a couple of weeks before we break through with force. 🚨
#Ethereum #Crypto #ETH
Looking at this (TOTAL3 - usdt)/$btc chart… Are we in phase 1 or 2 of the cycle? Is altcoin season finally here, or is this just another bull trap? 📉📈
! #Crypto #Altseason #Bitcoin
! #Crypto #Altseason #Bitcoin
If $ADA breaks the $0.94 resistance, the path to its ATH becomes clear. After that, the sky’s the limit! 🚀 #Cardano #ADA #Crypto
History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes.
In the last cycle, it took 980 days for alts to bottom from the peak. This time? We’re already at 1,036 days and counting. 📉
Is the bottom in for alts? The charts are whispering… 📊
#BTC #alts #ETH
In the last cycle, it took 980 days for alts to bottom from the peak. This time? We’re already at 1,036 days and counting. 📉
Is the bottom in for alts? The charts are whispering… 📊
#BTC #alts #ETH
Tether has minted over $2 billion USDT today. This substantial amount could impact cryptocurrency market liquidity and trading dynamics. 🚀
$DIA is looking shitty and shady as hell . Poor design of their logo and website… lot of announcements to pump the price without any reactions ( cause people started to understand) . Btw no announcement has happened yet . Poor partnerships . The market is going upward while it is going in the opposite direction . no big influencers collaboration . It looks like i made a big mistake converting my $vet bag from last cycle to this bullshit coin
Let us check
Following Whales Is The Key to 100x your Portfolio In The Bull-Run
All you have to do is Mimic top players!
I tracked 13 influencers with $4+ billion net worth.
Let's analyze their trades and discover strategies:
✧ Addresses of influencers' wallets
✧ How to track their transactions
✧ How to enable automatic notifs on their TXs
✧ My conclusions and their strategies
Let's go through it step by step:
1/➮ Who are our influencers and their wallets?
➫ CryptoHayes | Arthur Hayes: former BitMEX CEO and one of the largest GMX holders
✰ Wallet: 0x534a0076fb7c2b1f83fa21497429ad7ad3bd7587
➫ justinsuntron | Justin Sun: CEO of @rondao, advisor of htx_global
✰ Wallet: 0x3ddfa8ec3052539b6c9549f12cea2c295cff5296
➫ Rewkang | Andrew Kang: one of the most famous DEX trades
✰ Wallet: 0xe8c19db00287e3536075114b2576c70773e039bd/0x07cc65ec4de72fdf7d2b6c39fd80c4ea4706215b/0xff3879b8a363aed92a6eaba8f61f1a96a9ec3c1e
➫ ASvanevik | Alex Svanevik: CEO of Nansen, renowned for blockchain analytics and insights
✰ Wallet: 0xc006544b93e86e8999623c1d12d2e352c61c8123
➫ @StaniKulechov | Stani Kulechov: Founder of Aave, key figure in DeFi community
✰ Wallet: 0xf5fb27b912d987b5b6e02a1b1be0c1f0740e2c6f
➫ @BanklessHQ | Bankless: Leading media platform dedicated to decentralized finance education and news
✰ Wallet: 0x844e211e291077b11221c0f18615a64f2ff19c26
➫ @VitalikButerin | Vitalik Buterin: Co-founder of Ethereum, probably the most influential figures in space at all
✰ Wallet: 0xd8da6bf26964af9d7eed9e03e53415d37aa96045
2/➮ How to track their transactions?
➫ Let's use justinsuntron wallet as example:
✧ Head over to Zerion or DeBank
✧ Look at his current token holdings, staked assets, NFTs, transaction history, and P&L on holdings.
For example, justinsuntron bought eth at an average of 2950 and has a PnL of $55 million We can also see his entry points and asset sales, what he stakes mainly LUSDT on Liquity Protocol.
He holds a lot of $CRV, $ETH, $EPIK, $COMP, $CVX, $KCS. He doesn't hold NFTs, he bought more in November and October and so far hasn't realized any profit from this market surge.
