Has the market stabilized? When will the trend reverse? Please see the following market analysis and operational suggestions!
Happy weekend! This week we experienced a large pullback after the rebound. Continuous negative news has made many retail investors hesitant to enter the market!
The specific negative news is as follows: 1️⃣ Initially, job vacancy data exceeded expectations significantly. 2️⃣ Then there were reports that the U.S. plans to sell $6.5 billion worth of BTC to crash the market. 3️⃣ Yesterday, the non-farm payroll data also exceeded expectations significantly, causing a surge in U.S. Treasury yields.
Next week, after the strong non-farm payroll report, CPI will make a significant appearance! On Wednesday (January 15), the CPI for December will be announced at 9:30 PM. It is expected that the cryptocurrency market will not see significant gains before the CPI announcement! After the CPI is released, there are two scenarios: (1) If the negative news materializes, there might be a slight dip, followed by a rebound due to expectations of Trump taking office. (2) If the CPI is below expectations, it could positively impact a rebound in the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, the probability of an increase next week is greater than that of a decrease! Because Trump is expected to impose tariffs on trade partners after taking office, and the Federal Reserve is likely to continue to slow down interest rate cuts. On Friday, the non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, causing the dollar to surge in the short term, closing this week at 109.64, marking six consecutive weeks of gains.
Current expectations for interest rate cuts have dropped to a freezing point!! Expectations for tariff policies after Trump takes office have also been released. If subsequent data or introduced policies can reverse expectations, then it is highly likely that BTC will return to high levels! So these days are about patiently waiting and holding positions! Do not lose your bottom chips!!
If Bitcoin falls below the support level around 90,680 USD, it may face a larger decline.
In the past five days, the price of Bitcoin has dropped by 3.9%, but it rose by 2.6% this Friday, trading at around 94,061 USD, currently down about 13.2% from the historical high of 108,309 USD set on December 17, 2024.
Bitcoin is forming a head-and-shoulders pattern, which is a chart pattern in technical analysis that predicts a reversal from a bullish trend to a bearish trend. If Bitcoin breaks below the support level of around 90,680 USD, it could face a drop to 80,370 USD.
Follow me for more information and insights in the cryptocurrency space.
Investing in A-shares is similar to the ancient method of squeezing oil. It takes 5,000 hits to produce 100 kilograms of oil. Eight years ago, Trump was about to take office. On January 10, 2017, the Shanghai Composite Index was 3,161 points; eight years later, Trump is about to take office again. On January 10, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index was 3,168 points. In the meantime, how many good news did the A-share regulators release? In exchange for a 7-point increase? Why are A-shares not in line with international standards?
The People's Bank of China has suspended its purchase of treasury bonds in the open market. Previously, China's long-term treasury bond yields hit new lows in recent weeks under the expectation of policy easing. As for the reason for suspending the purchase of treasury bonds, the People's Bank of China said on Friday that the government bond market has been in short supply recently.
TSMC's revenue in the October-December quarter last year was NT$868.5 billion (US$26 billion), and its annual revenue totaled NT$2.9 trillion, a year-on-year increase of nearly 34%. The company's U.S.-listed shares have risen 89% in 2024, the best annual performance since 1999.
TSMC produces most of the world's AI computing chips for market leaders such as Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Amazon and Google. These companies also use TSMC's advanced chip packaging technology CoWoS to combine AI processors with high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips to improve performance. TSMC also serves most leading chip developers including Apple, Qualcomm and MediaTek. MediaTek is Taiwan's leading mobile chip manufacturer and recently launched an AI personal computer in cooperation with Nvidia. TSMC also helps Intel manufacture processors, and the US tech giant, which has been heavily subsidized by the Biden administration, has had to postpone the internal production of some chips.
U.S. stocks rose 24% last year, and you can make money lying down without moving. Although it is currently facing a rebound in inflation and there is no hope for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in February, the current stock market retreat is considered to be squeezing the bubble. Many technology stocks are overvalued, which does pose great resistance to future gains. However, as long as investment and research and development continue in the field of artificial intelligence, new social forms and technologies will continue to develop. In 2025, the stock market should continue to rise. The cryptocurrency market will also continue to rise. If only Trump's national reserve plan is implemented, then a surge to 200,000 is possible. Recently, it has fallen back, so it is better to buy at low prices, wait quietly, and hold the currency for a rise.Others, no problem, just go to the square and chime. $BTC
To be honest, Uni is still very reliable. Every round of rise, it won't be missed. After all, it's the leader in dex. If you need to get in, get in. Being stuck means the profit is about to start. I can't speak for other coins, but Uni is still quite good. This wave should easily double. $UNI #非农数据大幅超出预期
In 10 days, the trend of crypto market may be clear
In the next 10 days, the trend of cryptocurrency market may usher in a key turning point. Although the recent market sentiment remains sluggish and investor confidence is slightly weak, there are many signs that the crypto market is expected to usher in a round of recovery in 2025.
