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If the principal is less than 100,000 and you are keen on short-term trading, you must read this note several times and remember the following 4 key short-term techniques! The text is brief, but the value is immense; understanding it can save you several years of detours!
First, do not rush to sell when the morning market drops; increase your position at a low price with T+0. If the stock price drops in the morning, there is no need to rush to sell. Instead, take the opportunity to buy more at a low point, which will lower your average cost. When the stock price rises later, you can sell for a profit in the morning. This operation can refer to the 5-minute and 15-minute K-line charts to find the low point.
Second, when there is a significant rise in the afternoon, it is advisable to reduce your position; if there is a significant decline at the close, consider buying the next day. If there is a substantial upward trend in the afternoon, be sure to reduce your position; if there is a significant drop at the close, then consider building a position to buy the next day, as there is usually a higher probability of a lower open and a higher close the next day.
Third, how to judge the strength of a limit-up? Observe the intraday chart; if it is locked at the limit-up before 11:30 AM and remains closed all day with large orders, it indicates strong momentum; if it is locked after this period, the stock is weak. Avoid touching stocks that only lock up near the closing bell, as there are often tricks involved when the stock is pushed up at the close.
Fourth, controlling drawdowns is key. Most retail investors find it a hundred times more painful to miss out than to be trapped. They always fantasize about seizing every opportunity, yet the market is always there, and opportunities arise every day. After making a big profit, it is easy to become arrogant; one must know that pride leads to downfall. If there are no excellent opportunities, it is wise to take a break for a day or two and secure your profits.
First, do not rush to sell when the morning market drops; increase your position at a low price with T+0. If the stock price drops in the morning, there is no need to rush to sell. Instead, take the opportunity to buy more at a low point, which will lower your average cost. When the stock price rises later, you can sell for a profit in the morning. This operation can refer to the 5-minute and 15-minute K-line charts to find the low point.
Second, when there is a significant rise in the afternoon, it is advisable to reduce your position; if there is a significant decline at the close, consider buying the next day. If there is a substantial upward trend in the afternoon, be sure to reduce your position; if there is a significant drop at the close, then consider building a position to buy the next day, as there is usually a higher probability of a lower open and a higher close the next day.
Third, how to judge the strength of a limit-up? Observe the intraday chart; if it is locked at the limit-up before 11:30 AM and remains closed all day with large orders, it indicates strong momentum; if it is locked after this period, the stock is weak. Avoid touching stocks that only lock up near the closing bell, as there are often tricks involved when the stock is pushed up at the close.
Fourth, controlling drawdowns is key. Most retail investors find it a hundred times more painful to miss out than to be trapped. They always fantasize about seizing every opportunity, yet the market is always there, and opportunities arise every day. After making a big profit, it is easy to become arrogant; one must know that pride leads to downfall. If there are no excellent opportunities, it is wise to take a break for a day or two and secure your profits.
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Is the cryptocurrency market peaking and how long will the bull market continue?
Historical review of cryptocurrency cycles
Historical data shows that cryptocurrency valuations have exhibited a four-year cycle pattern, with prices experiencing both rises and falls. However, now, with the emergence of new spot Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded products (ETPs), market access has broadened, and the U.S. Congress is expected to enhance regulatory clarity for the industry, possibly breaking through this traditional four-year cycle for cryptocurrency valuations.
Bitcoin price trends and cycle characteristics
1. Trend patterns: Bitcoin prices do not fluctuate randomly, but exhibit statistical momentum characteristics, meaning that prices tend to rise after a rise and fall after a fall; in the long term, its price oscillates around a historical upward trend. The driving factors of different price cycles vary, and as Bitcoin is more widely accepted by traditional investors and the impact of the four-year halving event on supply diminishes, its price cycles may change or even disappear. However, studying past cycles can still provide references for investors.
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Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate for December 2024, a key indicator of the global economy. In November, this figure was 2.7%, and the market expects it to rise to 2.8% in December.
CPI fluctuations have profound effects on the U.S. and global economy. If the data meets or exceeds expectations, inflationary pressures will rise, increasing the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, thus impacting monetary policy; if the data falls below expectations, inflationary pressures will ease, allowing the Federal Reserve more room for accommodative policies, which is beneficial for economic growth and asset price increases. Tonight's data will reveal the current state of the U.S. economy and profoundly affect the global economic landscape. If you can't find direction, click on the avatar #BTC $BTC .
CPI fluctuations have profound effects on the U.S. and global economy. If the data meets or exceeds expectations, inflationary pressures will rise, increasing the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, thus impacting monetary policy; if the data falls below expectations, inflationary pressures will ease, allowing the Federal Reserve more room for accommodative policies, which is beneficial for economic growth and asset price increases. Tonight's data will reveal the current state of the U.S. economy and profoundly affect the global economic landscape. If you can't find direction, click on the avatar #BTC $BTC .
