When the cryptocurrency market is crazy, those who remind people of risks will be looked down upon. But in the long run, although Bitcoin is beautiful, the risks are approaching. Trump's election is good news, and everyone is greedy to enter the market, but I suggest reducing positions. Small-cycle divergence, insufficient upward momentum, and increased risks. With frequent good news, prices may continue to rise, but greed often leads to big defeats. Small currencies should reduce positions while they are high to lock in profits. Mentioning risks at this time seems to block people's wealth, but fear that the time to enter the market has not come yet. It is easy to stop loss, but difficult to stop profit. Market risks and opportunities coexist. Take risks and make decisions on your own. Don't get too excited. Short selling also has risks. Controlling positions is the key. The cryptocurrency market is not a casino, and contracts are not gambling tools. If you gamble with heavy positions, you will return to zero sooner or later. I don't predict prices, I only talk about risks. This is not bragging, but advice.
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In my eyes, the cryptocurrency world is like throwing 10,000 yuan in, not moving it for ten years, and not selling it even if it rises a hundred times. It is as stable as an old dog.
But the real cryptocurrency world is so exciting!
Situation 1: You rushed in with 10,000 yuan, and the next day you only had 5,000 yuan left. You were so panicked, as if you had lost your soul. You couldn't sleep well at night, and kept thinking about how the market was. You wondered whether you should sell your money and leave, thinking that you could just get your money back. As a result, after a month, it rose to 9,000 yuan, and you thought again, there is nothing left if you sell it, so you should stick to it and have confidence. But the price just didn't go up or down, as if it was teasing you. After half a year of grinding, your coins were fluctuating between 1,000 and 6,000 yuan, and your patience was worn out. Finally, when it was 6,000 yuan, you gritted your teeth and sold it, feeling so painful.
Situation 2: You threw 10,000 yuan in, and a few months later, hey, it rose to 12,000 yuan. You were so happy that you sold it quickly, thinking that you would buy it back when the price was lower. As a result, the price went up to 15,000 or 20,000. You got anxious and bought in again for fear of missing out. Now the cost doubled, but the price fell back to 6,000.
So, the first lesson in the cryptocurrency world is to learn how to lose money. You may not believe me, but this is the truth. Only when you have really lost money can you understand the depth of the water. Friends who have suffered losses, do you think this is the truth?
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Have you ever encountered this situation: as soon as you buy, it drops; as soon as you sell, it rises! It feels like the market is specifically watching our little amount of money, making us doubt whether we can predict the market in reverse. But when we actually try to operate in reverse, the result often remains the same, leaving us both amused and frustrated.
In fact, the truth is that the market doesn't care about our little antics at all. Every price point on the candlestick chart is a real record of a transaction that has taken place. There will always be unfortunate people who buy at high points and others who sell at low points, and that is completely normal.
We often have a deep memory of the "unfortunate events" that happen to us, feeling like these things happen frequently. But in reality, if we carefully tally it up, there may only be a few times out of a hundred trades where we truly got caught. However, those few instances leave such a deep impression that we overlook all the other normal trades.
This is why we need to introduce quantitative thinking into our investments. By analyzing historical data, we can see how likely we are to get stuck at the peak if we always trade with the same logic. This way, we can view our trading behavior more objectively.
Of course, historical data is not infallible; after all, past performance does not guarantee future results. But at least with this data, we can be less influenced by illusions. For example, stop thinking that the market is specifically targeting your little amount of money; that's just you magnifying a few unfortunate experiences.
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Holding Currency Secrets: Smart Investment Strategies in the Crypto World
In the digital age, investing in cryptocurrency has become a new path to wealth for many. Among them, 'holding currency'—that is, long-term accumulation of coins—is the choice of many investors. Today, let's discuss several key points about holding currency to help you invest more smoothly and avoid detours.