Industry insiders revealed that the cryptocurrency industry is actively lobbying the US government to ask the Trump administration to issue an executive order within 100 days of taking office to establish a US Bitcoin reserve. The move aims to ensure that the crypto industry has access to banking services and plans to establish a dedicated cryptocurrency advisory committee.
On the other hand, the fundamentals of the crypto market remain strong. Despite the overall market downturn, the net outflow trend of centralized exchanges (CEX) continues. More and more investors choose to hold assets for the long term rather than panic selling due to short-term price fluctuations. These behaviors reflect that investors are positive about the long-term development of cryptocurrencies and expect the market to recover after a short-term adjustment.
In addition, the regulatory environment for altcoins is expected to improve in 2025. In 2025, altcoins will benefit from changes in the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies, especially the SEC's possible relaxation of regulatory pressure on altcoins, which will provide a more relaxed policy environment for the launch of more crypto projects.
In summary, although the current market environment is relatively difficult, with the gradual implementation of policy support and the recovery of investor confidence, the cryptocurrency market in 2025 is expected to gradually recover and may usher in a new peak of development.
I am Shaohua, follow me and bring you more information and consultation in the cryptocurrency circle.
In 10 days, the trend of crypto market may be clear
In the next 10 days, the trend of cryptocurrency market may usher in a key turning point. Although the recent market sentiment remains sluggish and investor confidence is slightly weak, there are many signs that the crypto market is expected to usher in a round of recovery in 2025.
Industry insiders revealed that the cryptocurrency industry is actively lobbying the US government to ask the Trump administration to issue an executive order within 100 days of taking office to establish a US Bitcoin reserve. The move aims to ensure that the crypto industry has access to banking services and plans to establish a dedicated cryptocurrency advisory committee.
On the other hand, the fundamentals of the crypto market remain strong. Despite the overall market downturn, the net outflow trend of centralized exchanges (CEX) continues. More and more investors choose to hold assets for the long term rather than panic selling due to short-term price fluctuations. These behaviors reflect that investors are positive about the long-term development of cryptocurrencies and expect the market to recover after a short-term adjustment.
In addition, the regulatory environment for altcoins is expected to improve in 2025. In 2025, altcoins will benefit from changes in the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies, especially the SEC's possible relaxation of regulatory pressure on altcoins, which will provide a more relaxed policy environment for the launch of more crypto projects.
In summary, although the current market environment is relatively difficult, with the gradual implementation of policy support and the recovery of investor confidence, the cryptocurrency market in 2025 is expected to gradually recover and may usher in a new peak of development.
I am Shaohua, follow me and bring you more information and consultation in the cryptocurrency circle.
In 10 days, the trend of crypto market may be clear
In the next 10 days, the trend of cryptocurrency market may usher in a key turning point. Although the recent market sentiment remains sluggish and investor confidence is slightly weak, there are many signs that the crypto market is expected to usher in a round of recovery in 2025.
Industry insiders revealed that the cryptocurrency industry is actively lobbying the US government to ask the Trump administration to issue an executive order within 100 days of taking office to establish a US Bitcoin reserve. The move aims to ensure that the crypto industry has access to banking services and plans to establish a dedicated cryptocurrency advisory committee.
On the other hand, the fundamentals of the crypto market remain strong. Despite the overall market downturn, the net outflow trend of centralized exchanges (CEX) continues. More and more investors choose to hold assets for the long term rather than panic selling due to short-term price fluctuations. These behaviors reflect that investors are positive about the long-term development of cryptocurrencies and expect the market to recover after a short-term adjustment.
In addition, the regulatory environment for altcoins is expected to improve in 2025. In 2025, altcoins will benefit from changes in the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies, especially the SEC's possible relaxation of regulatory pressure on altcoins, which will provide a more relaxed policy environment for the launch of more crypto projects.
In summary, although the current market environment is relatively difficult, with the gradual implementation of policy support and the recovery of investor confidence, the cryptocurrency market in 2025 is expected to gradually recover and may usher in a new peak of development.