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In the early morning, Bitcoin experienced a pullback, with the price retreating to around 95,300 before quickly rebounding and climbing to around 97,000. Overall, the market has not formed a one-sided trend but has entered a range-bound state.
From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin's overall structure shows a clear upward repair trend. Although there have been occasional short-term pullbacks, their magnitude is limited and cannot change the market's strong repair sentiment. Additionally, the repair pattern is also very significant on the one-hour and four-hour charts.
Given the current market situation, it is advised to continue to maintain a primary long position on the pullback for Bitcoin, with high resistance as a secondary consideration.
Bitcoin pullback around 95,600 - 96,300, target 97,300 - 98,500.
Ethereum pullback around 3,170 - 3,200, target 3,280 - 3,350. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC #ETH
From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin's overall structure shows a clear upward repair trend. Although there have been occasional short-term pullbacks, their magnitude is limited and cannot change the market's strong repair sentiment. Additionally, the repair pattern is also very significant on the one-hour and four-hour charts.
Given the current market situation, it is advised to continue to maintain a primary long position on the pullback for Bitcoin, with high resistance as a secondary consideration.
Bitcoin pullback around 95,600 - 96,300, target 97,300 - 98,500.
Ethereum pullback around 3,170 - 3,200, target 3,280 - 3,350. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC #ETH
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In the early morning, Bitcoin experienced a pullback, with the price retreating to around 95,300 before quickly rebounding and climbing to around 97,000. Overall, the market has not formed a one-sided trend but has entered a range-bound state.
From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin's overall structure shows a clear upward repair trend. Although there have been occasional short-term pullbacks, their magnitude is limited and cannot change the market's strong repair sentiment. Additionally, the repair pattern is also very significant on the one-hour and four-hour charts.
Given the current market situation, it is advised to continue to maintain a primary long position on the pullback for Bitcoin, with high resistance as a secondary consideration.
Bitcoin pullback around 95,600 - 96,300, target 97,300 - 98,500.
Ethereum pullback around 3,170 - 3,200, target 3,280 - 3,350. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC #ETH
From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin's overall structure shows a clear upward repair trend. Although there have been occasional short-term pullbacks, their magnitude is limited and cannot change the market's strong repair sentiment. Additionally, the repair pattern is also very significant on the one-hour and four-hour charts.
Given the current market situation, it is advised to continue to maintain a primary long position on the pullback for Bitcoin, with high resistance as a secondary consideration.
Bitcoin pullback around 95,600 - 96,300, target 97,300 - 98,500.
Ethereum pullback around 3,170 - 3,200, target 3,280 - 3,350. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC #ETH
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In the early morning, Bitcoin experienced a pullback, with the price retreating to around 95,300 before quickly rebounding and climbing to around 97,000. Overall, the market has not formed a one-sided trend but has entered a range-bound state.
From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin's overall structure shows a clear upward repair trend. Although there have been occasional short-term pullbacks, their magnitude is limited and cannot change the market's strong repair sentiment. Additionally, the repair pattern is also very significant on the one-hour and four-hour charts.
Given the current market situation, it is advised to continue to maintain a primary long position on the pullback for Bitcoin, with high resistance as a secondary consideration.
Bitcoin pullback around 95,600 - 96,300, target 97,300 - 98,500.
Ethereum pullback around 3,170 - 3,200, target 3,280 - 3,350. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC #ETH
From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin's overall structure shows a clear upward repair trend. Although there have been occasional short-term pullbacks, their magnitude is limited and cannot change the market's strong repair sentiment. Additionally, the repair pattern is also very significant on the one-hour and four-hour charts.
Given the current market situation, it is advised to continue to maintain a primary long position on the pullback for Bitcoin, with high resistance as a secondary consideration.
Bitcoin pullback around 95,600 - 96,300, target 97,300 - 98,500.
Ethereum pullback around 3,170 - 3,200, target 3,280 - 3,350. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC #ETH
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In the cryptocurrency market, these ten coins have unique potential and are worth paying attention to:
1. Arbitrum (ARB): An Ethereum Layer 2 solution that reduces transaction fees and speeds up processing. It provides a better alternative during Ethereum congestion, and as the Ethereum ecosystem develops, applications and users are expected to increase.
2. Injective Protocol (INJ): An innovative derivatives trading protocol that supports cross-chain trading of multiple financial products. The Layer 2 architecture enables high-speed, gas-free transactions and allows for the creation of personal derivatives markets, with community governance driving development.
3. Gala (GALA): Active in the blockchain gaming and NFT space. Under the trend of integrating gaming with blockchain, it continuously launches high-quality projects, which may attract more players and users.