Understand Price Increase Patterns
Did you know? Throughout the year, cryptocurrencies often experience two major price increases: one from February to March, and another from November to December. However, in December, due to the Spring Festival, people tend to withdraw cash, which may cause prices to drop. Therefore, the best times to buy coins are usually from September to October and in January.
Understand Halving Cycles
Another pattern in cryptocurrency is the 'halving' that occurs every four years. This is quite important, as prices typically rise after each halving. For example, this happened in 2009, 2012, 2016, and 2020, and we should also pay attention to 2024.
Choose the Right Coins
When investing in cryptocurrency, choosing the right coins is crucial. Opt for coins that have been listed for more than 10 months and have strong fundamentals. Such coins offer more opportunities for profit and lower risks. Never follow trends to buy those weak coins.
Understand the World of Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrency is like a big family: Bitcoin is the leader, artificial intelligence is the brain, and Ethereum is the capable assistant. The first and second layers are like the spine and ribs, supporting the entire family. Those meme coins are like home decorations—look nice, but you need to recognize their true value.
Grasp Price Increase and Accumulation Cycles
After a significant rise, the market typically adjusts slowly over 2-3 years. During this time, we need to closely monitor the flow of funds, the circulating supply, and the unreleased coins so that we can make wise decisions.
Allocate Funds Wisely and Manage Risks
Don't put all your money in one basket. It may take a long time for prices to rebound, so patience is necessary. Use around 10 different coins to diversify your investments; this way, even if some drop, the overall investment can remain stable.
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The cryptocurrency market has passed the stage of getting rich overnight and is now on the road to formal financialization. It is time for capital giants to compete with each other.
Don't always think that you can increase your value by dozens or hundreds of times by just buying a coin. In the current market, there are very few coins that can increase by hundreds of times.
The bull market is really here, but it is not so easy to find coins that have increased by more than 50 times.
Second reminder
It sounds tempting to buy new shares in the primary market, with small investments and big returns, but you have to know that 99% of the projects will eventually return to zero, and the people who recommend you will not tell you this.
Recently, some small exchanges have been newly listed. Some KOLs may ask you not to move when they are quietly selling their shares, and they will run away first.
Third advice
Playing the full warehouse of the contract, the multiple is full, and you will make a lot of money, but you will also lose a lot.
The essence of currency speculation is to sell and roll. How much you make is not the key, you have to know how to operate.
Fourth reminder
When someone is frantically promoting a certain coin, it is often the time when the coin is about to reach its peak.
If you have it, you can consider withdrawing; if you don’t have it, entering the market at this time is likely to be a buyer.
Fifth reminder
Students should focus on their studies and trade in coins as a supplement; young people under 25 should improve themselves first and trade in coins as a supplement; those under 30 should find a stable job first and trade in coins as a supplement.
Trading is a protracted battle, not a matter of one or two days. Even if you are gifted, it will take five years to achieve financial freedom. Having a good side job is very helpful for successful trading.
Sixth old saying
Good fortune will not enter a family without virtue, and wealth will not enter a door of haste.
Water can nourish all things only when it is calm, and the same is true for trading. Don’t be proud of making money, and don’t blame yourself for losing money.
Profits and losses come from the same source, so summarize and reflect more. Emotional people can’t trade well.
Seventh reminder
Others won’t tell you about making money easily. If someone tells you how much you can earn from a certain coin, you have to be careful, because he may want to cut your leeks.
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Betting that Trump won't let the US stock market fall The earnings season is nearing its end, with Meituan (03690.HK), Zoom (ZM.O), Dell (DELL.N), and others reporting next week. This week, the "Trump trade" has once again become the tone of the US stock market. Fundstrat's Thomas Lee believes that given President Trump's deregulation plans and the prevailing "animal spirits", small-cap stocks and cyclical stocks still have room to rise. He also believes that "Trump put options" will keep the market active. The belief that Trump won't let the economy stagnate is helping the US stock market rise, at least for now. Lee believes: "When sentiment reaches the 'bullish extreme', that’s when we see stock prices 'perfectly'. From several perspectives, we have not yet reached that level." Bank of America's strategists believe that the Nasdaq 100 index has accumulated a gain of over 4% this month, and relative to the S&P 500 index, the Nasdaq 100 index is approaching a level that could trigger a market liquidation in the US stock market.