I am Shaohua, follow me and bring you more information and consultation in the cryptocurrency circle.
Send Bitcoin red envelopes to brothers, a total of 10,000 red envelopes. The market is very bad, but it doesn’t matter, I will stick with Xin Ge and always be with you. Reply: Come on, automatically receive Bitcoin red envelopes
The new round of the 'One Fish, Many Eats' event is here: 🚀: Share a prize pool of 400,000 SOLV tokens! (Refresh daily at 8 AM, first 888 to qualify for airdrop) Rewards: 1. SOLV Airdrop Event 2. Proportional Commission Weekly Data Pull 🤏Event Rules: 1. Must be a new Binance user 2. Complete over 100 USDT in spot trading to earn 40 $SOLV 3. Complete over 1000 USDT in contract trading to earn 50 $SOLV 4. Rewards are first come, first served; daily prize pool opens at 8 AM and is limited to the first 888 registered users, while supplies last. Friends who want to participate, remember to rush in every morning at 8 AM! $90 SOLV pre-market at 0.5 each, should have a guaranteed 50 USDT, looking forward to hearing good news from everyone later! 🉑 By the way, for those who trade regularly, use the link to automatically discount 20% Contracts paid weekly 🔸Commission link: https://www.binance.com/join?ref=XBXFHXC1 Invitation code: XBXFHXC1 Event time: January 10, 2025, 08:00 to January 14, 2025, 07:59
How are you all doing after last night's back-and-forth pinning, both long and short explosions?
Sister Bei wants to say that this round of bull market is really too difficult. We waited for the positive employment data on January 8th, but the unemployment claims were disappointing, and then waited for the US stock market to open and see the results. When the non-farm payroll data was released last night, it was another wave of back-and-forth pinning. The current market situation is really full of twists and turns. Can we still have a good year? At this time, the market makers are really eyeing your chips. In this kind of back-and-forth market, many people have been liquidated, and many have been forced to cut losses and exit.
Let's continue to wait for the CPI data on the 15th. It's been about a week since Trump took office, how much longer can it drop? Everyone, weld the car doors shut and stay in the car. $BTC $ETH $SOL #非农数据大幅超出预期 #AIXBT、CGPT、COOKIE将上线币安 #AI概念币强势反弹 #比特币价格走势分析 #加密市场回调
In the past week, the crypto market has continued to fall.
After the news that the U.S. Department of Justice was allowed to sell the seized $6.5 billion of dark web Silk Road bitcoins was released, Bitcoin fell from $94,000 to below $92,000, exacerbating the panic in the market. Several Fed officials also said that they would adjust the interest rate policy, suggesting that the pace of interest rate cuts would be slowed down in 2025 and a tightening policy would be implemented. At the same time, under the influence of the Los Angeles wildfire, some analysts pointed out that many wealthy people sold crypto assets to rebuild their lives after the disaster. The various performances of the market have made investors worried about the future of the crypto market.
Russia has also begun to sell 1,032 bitcoins seized in the hacker group case. Under the influence of multiple factors, the crypto market fell again.
Affected by the overall upward trend, the total market value of cryptocurrencies has also fallen rapidly. At present, the total market value of cryptocurrencies has fallen to $3.4 trillion, a 24-hour drop of 3.4%. The trading enthusiasm of crypto users has also declined. Today, the panic and greed index is reported at 50, and the level has changed from greed to neutral.
In terms of derivatives trading, the entire network had a liquidation of $375 million in the past 24 hours, of which long orders had a liquidation of $260 million and short orders had a liquidation of $115 million. In terms of currencies, BTC had a liquidation of $99,743,500 and ETH had a liquidation of $6,966.81.
Follow me to bring you more information and consultation on the cryptocurrency circle.
In the past week, the crypto market has continued to fall.
After the news that the U.S. Department of Justice was allowed to sell the seized $6.5 billion of dark web Silk Road bitcoins was released, Bitcoin fell from $94,000 to below $92,000, exacerbating the panic in the market. Several Fed officials also said that they would adjust the interest rate policy, suggesting that the pace of interest rate cuts would be slowed down in 2025 and a tightening policy would be implemented. At the same time, under the influence of the Los Angeles wildfire, some analysts pointed out that many wealthy people sold crypto assets to rebuild their lives after the disaster. The various performances of the market have made investors worried about the future of the crypto market.