4. Render Token (RNDR): A GPU rendering network for digital creators. The growth of AI and 3D content drives the demand for rendering, giving RNDR the opportunity to expand its market.
5. StarkNet (STARK): A pioneer of Ethereum Layer 2, utilizing zero-knowledge rollup technology to offer low costs and high performance. With frequent on-chain activities, rapid ecosystem expansion, strong community support, and a clear technological roadmap.
6. Oasis Network (ROSE): Excelling in privacy protection technology, widely applied in DeFi and data tokenization. With increasing emphasis on data security, it is expected to leverage this advantage to expand its market.
7. Celestia (TIA): A modular design that separates consensus and data availability; its innovative design may revolutionize blockchain scalability. If the technology is successfully deployed and promoted, it could lead the industry.
8. Kadena (KDA): Features high scalability, low fees, and fast transaction characteristics, making it a star project in the blockchain space. Technological innovations may lead future developments, attracting more users and projects.
9. MultiversX (EGLD): A leader in the decentralized applications and metaverse space. By capitalizing on the metaverse trend, it may gain more development opportunities in this field, enhancing token value.
The cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain and risky, with significant price volatility; investments must be approached with caution. This article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Do not get lost in the market fluctuations; click the avatar to listen live. #BTC☀️
1. Arbitrum (ARB): An Ethereum Layer 2 solution that reduces transaction fees and speeds up processing. It provides a better alternative during Ethereum congestion, and as the Ethereum ecosystem develops, applications and users are expected to increase.
2. Injective Protocol (INJ): An innovative derivatives trading protocol that supports cross-chain trading of multiple financial products. The Layer 2 architecture enables high-speed, gas-free transactions and allows for the creation of personal derivatives markets, with community governance driving development.
3. Gala (GALA): Active in the blockchain gaming and NFT space. Under the trend of integrating gaming with blockchain, it continuously launches high-quality projects, which may attract more players and users.
4. Render Token (RNDR): A GPU rendering network for digital creators. The growth of AI and 3D content drives the demand for rendering, giving RNDR the opportunity to expand its market.
5. StarkNet (STARK): A pioneer of Ethereum Layer 2, utilizing zero-knowledge rollup technology to offer low costs and high performance. With frequent on-chain activities, rapid ecosystem expansion, strong community support, and a clear technological roadmap.
6. Oasis Network (ROSE): Excelling in privacy protection technology, widely applied in DeFi and data tokenization. With increasing emphasis on data security, it is expected to leverage this advantage to expand its market.
7. Celestia (TIA): A modular design that separates consensus and data availability; its innovative design may revolutionize blockchain scalability. If the technology is successfully deployed and promoted, it could lead the industry.
8. Kadena (KDA): Features high scalability, low fees, and fast transaction characteristics, making it a star project in the blockchain space. Technological innovations may lead future developments, attracting more users and projects.
9. MultiversX (EGLD): A leader in the decentralized applications and metaverse space. By capitalizing on the metaverse trend, it may gain more development opportunities in this field, enhancing token value.
The cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain and risky, with significant price volatility; investments must be approached with caution. This article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Do not get lost in the market fluctuations; click the avatar to listen live. #BTC☀️
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DOGE Life or Death: The Battle to Defend the $0.3 Support
Dogecoin (DOGE), as the leading meme coin in the cryptocurrency sector, particularly attracts the attention of crypto enthusiasts in the current turbulent cryptocurrency market.
On Monday, the overall cryptocurrency market rebounded, but Elon Musk's naming of the advisory office as the new Presidential Efficiency Department (DOGE), a move laden with implications, did not drive the price of Dogecoin up.
According to Santiment analysis, the market sentiment for Dogecoin improved on Monday. Since the market cap peaked a month ago, Dogecoin's market cap has fallen by 28%, and the market sentiment has been at an extremely low level for nearly a year. This indicates that once the cryptocurrency market warms up, contrarian investing in Dogecoin may yield substantial returns.
Previously, Peter Mathers from TradingLounge predicted through Elliott Wave patterns that Dogecoin is expected to rise to $0.48, and even challenge $0.61.
Market data shows that in the past 48 hours, Dogecoin worth $54 million has flowed out of exchanges, indicating that long-term holders are accumulating or hoarding coins at low prices before Trump's inauguration.
In January, cryptocurrency whales have been unusually active in the Dogecoin market. From January 9 to 10, whales purchased 470 million Dogecoins within 48 hours, and earlier this month, they splurged on 1 billion Dogecoins within just 24 hours. The continued entry of large investors indicates their confidence in Dogecoin.
The derivatives market is also sending positive signals. At the beginning of the month, more than 81% of the open contracts for Binance Dogecoin futures were long positions.
