Hello, I hope you have a great day. I'm sharing how I see the market this week; I speculate a bullish start, although I must point out that, from a technical perspective, in the daily, weekly, and monthly frames, the price of BTC is at overbought levels.

I do not base all my probabilities on indicators, as they reflect the past behavior of the market. I know that at any moment, large participants can inject or withdraw capital significantly, altering expected movements. However, I observe certain historical patterns: the price tends to behave cyclically over the years, although currently the big difference is that BTC is at very high levels, while most altcoins, with a few exceptions, remain lagging at low levels.

How to Analyze a Chart in Simple Steps 🧐📊

When I start analyzing a chart, no matter how much volatility it has, I always follow the same steps because the key is in the structure of the market. Here I explain it in a simple and direct way:

Step 1: Identify the trend 📈📉

Is it going up? Then we are in an uptrend.

Is it going down? It is a downtrend.

Is it moving sideways? The market is in range.

This is the first step, because before any decision, you need to know where the price is standing.

The Logic of Whales: Understanding the Big Players in the Market 🐋
In the world of cryptocurrencies, we always hear about 'whales' or 'institutional investors,' those big players who seem to pull the strings of the market. Most of us, as retail traders, feel we are at the mercy of their moves. But here is an important reality: they are not thousands of people, not millions of individuals, but a few dozen actors who operate similarly, following cycles that repeat over and over.

The importance of diversifying your presence across multiple exchanges and brokers
One of the best decisions I've made in my journey as a trader and investor has been to register with a wide variety of cryptocurrency exchanges and stock and futures brokers. I am currently registered, active, and diversified in over 100 exchanges, including wallets, meaning all the places where I have assets. While it may seem excessive to some, I will explain why I believe this strategy is essential for understanding and making the most of financial markets.

How to Save in Bitcoin using DCA: A Long-Term Investment Fund
A couple of years ago, I decided to start saving in Bitcoin as part of my long-term financial strategy. I didn’t see it as a speculative instrument, but as an investment fund similar to saving in CETES or a private retirement plan (PPR). My approach is based on the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, which, in simple terms, means investing a fixed amount regularly, regardless of whether the price is high or low. I will explain how I do it and why I believe this strategy can be an excellent way to protect and grow your wealth in the long term.

How I analyze #BTC in various Time Frames
1D, 4H, 45min
First, I want to show you my approach to analyzing the BTC market using different time frames: the Daily, the 4 Hour, and the 45 Minutes. My idea is to teach you my way of thinking and what details I observe at each time level so that you can understand how they relate to each other and make more accurate trading decisions.

1. Daily Frame (D1):

In the daily, my goal is to have a macro view, understand the overall market structure and the prevailing trend. Here I seek to identify key levels of support and resistance, areas of imbalance (FVG - Fair Value Gaps), as well as possible formations of Japanese candlesticks that may indicate a change or continuity of trend. I also usually apply Fibonacci retracements over wide movements, as in this frame they work well to mark areas of high confluence. Additionally, I observe the position of slower moving averages (for example, the 27-period average in daily) to understand if the price is in a bullish, bearish, or sideways phase.

The Importance of a Good Setup for Trading

Now that after a couple of years I am changing offices/work areas, I remembered that when I started trading, my "workspace" was simply my laptop in any corner of the house. Sometimes at the dining table, other times on the sofa. But over time, I realized something: trading is not just numbers and charts; it is also the environment in which you operate. And having an appropriate setup is not a luxury, it's a tool that makes a difference in your performance.

#LetsTalkCrypto
Can Bitcoin Reach $1 Million? 🚀💰
Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneer of cryptocurrencies, has gone from being an almost unknown concept to becoming one of the most disruptive assets in the financial world. If you've ever wondered if BTC could reach prices of $1 million or more, you're not alone. Many analysts, investors, and market enthusiasts have debated this possibility, backed by facts that, when we look at them closely, don't seem so crazy. Let's break it down. 👇

The Stop Loss: The Most Valuable Lesson I Learned in Trading

In trading, as in life, I realized something essential: the stop loss is not only a technical tool but also a mental strategy. Learning to let go of what does not work, whether it be a bad trade or a wrong decision, has taught me to protect my capital, my time, and my energy.