Russia has also begun to sell 1,032 bitcoins seized in the hacker group case. Under the influence of multiple factors, the crypto market fell again.
Affected by the overall upward trend, the total market value of cryptocurrencies has also fallen rapidly. At present, the total market value of cryptocurrencies has fallen to $3.4 trillion, a 24-hour drop of 3.4%. The trading enthusiasm of crypto users has also declined. Today, the panic and greed index is reported at 50, and the level has changed from greed to neutral.
In terms of derivatives trading, the entire network had a liquidation of $375 million in the past 24 hours, of which long orders had a liquidation of $260 million and short orders had a liquidation of $115 million. In terms of currencies, BTC had a liquidation of $99,743,500 and ETH had a liquidation of $6,966.81.
Follow me to bring you more information and consultation on the cryptocurrency circle.
Gain insight into the latest information in the cryptocurrency world and grasp market trends!
Summarize the latest and most comprehensive cryptocurrency news: 1. Morgan Stanley: The US non-farm payrolls report should reduce the likelihood of a near-term Fed rate cut 2. AI company Zenith announced that former CTO AI Agent "Byte" will take over as CEO 3. Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its June and December policy meetings respectively 3. New Hampshire proposes a bill to establish a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” 4. Citigroup: The next Fed rate cut is expected to be in May, compared with January previously. 5. Sam Altman’s World project completes 10 million human verifications 6. 110 million USDT transferred from Cobo to Binance (bottom-picking signal)
Recently, rumors of a collapse in the US stock market have spread rapidly. From my experience, this is caused by a valuation panic. Apple has also experienced such phenomena, where people doubted whether a company could have such a high valuation. Later, Tesla exploded its PE ratio, raising valuation questions. However, the dollar will continue to be printed, US debt will continue to expand, and AI will continue to develop. Don't miss the opportunity, just like the panic during the 2000 bubble; in hindsight, buying anywhere seems right.
After a significant employment report was released, the three major US stock indices all fell, and bond yields soared, pushing the dollar higher. LSEG data shows that traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by only 25 basis points this year.
Preliminary estimates indicate that the wildfires in Los Angeles have caused at least $135 billion in economic losses, which could reach nearly 4% of California's annual GDP. But this is just a rough estimate; since the wildfires are still ongoing, the actual direct/indirect losses will be significantly revised upwards. For comparison, the losses from the 2024 hurricane season in the US are close to $500 billion.
Recently, indeed, in certain cycles and at particular times, there tends to be a large amount of negative news. And with Trump in office, this negativity is even greater. Because this guy has mixed reviews from the outside world. Even a small disturbance can stir up huge waves. However, one thing is certain: the foundation that the American forefathers built and the systems they established have indeed maintained the stability of the United States. Freedom, democracy, and technology are the most important social elements. Technology continues to develop, although uncertainties and national events arise every year. However, the US stock market has been rising for 30 consecutive years. Only in America can we find Buffett; in other countries, most are just filling in the holes. Recently, the stock market has corrected and the cryptocurrency market has also corrected. Many people are in extreme panic, starting to feel that the cryptocurrency market is over again. But from a long-term perspective, maybe $100,000 for BTC could be the bottom in the future. We shouldn't look too far; recently, it's just advisable to accumulate in batches during pullbacks and to buy during sharp declines. If you miss this opportunity to get on board, then you will miss the lowest entry point in this bull market. I ask everyone, if it continues to fall, do you cut your losses or accumulate in batches at the bottom? Most value investors and cycle investors have one thing to say: don't be afraid, get on board. $BTC #非农数据大幅超出预期 #加密市场回调
Every time I get trapped, I want to cut my losses, but after a few days, it grows back. I've fallen for it so many times, I just can't change 😅
Crypto交易员朱一旦
--
Unity of Knowledge and Action
Brothers, hello everyone, I am trader Zhu Yici. Today I will talk about the unity of knowledge and action. I believe that you often hear this term. The unity of knowledge and action, as the name suggests, means to put your cognition into action. How many people can do just these four words? Just like a poor student like me, I knew the importance of studying when I was in school, but I just couldn't concentrate on learning; just like many energetic young men who know masturbation is bad, but they have to do it every now and then. The biggest enemy of the unity of knowledge and action is our sensibility. We have seven emotions and six desires, happiness, anger, sorrow, and joy. It is not just the psychological level of our emotions. From the perspective that matter determines consciousness, our brain is influenced and controlled by a variety of neurotransmitters, such as dopamine, adrenaline and endorphins.