Currently, the price of Dogecoin has reached a critical point, just hitting the strong support level of $0.30. The last time Dogecoin dropped to this price level, it immediately rebounded over 25%, rising to $0.40. Technical analysis indicates that if it holds at $0.30 this time, Dogecoin is likely to continue upward; if it breaks down, it may fall 25% to $0.225.
At present, the trading price of Dogecoin is around $0.318, having dropped over 6.5% in the past 24 hours, but trading volume surged by 60%, highlighting the enthusiasm of investors and traders amidst market uncertainty.
Dogecoin (DOGE), as the leading meme coin in the cryptocurrency sector, particularly attracts the attention of crypto enthusiasts in the current turbulent cryptocurrency market.
On Monday, the overall cryptocurrency market rebounded, but Elon Musk's naming of the advisory office as the new Presidential Efficiency Department (DOGE), a move laden with implications, did not drive the price of Dogecoin up.
According to Santiment analysis, the market sentiment for Dogecoin improved on Monday. Since the market cap peaked a month ago, Dogecoin's market cap has fallen by 28%, and the market sentiment has been at an extremely low level for nearly a year. This indicates that once the cryptocurrency market warms up, contrarian investing in Dogecoin may yield substantial returns.
Previously, Peter Mathers from TradingLounge predicted through Elliott Wave patterns that Dogecoin is expected to rise to $0.48, and even challenge $0.61.
Market data shows that in the past 48 hours, Dogecoin worth $54 million has flowed out of exchanges, indicating that long-term holders are accumulating or hoarding coins at low prices before Trump's inauguration.
In January, cryptocurrency whales have been unusually active in the Dogecoin market. From January 9 to 10, whales purchased 470 million Dogecoins within 48 hours, and earlier this month, they splurged on 1 billion Dogecoins within just 24 hours. The continued entry of large investors indicates their confidence in Dogecoin.
The derivatives market is also sending positive signals. At the beginning of the month, more than 81% of the open contracts for Binance Dogecoin futures were long positions.
Currently, the price of Dogecoin has reached a critical point, just hitting the strong support level of $0.30. The last time Dogecoin dropped to this price level, it immediately rebounded over 25%, rising to $0.40. Technical analysis indicates that if it holds at $0.30 this time, Dogecoin is likely to continue upward; if it breaks down, it may fall 25% to $0.225.
At present, the trading price of Dogecoin is around $0.318, having dropped over 6.5% in the past 24 hours, but trading volume surged by 60%, highlighting the enthusiasm of investors and traders amidst market uncertainty.
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Confident that a Bull Market is Coming, The Dawn of the Cryptocurrency Circle is Already Visible
Will the cryptocurrency circle welcome a bull market again? The answer is certainly yes! Various signs indicate that the footsteps of the bull market are quietly approaching.
First, from the data of Bitcoin's exchange inventory, its current inventory on exchanges continues to decline and has reached the lowest level in eight years. This phenomenon fully illustrates that retail investors in the current market are panicking and selling, while large holders are quietly moving Bitcoin to wallets for storage. Meanwhile, the number of on-chain addresses holding more than one Bitcoin has recently surged. This reduction and increase reveals the subtle shift of market forces between bulls and bears. The continuous accumulation of Bitcoin by large holders undoubtedly reflects confidence in the future rise of the coin price.
Secondly, the repayment plan of FTX has injected a shot of adrenaline into the market. It is reported that the first round of repayments from FTX is expected to start in February, aimed at creditors with claims under $50,000, totaling approximately $1.2 billion. There will also be over $10 billion in funds to be repaid subsequently. Once these funds flow into the market, they will bring considerable new purchasing power to the cryptocurrency circle, effectively promoting the recovery and upward movement of the market.
Furthermore, since Trump was elected last November, the number of Bitcoin addresses holding over 100 BTC has surged by 8.6%. This data clearly shows that investors with strong financial power are actively positioning themselves in Bitcoin, further proving the market's high recognition and expectation for Bitcoin's future value.
In addition, the recent continuous issuance of USDC has led to a significant amount of USDT inflow in major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance. Once these funds enter the market, they are quickly used to buy Bitcoin at lower prices and moved to on-chain storage. This series of operations undoubtedly indicates that institutions and large holders are seizing the current opportunity to actively enter the market. Their actions are not impulsive but are based on a precise judgment of market trends. Institutional buying usually does not happen all at once, but adopts a layered accumulation strategy to gradually collect chips.
In this cryptocurrency game, every market pullback becomes a touchstone for both bulls and bears. Some sell out of fear, missing future wealth appreciation opportunities; while others, with sharp insight and firm belief, greedily absorb chips during the pullback.