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These 8 altcoins have great potential and are expected to achieve 20-50 times growth:
1. $TON: Created by Telegram founder Pavel Durov, with a wide user base and promising prospects. 2. $SUI: The dark horse of this market cycle, with a strong rebound and excellent price performance. 3. PEPE: The leader among meme coins, setting the trend. 4. WLD: A pioneer project in the AI field, highly supported by Wall Street, with a bright future ahead. 5. TIA: The leader in the modular field, with a solid foundation and trustworthy. 6. SOL: The second-largest in the public chain ecosystem after ETH, with big capital investments, expected to achieve 10 times growth towards the end of the bull market. 7. ORDI: The leader in the inscription sector, currently an excellent opportunity to buy at the bottom. 8. ONDO: A star in the RWA field, receiving investments from Coinbase, Wall Street, and BlackRock.
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3. Getting liquidated during major pullbacks (usually there are 3-5 major pullbacks during the entire bull market)
4. Chasing different narratives at the wrong time
5. Paying attention to too many groups/channels
6. Being too greedy.
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The pie circle is quite fragmented. I know people in a few circles, but they basically don't know each other.
Each circle has its own way of playing. I feel that this is really a bit like the problem of educational environment. Why are school district houses so expensive? It's because many people want to choose a good school and have a good educational environment.
Although there are always people who can stand out in bad schools, the success rate is really low. It's the problem of 985 working for a junior college boss.
Looking back at the pie circle, there are circles for playing with money, circles for playing on the chain, and circles for playing with contracts. According to my observation, there are very few people who lose money on the chain and playing with money. And there are very few successful people in the contract circle
Many people may really be in contact with the circle problem. The groups they join are all playing contracts. Today, they see this high leverage earning several times and they are jealous, and tomorrow they see that they are jealous. They don't pay attention to those who have already left the circle.
It's probably like this, just like there are many people in technical schools who smoke, drink, fight and get tattoos. In that environment, it is really difficult to stay clean.
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If you want to make money by speculating in cryptocurrencies, remember these five points After understanding these five points, it will be difficult not to make money by speculating in cryptocurrencies!
First, the situation changes with time. There is no coin that keeps rising, so don't fall in love with any copycat coin. You will definitely be the one who gets hurt in the end.
Second, indicator parameters, mysterious cycles and mysterious numbers are just excuses for others to tell stories. They have nothing to do with whether you can make money. They will only make you lose more.
Third, accurately understanding the relationship between price and trading volume can help you make more money by taking fewer detours. If you want to make long-term stable profits, fully understanding the relationship between price and trading volume is an important entry ticket.
Fourth, admit defeat in time and save your strength. Don't believe the nonsense that there will be a reversal tomorrow. Many famous huge liquidation cases in the world are caused by refusing to admit defeat.
Fifth, it is better to learn to find the wind outlet instead of choosing coins, timing and opportunities. The wind outlet is a perpetual motion machine for making quick money. Once you have it, you will be extremely happy.
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Some people are called "giant babies" for a simple reason: in their eyes, everyone must be like their parents.
If the coin you mentioned drops, it's not okay because he fomo'ed in; If the coin you mentioned rises, it's not okay because he fears missing out.
If your cost is lower than his, that's not okay; you must be cutting leeks; If your cost is higher than his, that's not okay; you're a fool, and you're the worst.
All the world is bustling for his father, and all the world is clamoring for his mother.