The stop loss is that limit we set to minimize losses. It is not about admitting failure, but about accepting that the market or a circumstance is not in our favor at that moment. This mindset also applies in life. Many times we cling to projects, relationships, or ideas that do not lead us to where we want, and letting them go can open doors to new opportunities that are truly worth it.

Update #BTC

Currently, in addition to technical analysis, I consider it important to incorporate a psychological component in market interpretation. In my experience, movements of this type tend to generate a significant shakeout in altcoins, while Bitcoin continues to demonstrate remarkable strength.

According to on-chain analysis, it is observed that large holders (whales) are making significant profit-taking, which is understandable considering we are at the end of the year. These liquidations are often driven by seasonal reasons, such as expenses associated with the holiday season, in addition to the closing of annual balances.

Hodling: The Strategy of the Patient in Crypto 🚀⏳

Hodling, that well-known term in the crypto community, is much more than a simple investment strategy: it is a true test of patience and conviction. When we talk about hodling, we refer to holding a cryptocurrency for years, despite the ups and downs of the market. 🪙✨ #HODL #LongTermInvestment

The idea of hodling emerged as a battle cry in cryptocurrency forums when an investor recognized that, although they did not know the exact moment to sell, they were determined not to be swayed by fear or market volatility. Thus, the term became synonymous with holding a cryptocurrency in the hope that its value will increase significantly in the future. 💎🙌 #DiamondHands

The Silence of Your Goals in Trading and Life
In trading, as in life, it is tempting to share our goals with others: that big plan to double our account, that strategy we believe is perfect, or even those financial dreams we want to achieve. But, as this phrase says, "Avoid the momentary pleasure of sharing your goals and focus on working in silence; the results will speak for you."
Why is it so important to maintain internal focus?

Trading is a game of patience and discipline 🎯

Bollinger Bands: A Key Tool for Identifying Volatility and Trading Opportunities 📈📊

Bollinger Bands are one of the most popular technical indicators in price chart analysis. Developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, these bands allow traders to assess market volatility, identify overbought and oversold conditions, and make informed decisions about potential entry and exit points. What makes Bollinger Bands so useful is their ability to automatically adjust to volatility, expanding and contracting based on price behavior.

Every dollar counts: don't forget where you come from
When you're first starting out in trading, every dollar you win or lose feels like a win or a hurt. Everything seems meaningful because you're building from scratch, and every move in your portfolio carries weight. But over time, a funny thing happens: your portfolio grows and you start to "normalize" small losses.
Suddenly, you find yourself thinking things like:
"It's okay if I lose a few dollars, I'll get it back."
"It's just a small part of my account, it doesn't matter that much."

#TradingRoutine: How to Integrate Trading into Your Daily Routine without Leaving Your Job or Business 🕒📈

When you have a job or run a business and are also passionate about trading, the key is to find a routine that allows you to trade without sacrificing your other responsibilities. Trading doesn't have to be a time-consuming activity; with a well-structured approach, you can be consistent and effective. Here's how to do it.

1. Define your Trading Style: The Basis of Everything 🎯

The Darvas Box Strategy: Identifying Opportunities in Trending Markets 📈📦
The Darvas Box is a unique trading methodology developed by Nicolas Darvas, a self-taught dancer and economist, who managed to turn a small investment into millions using this strategy in the 1950s. His approach is based on identifying and taking advantage of uptrends by using a box system that allowed him to visualize when an asset was in an accumulation or trend continuation phase. Darvas’ story and strategy offer valuable lessons for traders and investors looking to capture significant moves in trending markets.

Elliott Waves: Unraveling Market Psychology through Technical Analysis 📈🌊

Elliott Wave theory is one of the most complex and respected methodologies in technical analysis, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s. Elliott observed that financial markets do not move chaotically, but rather follow a natural pattern of behavior driven by the collective psychology of investors. These waves reflect cycles of optimism and pessimism that repeat over and over, allowing traders to identify potential entry and exit points with greater accuracy.