In the current cryptocurrency circle, we only need to remain calm and wait for the full outbreak of the bull market.
Will the cryptocurrency circle welcome a bull market again? The answer is certainly yes! Various signs indicate that the footsteps of the bull market are quietly approaching.
First, from the data of Bitcoin's exchange inventory, its current inventory on exchanges continues to decline and has reached the lowest level in eight years. This phenomenon fully illustrates that retail investors in the current market are panicking and selling, while large holders are quietly moving Bitcoin to wallets for storage. Meanwhile, the number of on-chain addresses holding more than one Bitcoin has recently surged. This reduction and increase reveals the subtle shift of market forces between bulls and bears. The continuous accumulation of Bitcoin by large holders undoubtedly reflects confidence in the future rise of the coin price.
Secondly, the repayment plan of FTX has injected a shot of adrenaline into the market. It is reported that the first round of repayments from FTX is expected to start in February, aimed at creditors with claims under $50,000, totaling approximately $1.2 billion. There will also be over $10 billion in funds to be repaid subsequently. Once these funds flow into the market, they will bring considerable new purchasing power to the cryptocurrency circle, effectively promoting the recovery and upward movement of the market.
Furthermore, since Trump was elected last November, the number of Bitcoin addresses holding over 100 BTC has surged by 8.6%. This data clearly shows that investors with strong financial power are actively positioning themselves in Bitcoin, further proving the market's high recognition and expectation for Bitcoin's future value.
In addition, the recent continuous issuance of USDC has led to a significant amount of USDT inflow in major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance. Once these funds enter the market, they are quickly used to buy Bitcoin at lower prices and moved to on-chain storage. This series of operations undoubtedly indicates that institutions and large holders are seizing the current opportunity to actively enter the market. Their actions are not impulsive but are based on a precise judgment of market trends. Institutional buying usually does not happen all at once, but adopts a layered accumulation strategy to gradually collect chips.
In this cryptocurrency game, every market pullback becomes a touchstone for both bulls and bears. Some sell out of fear, missing future wealth appreciation opportunities; while others, with sharp insight and firm belief, greedily absorb chips during the pullback.
In the current cryptocurrency circle, we only need to remain calm and wait for the full outbreak of the bull market.
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Yesterday afternoon publicly suggested to short, the strategy was accurately validated, the price of the coin broke below the 90,000 mark, and the bears achieved great success.
From the current market perspective, BTC formed a V-shaped reversal last night, with the price dropping to the 89,000 area, followed by a rebound of 4,000 points, once again approaching the 93,000 area. Currently, from an hourly level, the Bollinger Bands have not touched the middle track, and the short-term bearish strength remains quite strong. The support in this area has not been broken yet, but whether it can hold still needs further verification. In the future, the operation can continue to adopt a high short layout strategy.
Operating suggestions are as follows:
BTC: Short near the rebound to 93,000-92,300, targeting around 91,000-88,000. If this support does not break, a reversal to go long can be arranged.
ETH: Short near the rebound to 3,080-3,050, targeting around 2,980-2,880. #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH $BTC $ETH
From the current market perspective, BTC formed a V-shaped reversal last night, with the price dropping to the 89,000 area, followed by a rebound of 4,000 points, once again approaching the 93,000 area. Currently, from an hourly level, the Bollinger Bands have not touched the middle track, and the short-term bearish strength remains quite strong. The support in this area has not been broken yet, but whether it can hold still needs further verification. In the future, the operation can continue to adopt a high short layout strategy.
Operating suggestions are as follows:
BTC: Short near the rebound to 93,000-92,300, targeting around 91,000-88,000. If this support does not break, a reversal to go long can be arranged.
ETH: Short near the rebound to 3,080-3,050, targeting around 2,980-2,880. #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH $BTC $ETH
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The drop has arrived as expected, Bitcoin and Ethereum have accurately validated #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH .
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January 13 Financial Market Volatility: Bitcoin Plummets, Dollar Breaks 100, Tesla Suffers
On January 13, the external financial markets experienced severe fluctuations.
The price of Bitcoin suddenly plunged, dropping by $5,700 per coin within half a day, and as of the time of this report, it stands at $90,300 per coin. As a result, the cryptocurrency market saw widespread declines, with Ethereum dropping over 4% and Dogecoin falling nearly 5%. In the past 24 hours, nearly 170,000 people faced liquidation, amounting to $400 million. Bitcoin's increase exceeded 120% in 2024, stimulated by news of Trump's election victory in November last year, surpassing $100,000 per coin in early December. However, it subsequently fluctuated and corrected due to profit-taking by investors and expectations of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. On January 6, it again broke the $100,000 mark. Wall Street analyst Katie Stockton predicts that Bitcoin faces short-term selling risks, with support levels possibly at $84,500 per coin or even $73,800 per coin, but remains optimistic in the long term. Overall, institutions maintain a positive outlook on Bitcoin's long-term performance.