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Many people's inertial thinking logic in the bull market is that if it goes up, it will fall sooner or later. So after shipping, they eagerly hope for a quick and large correction so that they can get on the train again. So they place orders at a very low point and wait blindly, resulting in a long period of time. For example, someone places an order at 150 to receive sol again. I confidently say that it will not be received within three months. Only when there is a black swan can the correction be so low. But in the bull market, if you gamble that there may be such a low probability event as a black swan, it is better to buy a double-color ball to try your luck. Every day of life is a probabilistic event, because there are countless meteorites next to the earth. Do you worry that it will hit you one day and hide in the air-raid shelter every day and year? Low-probability events are not something you should worry about in daily transactions.
Sol short-term small band bottom-fishing, each rebound is 10-20 points, missing out on three or five days is equivalent to a large correction bottom-fishing rebound mid-line profit space. There is no sign of a large correction at present, and you keep waiting. What money can you make if you miss out? Wait until others have made a lot of money, and then you go to buy the bottom when there is a real big correction. Others can already go into battle lightly, but you are still fighting under great pressure. The psychology and results are different.
Thinking logic and starting points of interests are based on human nature, that's right. But if the time span of "sooner or later" is too long, it loses its meaning. When your family members are sick, you need to spend a lot of money, and you may be left with regrets because you can't withdraw cash for two or three days. Time is the most precious money. When the opportunity comes, lock it firmly, work hard every day, earn what you should earn first, and leave the rest to God and fate.
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Why new things are awesome, lowercase, squirrel, goat, is because we secondary traders are buying in large quantities. Relying solely on holders won’t create space. There must be consensus, and a continuous listing will definitely lower the trading desire in the secondary market, which is also the reason for the recent sharp corrections. Similar to L2, but meme itself is much better than L2.
But it doesn’t matter. After those things that have never been speculated before are speculated, we can continue to pick up the meme prices that have returned for the second half of the speculation. Those who have traded know the elasticity of meme coins, the range is large, and the height is deep. Weak to strong only takes a moment.
I won't recommend specific targets anymore. If Bitcoin corrects, you can consider buying from perspectives like traffic, community, funds, or personal preferences, or how smoothly you did before.
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This week, SUI, OP, IMX, and 1INCH will experience significant token unlocks, with a total value exceeding 300 million dollars.
- SUI: 64.19 million tokens will be unlocked on December 1, valued at approximately 216 million dollars, accounting for 2.26% of the circulating supply;
- OP: 31.34 million tokens will be unlocked on November 30, valued at approximately 68.32 million dollars, accounting for 2.5%;
- IMX: 24.52 million tokens will be unlocked on November 29, valued at approximately 42.41 million dollars, accounting for 1.47%;
- 1INCH: 98.74 million tokens will be unlocked on November 30, valued at approximately 38.73 million dollars, accounting for as much as 7.72%.
Unlocking generally comes with selling pressure, so be sure to pay attention to the cost of fluctuations.
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Good morning, everyone, a new week has begun! This week's market highlights:
1. ETF Capital Inflow: If the trend of capital inflow from last week continues, Bitcoin is expected to break the $100,000 mark!
2. Capital Drain Effect: If Bitcoin breaks $100,000, be cautious about whether it will drain funds from other cryptocurrencies. If a drain effect occurs, when Bitcoin corrects, the drained cryptocurrencies may experience a rebound, initiating sector rotation.
3. Anti-dip Cryptocurrency Layout: If Bitcoin corrects, focus on those cryptocurrencies that have smaller declines; they usually have capital support and are worth considering for layout.
4. On-chain Activity Recovery: Last week, on-chain activity declined, this week we need to pay attention to whether there are strong projects (like "Big Dog") driving on-chain activity and activating a new market trend!