3/➮ How to enable automatic notifs on their TXs:
✧ Head over to Etherdrops Boton Telegram
✧ Type '/start'
✧ Add wallets
✧ Type each wallet from new stroke in that format: 0xe8c19db00287e3536075114b2576c70773e039bd - Andrew Kang
✧ Enter limit amount for notifications
4/➮ I also checked wallets of other influencers from the list, and here're conclusions:
✧ They invest a lot in ETH & DeFi
✧ Everyone's money is earning good APY in pools, not just lying idle
✧ They hold many LSD coins
✧ They don't hold all money on one wallet, especially public
Now you'll receive notifications from the bot about transactions from their wallets! Here's an example:
➮ Overall, from the usual analysis of wallets we can't learn much more, but one thing is clear:
✧ All these players anticipate the market three steps ahead and often enter early, so I often track their wallets.
✧ But the main thing is DYOR, and check each coin properly.
I tracked 13 influencers with $4+ billion net worth.
Let's analyze their trades and discover strategies:
✧ Addresses of influencers' wallets
✧ How to track their transactions
✧ How to enable automatic notifs on their TXs
✧ My conclusions and their strategies
Let's go through it step by step:
1/➮ Who are our influencers and their wallets?
➫ CryptoHayes | Arthur Hayes: former BitMEX CEO and one of the largest GMX holders
✰ Wallet: 0x534a0076fb7c2b1f83fa21497429ad7ad3bd7587
➫ justinsuntron | Justin Sun: CEO of @rondao, advisor of htx_global
✰ Wallet: 0x3ddfa8ec3052539b6c9549f12cea2c295cff5296
➫ Rewkang | Andrew Kang: one of the most famous DEX trades
✰ Wallet: 0xe8c19db00287e3536075114b2576c70773e039bd/0x07cc65ec4de72fdf7d2b6c39fd80c4ea4706215b/0xff3879b8a363aed92a6eaba8f61f1a96a9ec3c1e
➫ ASvanevik | Alex Svanevik: CEO of Nansen, renowned for blockchain analytics and insights
✰ Wallet: 0xc006544b93e86e8999623c1d12d2e352c61c8123
➫ @StaniKulechov | Stani Kulechov: Founder of Aave, key figure in DeFi community
✰ Wallet: 0xf5fb27b912d987b5b6e02a1b1be0c1f0740e2c6f
➫ @BanklessHQ | Bankless: Leading media platform dedicated to decentralized finance education and news
✰ Wallet: 0x844e211e291077b11221c0f18615a64f2ff19c26
➫ @VitalikButerin | Vitalik Buterin: Co-founder of Ethereum, probably the most influential figures in space at all
✰ Wallet: 0xd8da6bf26964af9d7eed9e03e53415d37aa96045
2/➮ How to track their transactions?
➫ Let's use justinsuntron wallet as example:
✧ Head over to Zerion or DeBank
✧ Look at his current token holdings, staked assets, NFTs, transaction history, and P&L on holdings.
For example, justinsuntron bought eth at an average of 2950 and has a PnL of $55 million We can also see his entry points and asset sales, what he stakes mainly LUSDT on Liquity Protocol.
He holds a lot of $CRV, $ETH, $EPIK, $COMP, $CVX, $KCS. He doesn't hold NFTs, he bought more in November and October and so far hasn't realized any profit from this market surge.
3/➮ How to enable automatic notifs on their TXs:
✧ Head over to Etherdrops Boton Telegram
✧ Type '/start'
✧ Add wallets
✧ Type each wallet from new stroke in that format: 0xe8c19db00287e3536075114b2576c70773e039bd - Andrew Kang
✧ Enter limit amount for notifications
4/➮ I also checked wallets of other influencers from the list, and here're conclusions:
✧ They invest a lot in ETH & DeFi
✧ Everyone's money is earning good APY in pools, not just lying idle
✧ They hold many LSD coins
✧ They don't hold all money on one wallet, especially public
Now you'll receive notifications from the bot about transactions from their wallets! Here's an example:
➮ Overall, from the usual analysis of wallets we can't learn much more, but one thing is clear:
✧ All these players anticipate the market three steps ahead and often enter early, so I often track their wallets.
✧ But the main thing is DYOR, and check each coin properly.