On the same day, the U.S. dollar index continued to rise, breaking 110. Following the release of a strong non-farm payroll report last Friday, Goldman Sachs raised its dollar forecasts, believing that the robust U.S. economy, combined with tariffs driving inflation, may slow the Federal Reserve's monetary easing pace. They expect the dollar to rise about 5% in the coming year, with further strengthening risks, marking the second time Goldman Sachs has revised its dollar forecast upward in two months.
Tesla's pre-market stock price also experienced significant volatility, dropping over 3% at one point. Europe's largest pension fund, ABP, disclosed that it sold its entire holding of €571 million (approximately $585 million) in Tesla shares in the third quarter of last year, partly due to disagreements over Musk's compensation plan, while also considering costs, returns, and investment responsibility requirements. ABP had voted against the plan in June last year, calling it 'controversial and excessive,' although the plan was still approved by Tesla shareholders at that time. ABP stated that it does not regret this liquidation, emphasizing its long-term investor identity and noting that it is unrelated to Musk's political role. Last month, Musk's Tesla compensation plan was again rejected by a Delaware judge, with the plan originally valued at $2.6 billion rising to $56 billion upon cancellation. #BTC $BTC
On January 13, the external financial markets experienced severe fluctuations.
The price of Bitcoin suddenly plunged, dropping by $5,700 per coin within half a day, and as of the time of this report, it stands at $90,300 per coin. As a result, the cryptocurrency market saw widespread declines, with Ethereum dropping over 4% and Dogecoin falling nearly 5%. In the past 24 hours, nearly 170,000 people faced liquidation, amounting to $400 million. Bitcoin's increase exceeded 120% in 2024, stimulated by news of Trump's election victory in November last year, surpassing $100,000 per coin in early December. However, it subsequently fluctuated and corrected due to profit-taking by investors and expectations of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. On January 6, it again broke the $100,000 mark. Wall Street analyst Katie Stockton predicts that Bitcoin faces short-term selling risks, with support levels possibly at $84,500 per coin or even $73,800 per coin, but remains optimistic in the long term. Overall, institutions maintain a positive outlook on Bitcoin's long-term performance.
On the same day, the U.S. dollar index continued to rise, breaking 110. Following the release of a strong non-farm payroll report last Friday, Goldman Sachs raised its dollar forecasts, believing that the robust U.S. economy, combined with tariffs driving inflation, may slow the Federal Reserve's monetary easing pace. They expect the dollar to rise about 5% in the coming year, with further strengthening risks, marking the second time Goldman Sachs has revised its dollar forecast upward in two months.
Tesla's pre-market stock price also experienced significant volatility, dropping over 3% at one point. Europe's largest pension fund, ABP, disclosed that it sold its entire holding of €571 million (approximately $585 million) in Tesla shares in the third quarter of last year, partly due to disagreements over Musk's compensation plan, while also considering costs, returns, and investment responsibility requirements. ABP had voted against the plan in June last year, calling it 'controversial and excessive,' although the plan was still approved by Tesla shareholders at that time. ABP stated that it does not regret this liquidation, emphasizing its long-term investor identity and noting that it is unrelated to Musk's political role. Last month, Musk's Tesla compensation plan was again rejected by a Delaware judge, with the plan originally valued at $2.6 billion rising to $56 billion upon cancellation. #BTC $BTC
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On the morning of January 13, 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ oil was up, winning 2️⃣ consecutive victories!
BTC rebounded, and the real market was 2️⃣ times. It once again won 1️⃣3️⃣0️⃣0️⃣, and the harvest was 4️⃣1️⃣1️⃣2️⃣ oil! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
BTC rebounded, and the real market was 2️⃣ times. It once again won 1️⃣3️⃣0️⃣0️⃣, and the harvest was 4️⃣1️⃣1️⃣2️⃣ oil! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
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Today, the market for Bitcoin has shown a clear downward trend. After a morning surge, it has been fluctuating downward, breaking the morning low, and the bearish atmosphere is strong.
Technically, the hourly MACD indicator is below the zero line, with the DIF line and DEA line diverging downward. The price has broken below the EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 moving averages, showing a bearish arrangement, with strong resistance from the upper moving averages, making a bullish reversal difficult in the short term.
However, the RSI indicator is close to the oversold area, indicating a short-term rebound demand in the market. During oversold conditions, it might prompt short covering and bottom-fishing funds to drive a rebound.