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When the market shows a broad increase, you must control your hands! First, do not change positions. Since you chose this coin initially, if it doesn't rise, it's still your choice. If you change positions and it rises, you will create a psychological shadow; Second, for trend trades, grasp the timing of entry when breaking through resistance. Sometimes missing out means missing out on a big wave of increases; Third, do not blindly chase, especially when it has risen to a new high or at strong resistance levels. Once it retraces, you are at the peak; trading is about waiting for opportunities; For right-side trades: when breaking through key levels, don't hesitate to chase when the market is good, it's time to attack. For left-side trades, if you are still in cash and just observing, then just wait slowly. If you miss the best left-side entry opportunity, you can only look for opportunities to re-enter on short-term hourly or daily charts during a pullback. Don't be the one who waits for a pullback to enter and then ends up chasing at the peak. That would be tragic!
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The unchanging logic of Ponzi schemes: 1. First, raise the stock market to make a few people profit; 2. Create public opinion to allow more people to profit. During this time, some people use small amounts of capital to try and confirm that they can really make money; 3. Increase the stakes, go all in, leverage; 4. The main force starts to harvest; 5. Retail investors believe there is a temporary pullback and continue to increase their positions; 6. -40%, -60%, -80%; 7. Families are torn apart, people jump off buildings; 8. Repeat 1~7 again.
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The Plot of the BTC Bull Market: 1. Initially Soaring: This surge is so intense, could the bull market really be here? It’s rising so sharply that I’m hesitant to invest, I’ll wait and see. 2. Continuing to Soar: Wow, the bull market is really here! It’s risen so much that I’m afraid to invest heavily, I’ll buy a little first to test the waters, and add more when there’s a pullback. 3. Soaring to the Top: Increase investment!! Leverage up, 100,000 is not a dream, if you don’t get on board now, it will be too late. 4. Starting to Plummet: Technical adjustment, increase investment!! 5. Continuing to Plummet: Panic selling. 6. Persistent Decline: Stuck for 3 years.
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To profit in the cryptocurrency world, remember these 5 secrets.
1. Buy low and sell high; patience is key. Simply put, buy during bear markets and sell during bull markets. Bull markets last about six months to a year, while bear markets can last one to two years. A cycle of bull and bear markets occurs approximately every three to four years. Master timing, and it is possible to earn at least 50% profit in each bull market, which is significantly higher compared to other investments.
2. Select valuable coins, be patient, and choose coins that truly have potential, then enter the market when prices are at their lowest and wait for the value to rise.
3. Focus on the mainstream. Bitcoin and Ethereum are the evergreen trees of the cryptocurrency world. Buy during bull markets and sell during bear markets to secure at least 50% profit. Additionally, some platform tokens, strong foundational chains, and coins with strong consensus are also worth investing in.
4. Sell 50% during the mid-point of a bull market. Set a trailing stop-loss towards the end of the bull market; once the market begins to decline, sell what needs to be sold, and do not hold unrealistic expectations.
5. Keep a clear head and avoid following the crowd. Although there are many opportunities during bull markets, especially when altcoins surge, it is important to remain calm and not harbor fantasies of getting rich overnight. Heavily investing in altcoins carries significant risks; small investments are manageable, but avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. The most crucial point is to always protect your principal. If the market becomes unstable, cut your losses in time and patiently wait for the next opportunity. Remember, in the cryptocurrency market, the safety of your funds is the most important.
Don't be greedy in the currency circle, remember these principles!
1. Covering a position is to reduce losses, not to seek huge profits. Don't expect a rebound when you are trapped, just think about reducing losses.
2. A calm market may be a precursor to a big fluctuation. Don't be confused by the quietness in front of you, and be ready to respond to changes at any time.
3. There must be a callback after a big rise. Be vigilant about the triangle pattern and don't chase high.
4. Buy the negative line and sell the positive line. Enter the market when the market is panic and leave the market when it is crazy. This is the operation of masters.
5. Don't sell when it's not high, don't buy when it's not diving, and don't act easily when it's sideways.
6. Look at the pressure level for the rise and the support level for the fall, and be aware of it.
7. Full warehouse is a taboo. The currency market changes rapidly. Maintain flexibility and proper position management.
8. The mentality of currency speculation is the most important. Greed and fear are the enemies. Only by keeping calm can you be at ease in the market.
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