Based on this, the evening strategy maintains a rebound short-selling approach: short Bitcoin around 93500 - 94000 during the rebound, targeting 92000 - 91500; short Ethereum around 3180 - 3230 during the rebound, targeting 3100 - 3050. #BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH
Technically, the hourly MACD indicator is below the zero line, with the DIF line and DEA line diverging downward. The price has broken below the EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 moving averages, showing a bearish arrangement, with strong resistance from the upper moving averages, making a bullish reversal difficult in the short term.
However, the RSI indicator is close to the oversold area, indicating a short-term rebound demand in the market. During oversold conditions, it might prompt short covering and bottom-fishing funds to drive a rebound.
Based on this, the evening strategy maintains a rebound short-selling approach: short Bitcoin around 93500 - 94000 during the rebound, targeting 92000 - 91500; short Ethereum around 3180 - 3230 during the rebound, targeting 3100 - 3050. #BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH
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Today, the market for Bitcoin has shown a clear downward trend. After a morning surge, it has been fluctuating downward, breaking the morning low, and the bearish atmosphere is strong.
Technically, the hourly MACD indicator is below the zero line, with the DIF line and DEA line diverging downward. The price has broken below the EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 moving averages, showing a bearish arrangement, with strong resistance from the upper moving averages, making a bullish reversal difficult in the short term.
However, the RSI indicator is close to the oversold area, indicating a short-term rebound demand in the market. During oversold conditions, it might prompt short covering and bottom-fishing funds to drive a rebound.
Based on this, the evening strategy maintains a rebound short-selling approach: short Bitcoin around 93500 - 94000 during the rebound, targeting 92000 - 91500; short Ethereum around 3180 - 3230 during the rebound, targeting 3100 - 3050. #BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH
Technically, the hourly MACD indicator is below the zero line, with the DIF line and DEA line diverging downward. The price has broken below the EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 moving averages, showing a bearish arrangement, with strong resistance from the upper moving averages, making a bullish reversal difficult in the short term.
However, the RSI indicator is close to the oversold area, indicating a short-term rebound demand in the market. During oversold conditions, it might prompt short covering and bottom-fishing funds to drive a rebound.
Based on this, the evening strategy maintains a rebound short-selling approach: short Bitcoin around 93500 - 94000 during the rebound, targeting 92000 - 91500; short Ethereum around 3180 - 3230 during the rebound, targeting 3100 - 3050. #BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH
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On the morning of January 13, 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ oil was above the bottom, and a good start was made!
BTC surged in the morning, and Shipanbu Jukongdan followed up to see a decline. The precise stop profit was 1️⃣3️⃣0️⃣0️⃣, and the harvest was 3️⃣9️⃣1️⃣5️⃣ oil! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
BTC surged in the morning, and Shipanbu Jukongdan followed up to see a decline. The precise stop profit was 1️⃣3️⃣0️⃣0️⃣, and the harvest was 3️⃣9️⃣1️⃣5️⃣ oil! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
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Global Financial Market Shock: Bitcoin Plummets, Chinese Assets Rise Against the Trend
Recently, the global financial market has undergone dramatic changes. Bitcoin's price has plummeted, leading to over 150,000 individuals facing liquidation, while Chinese assets have risen against the trend, becoming a bright spot in the turmoil.
Bitcoin's Plunge Triggers Market Turmoil
In the past week, the global financial market has been filled with despair, with various asset prices declining. Bitcoin has dropped sharply from its historical highs, causing concern among investors. Over 150,000 people globally have faced liquidation during this drop, a sight that has been rare in recent years.
The plunge in Bitcoin is attributed to rising expectations of interest rate hikes in the United States and increasing global economic uncertainty, prompting investors to avoid riskier assets, with highly volatile Bitcoin being the first to suffer. Retail investors who blindly chased the rally were caught off guard when the market reversed, leading to continuous liquidations. Meanwhile, traditional financial markets have not been spared, as stock markets, commodity markets, and bond markets have all been impacted, forcing investors to reassess their portfolios and spreading panic, resulting in a gloomy market outlook.
Reasons for the Rise of Chinese Assets Against the Trend
Amidst this storm, the Chinese stock market and certain assets have risen against the current, with high-quality technology and consumer stocks performing remarkably. The reasons behind this include:
- Policy Support: The government has launched a series of stimulus policies, accelerating infrastructure projects, investing in new energy, and emphasizing technological innovation, injecting vitality into the market.
- Domestic Demand Support: While the global economy is slowing down, China's consumption capacity is steadily increasing, laying a solid foundation for business development.
- International Favor: In the process of capital market internationalization, the Chinese market has gradually matured, with continuous inflows of foreign capital, especially favored by foreign investors during turbulent global market conditions.
Market Outlook and Investment Reminder
However, not everyone is optimistic about the Chinese market. Analysts warn that although the current performance is good, external risks must still be taken seriously, as the global economic situation is complex and the future is full of uncertainties.
Recently, the financial market has experienced significant fluctuations, and investors need to remain calm and make cautious decisions. The contrasting performance of the Chinese market reminds us that opportunities and risks coexist, and one should seek new chances amid volatility. The financial market is ever-changing; only by grasping dynamics and adjusting strategies in a timely manner can one establish a foothold.
Recently, the global financial market has undergone dramatic changes. Bitcoin's price has plummeted, leading to over 150,000 individuals facing liquidation, while Chinese assets have risen against the trend, becoming a bright spot in the turmoil.
Bitcoin's Plunge Triggers Market Turmoil
In the past week, the global financial market has been filled with despair, with various asset prices declining. Bitcoin has dropped sharply from its historical highs, causing concern among investors. Over 150,000 people globally have faced liquidation during this drop, a sight that has been rare in recent years.
The plunge in Bitcoin is attributed to rising expectations of interest rate hikes in the United States and increasing global economic uncertainty, prompting investors to avoid riskier assets, with highly volatile Bitcoin being the first to suffer. Retail investors who blindly chased the rally were caught off guard when the market reversed, leading to continuous liquidations. Meanwhile, traditional financial markets have not been spared, as stock markets, commodity markets, and bond markets have all been impacted, forcing investors to reassess their portfolios and spreading panic, resulting in a gloomy market outlook.
Reasons for the Rise of Chinese Assets Against the Trend
Amidst this storm, the Chinese stock market and certain assets have risen against the current, with high-quality technology and consumer stocks performing remarkably. The reasons behind this include:
- Policy Support: The government has launched a series of stimulus policies, accelerating infrastructure projects, investing in new energy, and emphasizing technological innovation, injecting vitality into the market.
- Domestic Demand Support: While the global economy is slowing down, China's consumption capacity is steadily increasing, laying a solid foundation for business development.
- International Favor: In the process of capital market internationalization, the Chinese market has gradually matured, with continuous inflows of foreign capital, especially favored by foreign investors during turbulent global market conditions.
Market Outlook and Investment Reminder
However, not everyone is optimistic about the Chinese market. Analysts warn that although the current performance is good, external risks must still be taken seriously, as the global economic situation is complex and the future is full of uncertainties.
Recently, the financial market has experienced significant fluctuations, and investors need to remain calm and make cautious decisions. The contrasting performance of the Chinese market reminds us that opportunities and risks coexist, and one should seek new chances amid volatility. The financial market is ever-changing; only by grasping dynamics and adjusting strategies in a timely manner can one establish a foothold.
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Yesterday, the price of Bitcoin fell sharply, almost wiping out all the gains this week, and the market seemed to have returned to the starting point. At present, the key point of 91,000 cannot be ignored. After the price touched this point many times before, it quickly stopped falling and rebounded upward, which shows that the support below is relatively strong.
From the four-hour K-line chart, if the price of Bitcoin can rebound and break through 95,000, stabilize above this price and complete a closing, it can be preliminarily confirmed as a short-term stop-loss signal. Once the price continues to break through 98,000, the overall market pattern will turn from weak to strong, and it is expected to usher in a new round of rises, and it is believed that the next high point of the rise will exceed 102,700.
Suggestions for short-term band operations at noon, you can go long first and then short:
Bitcoin retests around 93300 - 93800 to go long, the target is 96800 - 98000;
Ethereum retests around 3220 - 3260 to go long, the target is 3350 - 3450.#BTC #BTC走势分析 #美国非农数据即将公布 $BTC
From the four-hour K-line chart, if the price of Bitcoin can rebound and break through 95,000, stabilize above this price and complete a closing, it can be preliminarily confirmed as a short-term stop-loss signal. Once the price continues to break through 98,000, the overall market pattern will turn from weak to strong, and it is expected to usher in a new round of rises, and it is believed that the next high point of the rise will exceed 102,700.
Suggestions for short-term band operations at noon, you can go long first and then short:
Bitcoin retests around 93300 - 93800 to go long, the target is 96800 - 98000;
Ethereum retests around 3220 - 3260 to go long, the target is 3350 - 3450.#BTC #BTC走势分析 #美国非农数据即将公布 $BTC
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Today's flight warning! Tonight at 21:30, the cryptocurrency market will face a data storm. The two key data, the US unemployment rate in December and the seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in December, will be released at the same time, and the importance rating is ★★★★★. Its influence is huge, and it will instantly change the direction of the cryptocurrency market and cause large fluctuations. Investors must keep a close eye on the data, strictly set stop losses, prepare for strategy adjustments in advance, and seize opportunities. #BTC #美国非农数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 $BTC